---
title: "All night case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "All night ($5.51) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.07% from 147 items with odds, observed 90.43% over 890 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [All night](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · All night

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=all)

Price · $5.51

Advertised RTP · 92.07% · EV $5.07 from 147 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.43% · 890 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 71 openings · below min

7 days · 90.30% ±14.07 566 openings

30 days · 90.43% ±11.13 890 openings

since tracking started · 90.43% ±11.13 890 openings

39.5% 80.3% 121.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=24h) | 71 | 80.22% ±40.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=7d) | 566 | 90.30% ±14.1 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight) | 890 | 90.43% ±11.1 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/allnight?window=all) | 890 | 90.43% ±11.1 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 147 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 890 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $173 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $172 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $171 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 9,091 | $161 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $149 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $146 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $144 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $143 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $129 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $128 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $127 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $126 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $125 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Pandora's Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-pandoras-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $120 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $117 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $115 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $115 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $108 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $108 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $105 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Blood in the Water (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blood-in-the-water-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $103 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $102 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $94.76 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $87.98 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $83.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Cobalt Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-cobalt-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $79.82 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $74.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $71.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $69.81 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $68.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $67.56 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $65.53 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $64.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $62.83 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $59.89 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $55.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $54.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $53.75 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $51.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $50.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $42.80 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $39.69 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $39.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $39.41 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $38.11 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $37.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $37.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $34.27 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $33.73 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,587 | $32.94 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $32.13 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $31.93 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 1,408 | $31.74 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $30.85 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $30.77 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $30.54 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $29.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $28.66 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,000 | $28.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 694 | $27.64 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $25.57 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $23.87 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $22.05 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 413 | $21.90 | 1.0% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $21.85 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $21.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 2,632 | $21.27 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $20.79 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-well-worn) | 1 in 515 | $19.92 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-titanium-bit-factory-new) | 1 in 885 | $19.81 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $17.80 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 379 | $17.59 | 0.9% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.70× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-titanium-bit-field-tested) | 1 in 515 | $16.88 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 279 | $16.80 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $16.44 | 0.1% | 5 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 585 | $15.51 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 279 | $14.84 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 478 | $14.61 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $14.40 | 0.8% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.57× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 645 | $14.13 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.45× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $14.02 | 1.1% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 510 | $14.00 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $13.93 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.58× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 488 | $13.91 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $13.64 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) | 1 in 422 | $13.63 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 435 | $13.40 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.47× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 205 | $13.23 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.69× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 413 | $13.04 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.93× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $12.96 | 1.8% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 202 | $11.10 | 1.1% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.59× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 170 | $10.40 | 1.2% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.53× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $9.77 | 1.8% | 4 | 8.5 | 0.47× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $9.77 | 1.6% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $9.44 | 2.0% | 9 | 9.8 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $8.76 | 1.4% | 6 | 7.4 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $8.61 | 1.1% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.33× |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $8.52 | 1.4% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 136 | $8.23 | 1.2% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.92× |
| [Tec-9 \| Titanium Bit (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-titanium-bit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $8.12 | 0.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 149 | $7.91 | 1.0% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.50× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 127 | $7.56 | 1.2% | 7 | 7.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $7.48 | 1.1% | 10 | 6.8 | 1.46× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 113 | $7.32 | 1.3% | 3 | 7.8 | 0.38× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $7.19 | 1.5% | 8 | 9.6 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $6.44 | 1.5% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.94× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $6.43 | 1.5% | 8 | 10.2 | 0.79× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $5.93 | 1.5% | 6 | 11.3 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $5.93 | 1.7% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $5.80 | 1.7% | 9 | 13.6 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $5.70 | 0.9% | 6 | 7.2 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $5.56 | 1.4% | 13 | 11.4 | 1.14× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $5.38 | 0.9% | 11 | 7.7 | 1.43× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $5.23 | 1.3% | 9 | 11.0 | 0.82× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $4.98 | 1.4% | 10 | 13.0 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $4.79 | 1.2% | 11 | 11.2 | 0.98× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $4.75 | 1.1% | 7 | 10.4 | 0.67× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $4.70 | 1.2% | 12 | 11.1 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $4.66 | 1.1% | 9 | 11.1 | 0.81× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $4.54 | 1.1% | 16 | 10.8 | 1.48× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $4.41 | 1.2% | 22 | 12.1 | 1.83× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $4.24 | 1.7% | 17 | 17.6 | 0.96× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $4.20 | 1.6% | 12 | 17.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $4.09 | 2.1% | 37 | 23.7 | 1.56× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $3.32 | 1.9% | 31 | 25.8 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $2.92 | 2.0% | 30 | 31.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $2.68 | 2.2% | 47 | 36.9 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $2.15 | 2.0% | 54 | 42.9 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.83 | 1.5% | 24 | 36.6 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $1.80 | 1.3% | 23 | 31.9 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $1.77 | 1.2% | 20 | 31.4 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $1.75 | 0.7% | 12 | 19.2 | 0.62× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 86 | $1.68 | 0.4% | 5 | 10.4 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $1.68 | 0.4% | 15 | 9.7 | 1.55× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $1.66 | 0.4% | 29 | 11.6 | 2.51× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $1.60 | 0.4% | 15 | 12.7 | 1.19× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $1.41 | 0.5% | 14 | 14.6 | 0.96× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $1.38 | 0.6% | 19 | 18.4 | 1.03× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $1.37 | 0.6% | 19 | 21.4 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $1.33 | 0.7% | 12 | 24.3 | 0.49× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $1.33 | 0.7% | 19 | 23.5 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $0.69 | 0.4% | 20 | 23.2 | 0.86× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $0.46 | 0.3% | 28 | 28.3 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 27 | $0.42 | 0.3% | 39 | 33.1 | 1.18× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/allnight`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=allnight)

[StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [B0RAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/B0RAT) $5.51 $1.84 0.33x 2026-11-11 11:22 UTC

[P90 | Chopper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-battle-scarred) [deniz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/deniz) $5.51 $1.33 0.24x 2026-11-11 10:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $8.75 1.59x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-factory-new) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $2.91 0.53x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[P250 | X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $0.46 0.08x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $4.74 0.86x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $1.58 0.29x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $1.76 0.32x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $4.09 0.74x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $5.51 $10.45 1.90x 2026-11-11 09:29 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $5.51 | 92.07% | 147 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $5.51 | 92.04% | 147 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $5.51 | 92.10% | 147 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $5.51 | 92.07% | 147 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $5.51 | 92.03% | 147 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $5.51 | 92.09% | 147 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $5.51 | 92.07% | 147 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $5.51 | 92.01% | 147 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 147 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $5.51 | 92.09% | 147 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $5.51 | 92.02% | 147 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $5.51 | 92.10% | 147 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 147 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $5.51 | 92.06% | 147 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 147 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.51 | 92.07% | 147 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 147 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $5.51 | 92.09% | 147 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 147 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 147 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $5.51 | 92.06% | 147 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $5.51 | 92.06% | 147 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed mil spec 6.5% classified 25.9% covert 0.3% covert knife 0.0% Ancient 0.0% Classified 0.8% restricted 45.5% red 0.0% Mythical 0.0% #d32ee6 0.8% milspec 0.5% Restricted 8.7% #8847ff 8.5% Legendary 2.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.07 on average: an expected loss of $7.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt