---
title: "Aug case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Aug ($3.61) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.06% from 122 items with odds, observed 86.35% over 239 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Aug](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Aug

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=all)

Price · $3.61

Advertised RTP · 92.06% · EV $3.32 from 122 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 86.35% · 239 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 10 openings · below min

7 days · 93.14% ±20.42 190 openings

30 days · 86.35% ±18.20 239 openings

since tracking started · 86.35% ±18.20 239 openings

-0.5% 84.3% 169.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=24h) | 10 | 82.05% ±86.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=7d) | 190 | 93.14% ±20.4 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug) | 239 | 86.35% ±18.2 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/aug?window=all) | 239 | 86.35% ±18.2 | −0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 122 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 239 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $125 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $99.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,448 | $89.79 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $89.18 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $86.64 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 3,333 | $86.08 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $83.68 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $80.57 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $51.67 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $48.18 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 1,064 | $31.63 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $30.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $27.63 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-factory-new) | 1 in 833 | $25.37 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Anodized Navy (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-anodized-navy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,087 | $24.69 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 877 | $23.87 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $23.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Wings (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 870 | $20.42 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 3,571 | $19.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 730 | $19.84 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-bengal-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 575 | $19.47 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 741 | $18.63 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $17.97 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 543 | $15.98 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 826 | $14.14 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 289 | $13.51 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 370 | $13.38 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 459 | $13.35 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,053 | $13.33 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $13.24 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $13.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,493 | $13.05 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $13.04 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $12.94 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 990 | $12.83 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,846 | $12.32 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Wings (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-wings-minimal-wear) | 1 in 649 | $12.31 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 556 | $12.20 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $11.99 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-well-worn) | 1 in 515 | $11.24 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-factory-new) | 1 in 433 | $10.81 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) | 1 in 281 | $10.49 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-torque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 329 | $10.36 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 304 | $10.27 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Syd Mead (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-battle-scarred) | 1 in 457 | $10.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Bengal Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-bengal-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $10.18 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-field-tested) | 1 in 474 | $10.17 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Carved Jade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-carved-jade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 699 | $9.75 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $9.71 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 398 | $9.31 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AUG \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $9.27 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 233 | $8.63 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $8.10 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $7.91 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.57× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 166 | $7.83 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.09× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $7.66 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $7.44 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 242 | $7.32 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $6.44 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 164 | $6.35 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $5.96 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $5.93 | 1.6% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $5.93 | 1.6% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 166 | $5.80 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $5.56 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $5.34 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.77× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $5.15 | 1.1% | 4 | 1.6 | 2.43× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-factory-new) | 1 in 145 | $5.15 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [AUG \| Condemned (Factory New) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-condemned-factory-new) | 1 in 171 | $5.15 | 0.9% | 5 | 1.4 | 3.57× |
| [AUG \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $4.92 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-factory-new) | 1 in 147 | $4.75 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.62× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 160 | $4.59 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $4.58 | 1.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.95× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $4.54 | 1.0% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.18× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $4.50 | 1.0% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 177 | $4.24 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.48× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $4.09 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 94 | $4.05 | 1.3% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $3.90 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 103 | $3.89 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.86× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $3.79 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.33× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) weapon · 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $3.72 | 1.2% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.89× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $3.57 | 1.3% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $3.56 | 1.4% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.62× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $3.48 | 1.6% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $2.95 | 1.7% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $2.75 | 1.5% | 5 | 4.4 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $2.59 | 1.8% | 7 | 5.5 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $2.55 | 2.1% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.91× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $2.53 | 1.4% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $2.15 | 1.0% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.29× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $2.15 | 1.0% | 6 | 3.8 | 1.56× |
| [AUG \| Radiation Hazard (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-radiation-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $2.14 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.58× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $1.95 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.02× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $1.89 | 1.1% | 3 | 4.6 | 0.66× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $1.88 | 0.8% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $1.85 | 0.8% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $1.83 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $1.81 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.9 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $1.80 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.46× |
| [AUG \| Ricochet (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-ricochet-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $1.73 | 0.5% | 7 | 2.5 | 2.82× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $1.70 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $1.60 | 0.7% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $1.56 | 0.8% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [AUG \| Random Access (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-random-access-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $1.47 | 0.8% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.34 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.83× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $1.33 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $1.32 | 0.8% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $1.30 | 0.8% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $1.02 | 0.6% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $1.01 | 0.7% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $0.95 | 0.8% | 2 | 6.4 | 0.31× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Ricochet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $0.84 | 0.8% | 8 | 7.8 | 1.03× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $0.77 | 0.4% | 8 | 4.6 | 1.74× |
| [AUG \| Plague (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $0.70 | 0.5% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $0.61 | 0.5% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.54 | 0.4% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.52 | 0.4% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $0.51 | 0.3% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-amber-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $0.47 | 0.3% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Amber Slipstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-amber-slipstream-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/aug`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=aug)

[StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.52 0.14x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $2.94 0.81x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $4.03 1.12x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-plague-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $1.34 0.37x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $2.94 0.81x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $1.02 0.28x 2026-11-11 09:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Syd Mead (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-syd-mead-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $10.46 2.90x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.84 0.23x 2026-11-11 09:35 UTC

[AUG | Plague (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-plague-factory-new) [парень АРБУЗНОГО](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%20%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%97%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%9E) $3.61 $2.95 0.82x 2026-11-10 21:42 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Ricochet (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-ricochet-factory-new) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $3.61 $2.58 0.71x 2026-11-10 14:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $3.61 | 92.06% | 122 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $3.61 | 92.08% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $3.61 | 91.99% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $3.61 | 92.06% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $3.61 | 92.08% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.61 | 92.09% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.61 | 92.08% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $3.61 | 91.99% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 122 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 4 1.1% covert 0.1% red 0.0% classified 12.4% Rare 4.5% pink 1.4% mil spec 10.0% #d32ee6 1.1% restricted 15.1% Legendary 2.3% milspec 23.7% #d32ce6 0.2% Classified 0.5% industrial 5.3% #87c7ff 0.6% #8847ff 4.8% Mil Spec Grade 2.6% Restricted 2.5% uncommon 1.6% Mythical 3.1% violet 2.7% #4b69ff 4.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.06 on average: an expected loss of $7.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt