---
title: "AK-47 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AK-47 ($12.01) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.01% from 152 items with odds, observed 99.90% over 2,766 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [AK-47](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · AK-47

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=all)

Price · $12.01

Advertised RTP · 92.01% · EV $11.05 from 152 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 99.90% · 2,766 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 109.19% ±12.96 462 openings

7 days · 99.41% ±5.84 2,321 openings

30 days · 99.90% ±5.34 2,766 openings

since tracking started · 99.90% ±5.34 2,766 openings

91.5% 107.3% 123.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.03% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (94.57% – 105.24%, 2,766 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=24h) | 462 | 109.19% ±13.0 | +2.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=7d) | 2,321 | 99.41% ±5.84 | +2.5σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47) | 2,766 | 99.90% ±5.34 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ak47?window=all) | 2,766 | 99.90% ±5.34 | +2.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 152 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,766 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $570 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $388 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $238 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $207 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $195 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $192 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $184 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $175 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $175 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $174 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-red-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $169 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $166 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| First Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-first-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $162 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $157 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $149 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $145 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $141 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $140 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $134 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $132 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $131 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $128 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $125 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $124 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $122 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $119 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $116 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $116 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $114 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $113 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $112 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 2,941 | $111 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $108 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $96.05 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $91.81 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 1,887 | $90.34 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $89.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $89.35 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Jaguar (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jaguar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,500 | $87.43 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 2,439 | $87.36 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-well-worn) | 1 in 2,326 | $81.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $79.57 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $75.29 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 1,351 | $72.51 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $72.20 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $71.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,724 | $70.38 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,639 | $68.21 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 1,786 | $67.43 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $65.55 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $64.43 | 0.4% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.22× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,408 | $63.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-factory-new) | 1 in 1,299 | $63.27 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,226 | $63.04 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $62.83 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $61.55 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $59.03 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 709 | $55.84 | 0.7% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| B the Monster (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-b-the-monster-battle-scarred) | 1 in 585 | $52.09 | 0.8% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 495 | $51.95 | 0.9% | 6 | 5.6 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 362 | $51.69 | 1.3% | 4 | 7.6 | 0.52× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 926 | $48.42 | 0.5% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.34× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 571 | $45.58 | 0.7% | 8 | 4.8 | 1.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 262 | $44.32 | 1.5% | 7 | 10.5 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 592 | $43.18 | 0.7% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 613 | $39.04 | 0.6% | 3 | 4.5 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 794 | $38.99 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.43× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 719 | $38.97 | 0.5% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 398 | $38.56 | 0.9% | 2 | 6.9 | 0.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 877 | $37.66 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 524 | $36.97 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 476 | $36.48 | 0.7% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 498 | $36.05 | 0.7% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 510 | $36.02 | 0.6% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 478 | $35.67 | 0.7% | 7 | 5.8 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 794 | $34.11 | 0.4% | 17 | 3.5 | 4.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 403 | $33.22 | 0.7% | 7 | 6.9 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 885 | $32.96 | 0.3% | 13 | 3.1 | 4.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $31.36 | 1.0% | 12 | 9.4 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 294 | $31.35 | 1.0% | 8 | 9.4 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) | 1 in 282 | $30.49 | 1.0% | 14 | 9.8 | 1.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 240 | $30.25 | 1.1% | 10 | 11.5 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $29.59 | 0.7% | 13 | 7.6 | 1.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 192 | $28.45 | 1.3% | 14 | 14.4 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 323 | $27.15 | 0.8% | 14 | 8.6 | 1.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 164 | $26.97 | 1.5% | 13 | 16.8 | 0.77× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $26.68 | 1.4% | 18 | 16.3 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $23.26 | 1.6% | 28 | 20.7 | 1.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $22.91 | 1.6% | 23 | 21.0 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $22.58 | 1.9% | 18 | 25.6 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $21.67 | 2.4% | 22 | 33.6 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $20.07 | 1.5% | 36 | 22.4 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $18.84 | 1.4% | 34 | 22.0 | 1.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $17.33 | 1.8% | 47 | 31.5 | 1.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $17.04 | 1.7% | 25 | 30.9 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $16.78 | 1.7% | 30 | 30.5 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $15.65 | 1.2% | 19 | 22.7 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $15.58 | 1.1% | 20 | 20.9 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $15.01 | 1.3% | 32 | 25.9 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $14.81 | 1.4% | 24 | 28.2 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $14.38 | 0.9% | 17 | 19.7 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $14.17 | 1.1% | 17 | 23.6 | 0.72× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $14.06 | 1.0% | 27 | 22.4 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $13.90 | 1.1% | 40 | 25.2 | 1.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Predator (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-predator-well-worn) | 1 in 122 | $13.73 | 1.0% | 29 | 22.7 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $13.02 | 1.5% | 50 | 34.6 | 1.44× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $12.12 | 1.4% | 41 | 35.3 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $11.72 | 1.6% | 47 | 41.7 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $11.40 | 1.8% | 48 | 49.5 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $11.32 | 1.9% | 49 | 50.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $11.06 | 1.6% | 42 | 43.2 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $9.65 | 1.7% | 57 | 53.9 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $8.76 | 1.7% | 59 | 59.1 | 1.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $8.43 | 1.9% | 83 | 68.5 | 1.21× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $6.85 | 1.9% | 84 | 86.5 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Field-Tested) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $6.62 | 1.6% | 70 | 71.6 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $6.46 | 1.4% | 54 | 65.6 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $6.40 | 1.5% | 49 | 70.4 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $6.32 | 0.5% | 46 | 26.4 | 1.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $6.29 | 0.5% | 48 | 23.2 | 2.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $6.14 | 0.6% | 28 | 27.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $5.94 | 0.5% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $5.89 | 0.6% | 30 | 28.6 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Jungle Spray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 75 | $5.75 | 0.7% | 31 | 37.1 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $5.64 | 0.7% | 34 | 36.3 | 0.94× |
| [AK-47 \| The Outsiders (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-outsiders-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $5.57 | 0.6% | 26 | 33.6 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $4.49 | 0.7% | 43 | 47.7 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $4.43 | 0.8% | 45 | 55.0 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $4.33 | 0.8% | 54 | 59.3 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $4.24 | 0.9% | 57 | 66.8 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $4.15 | 0.3% | 19 | 25.4 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $4.02 | 0.4% | 23 | 28.5 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $3.85 | 0.4% | 29 | 29.7 | 0.98× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $3.76 | 0.4% | 31 | 32.0 | 0.97× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Well-Worn) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $3.67 | 0.4% | 38 | 34.9 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Baroque Purple (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $3.59 | 0.4% | 29 | 38.3 | 0.76× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $3.31 | 0.4% | 40 | 34.6 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $3.24 | 0.4% | 58 | 37.7 | 1.54× |
| [AK-47 \| Safety Net (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safety-net-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $3.11 | 0.4% | 38 | 41.5 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-uncharted-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $2.92 | 0.5% | 53 | 47.3 | 1.12× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $2.26 | 0.3% | 48 | 45.3 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $2.26 | 0.3% | 56 | 45.6 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $2.24 | 0.4% | 33 | 49.7 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $2.12 | 0.3% | 80 | 49.6 | 1.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $2.07 | 0.3% | 58 | 48.8 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $1.71 | 0.2% | 35 | 28.5 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $1.07 | 0.1% | 45 | 39.7 | 1.13× |
| [AK-47 \| Uncharted (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-uncharted-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $0.88 | 0.1% | 37 | 38.5 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 9 | 53.3 | 0.17× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 35.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 16 | 37.0 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Safari Mesh (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-safari-mesh-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 44.2 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/ak47`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Leet Museo (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-factory-new) [Kilovi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kilovi) $12.01 $567 47.19x 2026-11-10 18:19 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=ak47)

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) [Malina](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Malina) $12.01 $11.40 0.95x 2026-11-11 14:58 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [Twix228](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Twix228) $12.01 $1.70 0.14x 2026-11-11 14:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) [Twix228](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Twix228) $12.01 $22.81 1.90x 2026-11-11 14:39 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $3.30 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Jungle Spray (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-jungle-spray-minimal-wear) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $12.08 1.01x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $16.71 1.39x 2026-11-11 14:07 UTC

[AK-47 | Baroque Purple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-baroque-purple-minimal-wear) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $6.82 0.57x 2026-11-11 14:06 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $2.25 0.19x 2026-11-11 14:05 UTC

[AK-47 | Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $71.90 5.99x 2026-11-11 14:02 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) [RAVER.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/RAVER.) $12.01 $30.12 2.51x 2026-11-11 13:59 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $12.01 | 92.01% | 152 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $12.01 | 92.09% | 152 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $12.01 | 92.07% | 152 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $12.01 | 92.03% | 152 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $12.01 | 92.07% | 152 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $12.01 | 92.07% | 152 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $12.01 | 92.03% | 152 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $12.01 | 92.04% | 152 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $12.01 | 92.06% | 152 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $12.01 | 92.01% | 152 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $12.01 | 92.04% | 152 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $12.01 | 92.06% | 152 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $12.01 | 92.10% | 152 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $12.01 | 92.00% | 152 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.9% red 0.8% classified 11.8% Ancient 0.3% restricted 19.2% industrial 15.2% rare 2.8% mil spec 9.2% #d32ee6 1.8% Classified 1.2% Mythical 6.8% violet 3.0% Restricted 1.6% Legendary 2.1% pink 3.8% #d32ce6 1.0% milspec 8.0% Uncommon 2.4% light blue 1.1% Rare 5.0% #87c7ff 1.3% best hit $567 (47.19x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.01 on average: an expected loss of $7.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt