---
title: "AWP case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "AWP ($7.21) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 145 items with odds, observed 97.55% over 2,193 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [AWP](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · AWP

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=all)

Price · $7.21

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $6.63 from 145 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.55% · 2,193 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 74.15% ±23.73 211 openings

7 days · 95.90% ±7.59 1,970 openings

30 days · 97.55% ±7.17 2,193 openings

since tracking started · 97.55% ±7.17 2,193 openings

50.0% 77.8% 105.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=24h) | 211 | 74.15% ±23.7 | −1.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=7d) | 1,970 | 95.90% ±7.59 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp) | 2,193 | 97.55% ±7.17 | +1.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/awp?window=all) | 2,193 | 97.55% ±7.17 | +1.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 145 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,193 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $515 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $217 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $203 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $202 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Silk Tiger (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-silk-tiger-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $183 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-corticera-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $178 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $174 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $149 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $144 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $142 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $139 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $130 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $129 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $125 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $120 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $116 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $108 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $98.54 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $96.43 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $94.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $94.13 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $92.91 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $89.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| CMYK (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-cmyk-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $85.12 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $81.56 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $78.56 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $72.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $71.92 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $71.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $67.56 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $67.52 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $64.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $63.44 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $62.78 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $61.19 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 4,762 | $60.93 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $58.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $56.92 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $56.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $55.66 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $54.56 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $54.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $49.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $49.06 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,125 | $48.97 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $46.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $46.54 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $45.80 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $45.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,222 | $41.84 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $41.69 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.55× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $41.65 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $39.69 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 649 | $39.63 | 0.9% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.30× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 2,174 | $39.41 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $37.65 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $37.18 | 0.2% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 578 | $34.27 | 0.9% | 2 | 3.8 | 0.53× |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $32.79 | 0.1% | 5 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Electric Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-electric-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 403 | $29.72 | 1.1% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.92× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 372 | $29.27 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.9 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $27.64 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 562 | $26.96 | 0.7% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 415 | $26.10 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.3 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 380 | $25.96 | 1.0% | 6 | 5.8 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Pink DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pink-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 704 | $25.28 | 0.5% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-minimal-wear) | 1 in 368 | $22.41 | 0.9% | 8 | 6.0 | 1.34× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 546 | $22.05 | 0.6% | 11 | 4.0 | 2.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 290 | $21.90 | 1.1% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 353 | $21.27 | 0.9% | 7 | 6.2 | 1.13× |
| [AWP \| Corticera (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-corticera-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $21.09 | 0.4% | 6 | 3.0 | 1.97× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $20.08 | 0.8% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-field-tested) | 1 in 500 | $19.72 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 935 | $19.63 | 0.3% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.13× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-well-worn) | 1 in 284 | $19.44 | 1.0% | 7 | 7.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 314 | $19.33 | 0.9% | 9 | 7.0 | 1.29× |
| [AWP \| Sun in Leo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sun-in-leo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 704 | $18.98 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 239 | $18.85 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 202 | $18.79 | 1.4% | 14 | 10.9 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 162 | $16.33 | 1.5% | 12 | 13.6 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $14.61 | 1.6% | 18 | 15.9 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $14.15 | 2.0% | 23 | 20.7 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $14.13 | 2.6% | 23 | 26.4 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 127 | $14.02 | 1.7% | 20 | 17.2 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 184 | $13.91 | 1.1% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 201 | $13.33 | 1.0% | 25 | 10.9 | 2.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $11.90 | 1.3% | 9 | 16.4 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $11.27 | 1.8% | 27 | 22.9 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $10.28 | 2.1% | 24 | 29.2 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $9.83 | 1.9% | 18 | 28.4 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $9.57 | 1.6% | 21 | 25.0 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $9.18 | 1.5% | 22 | 24.5 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $9.04 | 1.2% | 30 | 19.9 | 1.51× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $9.03 | 1.2% | 34 | 20.0 | 1.70× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $8.54 | 1.0% | 23 | 17.7 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-factory-new) | 1 in 162 | $8.49 | 0.8% | 17 | 13.6 | 1.25× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $8.40 | 0.9% | 20 | 15.9 | 1.26× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $8.35 | 1.0% | 19 | 16.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 155 | $8.14 | 0.8% | 20 | 14.2 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $7.97 | 0.8% | 20 | 14.2 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 160 | $7.76 | 0.7% | 16 | 13.7 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $7.67 | 1.1% | 27 | 21.3 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 114 | $7.66 | 1.0% | 15 | 19.2 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $7.54 | 1.1% | 12 | 20.5 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 117 | $7.53 | 1.0% | 21 | 18.8 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $6.69 | 1.0% | 41 | 22.8 | 1.80× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $6.20 | 1.5% | 27 | 35.5 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $6.14 | 1.6% | 24 | 38.0 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $5.65 | 1.8% | 47 | 45.3 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $5.59 | 1.3% | 31 | 33.6 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $5.50 | 1.0% | 15 | 26.8 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $5.37 | 1.1% | 24 | 29.3 | 0.82× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $5.37 | 1.2% | 22 | 33.7 | 0.65× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $5.06 | 0.8% | 28 | 24.4 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) | 1 in 73 | $4.71 | 1.0% | 35 | 30.0 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $4.60 | 0.9% | 33 | 28.5 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Exoskeleton (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $4.50 | 1.3% | 52 | 43.2 | 1.20× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $4.28 | 1.1% | 35 | 38.6 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $4.09 | 0.9% | 38 | 32.6 | 1.16× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $3.96 | 1.0% | 31 | 35.9 | 0.86× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $3.92 | 1.1% | 61 | 42.0 | 1.45× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $3.83 | 1.0% | 35 | 38.8 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $3.81 | 1.1% | 34 | 42.6 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $3.39 | 1.0% | 40 | 41.8 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $2.78 | 1.0% | 49 | 52.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.75 | 1.2% | 70 | 62.6 | 1.12× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $2.52 | 1.3% | 74 | 76.3 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $2.45 | 1.2% | 61 | 68.3 | 0.89× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $2.37 | 0.6% | 45 | 39.4 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-well-worn) | 1 in 46 | $2.20 | 0.7% | 44 | 47.3 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $2.03 | 0.7% | 51 | 47.9 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 44 | $1.71 | 0.6% | 39 | 50.2 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 43 | $1.67 | 0.6% | 52 | 51.2 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $1.45 | 0.5% | 57 | 53.6 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $1.23 | 0.5% | 42 | 57.4 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $1.18 | 0.3% | 42 | 39.1 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $1.14 | 0.3% | 34 | 42.3 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| Pit Viper (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $1.05 | 0.2% | 35 | 32.7 | 1.07× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-field-tested) | 1 in 95 | $0.98 | 0.2% | 32 | 23.1 | 1.39× |
| [AWP \| Acheron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-acheron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $0.94 | 0.2% | 24 | 25.9 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $0.79 | 0.1% | 27 | 26.4 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $0.78 | 0.1% | 38 | 22.0 | 1.73× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-minimal-wear) | 1 in 89 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 29 | 24.6 | 1.18× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 27.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Safari Mesh (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-safari-mesh-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 30.8 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/awp`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=awp)

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $4.62 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AWP | Pit Viper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-pit-viper-minimal-wear) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $1.44 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $11.08 1.54x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-field-tested) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $0.88 0.12x 2026-11-11 13:35 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $13.93 1.93x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Capillary (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-field-tested) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $1.69 0.23x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Exoskeleton (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-exoskeleton-well-worn) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $7.46 1.03x 2026-11-11 13:34 UTC

[AWP | Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $2.68 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $18.66 2.59x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

[AWP | Exoskeleton (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-exoskeleton-minimal-wear) [Mugli of the jungle book](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mugli%20of%20the%20jungle%20book) $7.21 $11.08 1.54x 2026-11-11 13:33 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $7.21 | 92.09% | 145 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $7.21 | 92.03% | 145 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $7.21 | 92.04% | 145 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $7.21 | 92.08% | 145 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $7.21 | 92.10% | 145 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $7.21 | 92.06% | 145 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $7.21 | 92.05% | 145 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $7.21 | 92.09% | 145 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $7.21 | 92.06% | 145 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $7.21 | 92.09% | 145 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $7.21 | 92.09% | 145 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $7.21 | 92.03% | 145 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $7.21 | 92.09% | 145 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $7.21 | 92.04% | 145 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $7.21 | 92.04% | 145 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $7.21 | 92.07% | 145 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $7.21 | 92.07% | 145 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $7.21 | 92.02% | 145 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $7.21 | 92.00% | 145 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.6% Legendary 1.8% classified 12.5% #d32ee6 0.0% red 0.0% Covert 0.0% Classified 0.2% restricted 34.8% Restricted 0.9% industrial 3.5% #d32ce6 0.1% rare 0.3% uncommon 0.5% Mythical 4.9% mil spec 6.4% Industrial Grade 0.8% Rare 4.7% #4b69ff 2.8% #8847ff 9.4% violet 5.7% Mil Spec Grade 2.2% milspec 6.5% Uncommon 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt