---
title: "Accept case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Accept ($2.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.07% from 148 items with odds, observed 93.58% over 1,910 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Accept](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Accept

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 92.07% · EV $1.84 from 148 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.58% · 1,910 openings, odds method

Variance · 17.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 130.73% ±62.64 169 openings

7 days · 94.51% ±21.60 1,548 openings

30 days · 93.58% ±19.76 1,910 openings

since tracking started · 93.58% ±19.76 1,910 openings

67.5% 130.8% 194.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=24h) | 169 | 130.73% ±62.6 | +1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=7d) | 1,548 | 94.51% ±21.6 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept) | 1,910 | 93.58% ±19.8 | +0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/accept?window=all) | 1,910 | 93.58% ±19.8 | +0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 148 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,910 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $440 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $280 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $236 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $223 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $206 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $106 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $101 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $97.89 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $79.10 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $67.90 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $61.16 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $61.01 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $58.85 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $51.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $48.18 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $45.97 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $40.07 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $37.83 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $35.92 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $34.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $34.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $33.29 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $31.92 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $30.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $30.65 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $28.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $27.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $27.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $22.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $21.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $20.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $19.87 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $19.65 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-royal-consorts-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $19.44 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $18.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $18.85 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $18.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $15.84 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $14.19 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Power Loader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-power-loader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $13.75 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $12.16 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $11.50 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $11.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $11.35 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $11.19 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $11.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $11.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $10.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $9.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $9.75 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $9.57 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $8.35 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $8.00 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $7.91 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 552 | $7.76 | 0.8% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 1,075 | $7.67 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $7.66 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $7.49 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,174 | $7.39 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $6.42 | 0.0% | 6 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 645 | $6.07 | 0.5% | 12 | 3.0 | 4.05× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $6.02 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-royal-consorts-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $5.89 | 2.1% | 6 | 12.7 | 0.47× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,125 | $5.55 | 0.1% | 7 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 535 | $5.37 | 0.5% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.68× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 735 | $5.34 | 0.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 400 | $5.19 | 0.7% | 10 | 4.8 | 2.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 1 in 254 | $5.13 | 1.1% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 552 | $4.90 | 0.5% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 439 | $4.79 | 0.6% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.38× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $4.60 | 1.0% | 4 | 7.7 | 0.52× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 1,389 | $4.59 | 0.2% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.64× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 840 | $4.58 | 0.3% | 6 | 2.3 | 2.64× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 448 | $4.43 | 0.5% | 9 | 4.3 | 2.11× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $4.34 | 0.9% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.86× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 309 | $4.27 | 0.8% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 256 | $4.16 | 0.9% | 9 | 7.4 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $4.15 | 1.1% | 3 | 9.1 | 0.33× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 215 | $4.11 | 1.0% | 5 | 8.9 | 0.56× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 342 | $4.08 | 0.6% | 12 | 5.6 | 2.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 350 | $4.02 | 0.6% | 3 | 5.5 | 0.55× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 269 | $3.98 | 0.8% | 3 | 7.1 | 0.42× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $3.96 | 1.6% | 11 | 14.3 | 0.77× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 152 | $3.83 | 1.4% | 12 | 12.5 | 0.96× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 200 | $3.38 | 0.9% | 13 | 9.6 | 1.36× |
| [M4A1-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $3.25 | 1.5% | 23 | 15.9 | 1.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $3.22 | 1.8% | 13 | 19.8 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Power Loader (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-power-loader-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $3.11 | 2.2% | 21 | 24.3 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Power Loader (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-power-loader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $2.98 | 1.1% | 18 | 12.5 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $2.80 | 1.8% | 15 | 22.7 | 0.66× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $2.68 | 2.0% | 21 | 26.6 | 0.79× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $2.40 | 1.6% | 23 | 22.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $2.32 | 1.3% | 29 | 20.3 | 1.43× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $2.26 | 1.6% | 21 | 24.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-factory-new) | 1 in 88 | $2.16 | 1.3% | 21 | 21.6 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $2.12 | 1.0% | 27 | 16.0 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Powercore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-powercore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $2.09 | 0.8% | 20 | 13.3 | 1.51× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 101 | $2.06 | 1.1% | 15 | 18.9 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-royal-consorts-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $2.06 | 1.3% | 17 | 22.8 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $2.05 | 0.8% | 20 | 14.4 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-royal-consorts-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $2.03 | 0.8% | 18 | 13.1 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 109 | $1.89 | 0.9% | 21 | 17.6 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $1.85 | 1.1% | 39 | 20.1 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $1.82 | 1.1% | 21 | 22.2 | 0.95× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $1.77 | 1.2% | 38 | 24.1 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $1.75 | 1.0% | 23 | 20.7 | 1.11× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.65 | 1.1% | 24 | 22.7 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $1.51 | 1.2% | 34 | 28.4 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $1.44 | 1.2% | 21 | 28.2 | 0.75× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $1.42 | 1.5% | 33 | 38.2 | 0.86× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $1.40 | 1.2% | 37 | 30.8 | 1.20× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $1.37 | 0.8% | 33 | 21.5 | 1.54× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $1.34 | 0.8% | 33 | 20.0 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $1.29 | 0.7% | 17 | 19.7 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $1.28 | 0.8% | 24 | 22.2 | 1.08× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $1.21 | 0.9% | 39 | 26.3 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.20 | 0.8% | 11 | 24.4 | 0.45× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $1.18 | 0.9% | 23 | 25.9 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $1.18 | 0.9% | 22 | 27.5 | 0.80× |
| [Negev \| Power Loader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $1.16 | 1.0% | 29 | 30.0 | 0.97× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $1.11 | 0.8% | 19 | 26.9 | 0.71× |
| [MP7 \| Powercore (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-powercore-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $1.01 | 1.0% | 31 | 35.4 | 0.88× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $0.98 | 1.3% | 33 | 48.2 | 0.68× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $0.84 | 1.3% | 49 | 55.7 | 0.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $0.68 | 1.2% | 68 | 64.4 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $0.64 | 1.0% | 69 | 57.1 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.63 | 1.3% | 62 | 70.6 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $0.60 | 0.9% | 52 | 54.9 | 0.95× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $0.57 | 0.5% | 11 | 29.3 | 0.38× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $0.55 | 0.4% | 24 | 26.7 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $0.54 | 0.4% | 39 | 24.3 | 1.61× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $0.53 | 0.3% | 36 | 22.5 | 1.60× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $0.49 | 0.3% | 40 | 22.2 | 1.81× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $0.47 | 0.3% | 33 | 22.0 | 1.50× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $0.44 | 0.3% | 26 | 24.5 | 1.06× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 68 | $0.44 | 0.4% | 35 | 28.3 | 1.24× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $0.43 | 0.3% | 48 | 24.8 | 1.94× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $0.41 | 0.3% | 30 | 22.7 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 22 | 22.7 | 0.97× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $0.37 | 0.3% | 19 | 31.5 | 0.60× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $0.36 | 0.3% | 23 | 25.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 8 | 26.1 | 0.31× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 50 | 24.0 | 2.08× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Grim (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $0.32 | 0.3% | 10 | 29.3 | 0.34× |
| [P90 \| Grim (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-grim-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $0.29 | 0.3% | 29 | 35.9 | 0.81× |
| [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $0.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 51.8 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Carbon Fiber (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-carbon-fiber-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $0.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 47.1 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/accept`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) [NeoCranium](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NeoCranium) $2.00 $209 104.4x 2026-11-10 15:41 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stihl) $2.00 $103 51.48x 2026-11-06 20:54 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Buzz Kill (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-buzz-kill-battle-scarred) [( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%28%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%20%CD%9C%CA%96%20%CD%A1%C2%B0%29) $2.00 $101 50.40x 2026-11-04 20:36 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=accept)

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stihl) $2.00 $0.63 0.32x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC

[M4A1-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-flashback-field-tested) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stihl) $2.00 $4.28 2.14x 2026-11-11 12:05 UTC

[Negev | Power Loader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-power-loader-battle-scarred) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stihl) $2.00 $1.16 0.58x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-minimal-wear) [Stihl](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stihl) $2.00 $2.21 1.11x 2026-11-11 12:04 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) [Gustavo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gustavo) $2.00 $0.45 0.23x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-eco-field-tested) [Gustavo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gustavo) $2.00 $2.04 1.02x 2026-11-11 11:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-well-worn) [Gustavo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gustavo) $2.00 $0.55 0.28x 2026-11-11 11:17 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) [deniz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/deniz) $2.00 $0.57 0.29x 2026-11-11 10:57 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) [deniz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/deniz) $2.00 $0.53 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-grim-minimal-wear) [deniz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/deniz) $2.00 $0.54 0.27x 2026-11-11 10:55 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.00 | 92.07% | 148 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.00 | 92.09% | 148 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.00 | 92.04% | 148 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.00 | 92.02% | 148 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.00 | 92.06% | 148 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.00 | 92.03% | 148 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.00 | 92.08% | 148 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.00 | 92.04% | 148 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.00 | 92.10% | 148 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.00 | 92.07% | 148 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.00 | 92.09% | 148 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.00 | 92.02% | 148 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.00 | 92.05% | 148 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.00 | 92.03% | 148 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.00 | 92.08% | 148 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 92.09% | 148 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.00 | 92.09% | 148 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 148 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 3 1.3% covert 0.3% Mythical 7.7% restricted 21.8% Rare 5.8% milspec 13.4% Classified 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 0.0% pink 0.0% Restricted 6.2% mil spec 8.3% #8847ff 4.8% violet 8.5% blue 6.7% Mil Spec Grade 1.1% #8847FF 0.7% Mil Spec 2.6% #4b69ff 4.4% other 1.3% industrial 5.2% best hit $209 (104.4x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.07 on average: an expected loss of $7.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt