---
title: "Case Battle case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Case Battle ($2.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.01% from 37 items with odds, observed 106.95% over 4,555 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:57Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Case Battle](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Case Battle

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=all)

Price · $2.00

Advertised RTP · 92.01% · EV $1.84 from 37 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 106.95% · 4,555 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 101.88% ±9.45 1,034 openings

7 days · 105.87% ±5.05 3,644 openings

30 days · 106.95% ±4.45 4,555 openings

since tracking started · 106.95% ±4.45 4,555 openings

91.5% 101.8% 112.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.01% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (102.50% – 111.40%, 4,555 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=24h) | 1,034 | 101.88% ±9.45 | +2.0σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=7d) | 3,644 | 105.87% ±5.05 | +5.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle) | 4,555 | 106.95% ±4.45 | +6.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/case-battle?window=all) | 4,555 | 106.95% ±4.45 | +6.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 37 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,555 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) | 1 in 5,556 | $126 | 1.2% | 5 | 0.8 | — |
| [Operation Bravo Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-bravo-case) | 1 in 575 | $66.90 | 6.3% | 1 | 7.9 | 0.13× |
| [Operation Hydra Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-hydra-case) | 1 in 7,143 | $30.39 | 0.2% | 7 | 0.6 | — |
| [CS:GO Weapon Case 2 other · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case-2) | 1 in 840 | $21.99 | 1.4% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| [Winter Offensive Weapon Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/winter-offensive-weapon-case) | 1 in 207 | $11.28 | 3.0% | 17 | 22.0 | 0.77× |
| [Glove Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/glove-case) | 1 in 6,250 | $10.03 | 0.1% | 8 | 0.7 | — |
| [Huntsman Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-weapon-case) | 1 in 157 | $8.93 | 3.1% | 32 | 29.0 | 1.10× |
| [Operation Breakout Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-breakout-weapon-case) | 1 in 122 | $8.86 | 3.9% | 47 | 37.3 | 1.26× |
| [Operation Riptide Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-riptide-case) | 1 in 133 | $7.44 | 3.0% | 32 | 34.2 | 0.94× |
| [Operation Broken Fang Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-broken-fang-case) | 1 in 249 | $5.84 | 1.3% | 46 | 18.3 | 2.51× |
| [Chroma Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/chroma-case) | 1 in 188 | $5.38 | 1.6% | 51 | 24.2 | 2.10× |
| [Operation Vanguard Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-vanguard-weapon-case) | 1 in 76 | $5.11 | 3.6% | 68 | 59.9 | 1.14× |
| [Shattered Web Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/shattered-web-case) | 1 in 71 | $4.51 | 3.5% | 85 | 64.5 | 1.32× |
| [Chroma 2 Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/chroma-2-case) | 1 in 85 | $4.15 | 2.6% | 72 | 53.5 | 1.35× |
| [Operation Phoenix Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-phoenix-weapon-case) | 1 in 63 | $4.15 | 3.6% | 50 | 71.8 | 0.70× |
| [Spectrum Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/spectrum-case) | 1 in 68 | $3.88 | 3.1% | 77 | 66.9 | 1.15× |
| [Chroma 3 Case container](https://gambatracker.com/items/chroma-3-case) | 1 in 57 | $3.63 | 3.5% | 75 | 79.7 | 0.94× |
| [Spectrum 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/spectrum-2-case) | 1 in 61 | $3.32 | 2.9% | 91 | 74.4 | 1.22× |
| [Gamma 2 Case container · #B0C3D9](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-2-case) | 1 in 45 | $3.27 | 3.9% | 127 | 100.8 | 1.26× |
| [Gamma Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/gamma-case) | 1 in 40 | $3.24 | 4.4% | 92 | 115.0 | 0.80× |
| [Operation Wildfire Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/operation-wildfire-case) | 1 in 41 | $2.98 | 4.0% | 140 | 111.9 | 1.25× |
| [Revolver Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/revolver-case) | 1 in 34 | $2.90 | 4.7% | 146 | 135.9 | 1.07× |
| [Shadow Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-case) | 1 in 25 | $1.77 | 3.9% | 207 | 183.6 | 1.13× |
| [Falchion Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-case) | 1 in 20 | $1.66 | 4.5% | 206 | 226.3 | 0.91× |
| [Horizon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/horizon-case) | 1 in 18 | $1.64 | 4.9% | 306 | 249.6 | 1.23× |
| [Prisma Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/prisma-case) | 1 in 15 | $1.14 | 4.2% | 337 | 308.1 | 1.09× |
| [Danger Zone Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/danger-zone-case) | 1 in 23 | $1.13 | 2.6% | 240 | 194.7 | 1.23× |
| [Prisma 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/prisma-2-case) | 1 in 22 | $1.13 | 2.8% | 273 | 205.3 | 1.33× |
| [Dreams & Nightmares Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/dreams-and-nightmares-case) | 1 in 21 | $0.96 | 2.5% | 252 | 219.0 | 1.15× |
| [CS20 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs20-case) | 1 in 17 | $0.87 | 2.7% | 257 | 262.9 | 0.98× |
| [Gallery Case container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/gallery-case) | 1 in 26 | $0.67 | 1.4% | 245 | 178.2 | 1.37× |
| [Clutch Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clutch-case) | 1 in 17 | $0.49 | 1.5% | 345 | 264.2 | 1.31× |
| [Fracture Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/fracture-case) | 1 in 19 | $0.42 | 1.2% | 281 | 245.1 | 1.15× |
| [Snakebite Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/snakebite-case) | 1 in 16 | $0.35 | 1.2% | 331 | 289.1 | 1.15× |
| [Recoil Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/recoil-case) | 1 in 19 | $0.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 235.9 | 0.00× |
| [Revolution Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/revolution-case) | 1 in 24 | $0.18 | 0.4% | 0 | 191.1 | 0.00× |
| [Kilowatt Case container · Case](https://gambatracker.com/items/kilowatt-case) | 1 in 24 | $0.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 187.1 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/case-battle`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) [Aktualn0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Aktualn0) $2.00 $127 63.69x 2026-11-04 11:58 UTC

[CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) [Bonnart](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Bonnart) $2.00 $127 63.62x 2026-11-09 15:27 UTC

[CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $127 63.55x 2026-11-09 08:40 UTC

[CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $2.00 $126 63.14x 2026-11-11 01:30 UTC

[CS:GO Weapon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/cs-go-weapon-case) [Oogway](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Oogway) $2.00 $125 62.44x 2026-11-05 11:59 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=case-battle)

[Snakebite Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/snakebite-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $0.35 0.18x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Falchion Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:23 UTC

[Falchion Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Prisma 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/prisma-2-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.13 0.57x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Falchion Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Gallery Case container · common](https://gambatracker.com/items/gallery-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $0.67 0.34x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Prisma 2 Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/prisma-2-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.13 0.57x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Falchion Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.66 0.83x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Horizon Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/horizon-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $1.64 0.82x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

[Clutch Case container · Base Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/clutch-case) [-TRAUMS-](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/-TRAUMS-) $2.00 $0.49 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:22 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $2.00 | 92.01% | 37 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.00 | 92.01% | 37 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.00 | 92.08% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.00 | 92.10% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.00 | 92.08% | 37 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.00 | 92.07% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.00 | 92.01% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.00 | 92.02% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.00 | 92.00% | 37 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.00 | 92.03% | 37 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Base Grade 80.8% base 6.7% other 2.2% #B0C3D9 2.2% common 3.9% Case 4.1% best hit $127 (63.69x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.01 on average: an expected loss of $7.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt