---
title: "Sled storm case on G4Skins: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Sled storm ($5.00) on G4Skins, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.94% from 21 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) / [Sled storm](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141)

# [G4Skins](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/g4skins) · Sled storm

A case on G4Skins, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is G4Skins's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=all)

Price · $5.00

Advertised RTP · 88.94% · EV $4.45 from 21 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 4.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 11 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 61.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/g4skins/968141?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 21 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Doppler (Factory New) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-doppler-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $275 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,923 | $196 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $147 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Cerberus (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-cerberus-factory-new) | 1 in 730 | $75.09 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 588 | $60.38 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 521 | $53.65 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $45.54 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $40.10 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 142 | $32.64 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 104 | $24.01 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $16.95 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $11.19 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $10.88 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $10.37 | 5.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $9.49 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $8.71 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $7.66 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $7.48 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $5.98 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Nuclear Garden (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-nuclear-garden-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $5.39 | 7.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Insomnia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-insomnia-battle-scarred) | 61.7% | $0.07 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are G4Skins's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `g4skins:feed/cases/968141`, 11 Nov, 11:37 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=g4skins&case=968141)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 2 Nov, 21:50 UTC | $5.00 | 88.94% | 21 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.0% covert 7.9% #ffd700 0.1% restricted 6.2% classified 7.5% pink 1.4% Legendary 2.2% Ancient 3.4% #eb4b4b 4.2% #d32ee6 5.4% #4b69ff 61.7%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.94 on average: an expected loss of $11.06 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt