---
title: "Chroma 2 Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Chroma 2 Case ($2.40) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.04% from 122 items with odds, observed 80.82% over 145 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:21Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Chroma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Chroma 2 Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=all)

Price · $2.40

Advertised RTP · 92.04% · EV $2.21 from 122 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.82% · 145 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 83.15% ±45.41 136 openings

30 days · 80.82% ±44.10 145 openings

since tracking started · 80.82% ±44.10 145 openings

-0.5% 129.8% 260.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=24h) | 8 | 75.63% ±183.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=7d) | 136 | 83.15% ±45.4 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2) | 145 | 80.82% ±44.1 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma2?window=all) | 145 | 80.82% ±44.1 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 122 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 145 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $158 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $157 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $147 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $145 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $137 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $135 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $135 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $134 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $133 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $130 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $130 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $128 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $126 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $80.58 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $55.69 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $43.79 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $38.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $33.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $29.64 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $22.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $20.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $15.07 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $14.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $14.90 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $14.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-djinn-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $14.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $14.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $14.05 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $13.89 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $13.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $13.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $13.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.02 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $12.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $12.89 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $12.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $12.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Eco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-eco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,124 | $12.71 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 645 | $12.49 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 242 | $9.70 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 148 | $9.03 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 289 | $8.42 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 98 | $7.03 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $6.20 | 2.2% | 5 | 1.1 | 4.49× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $6.15 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $6.14 | 3.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $5.59 | 2.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $5.59 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $4.49 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $4.44 | 2.5% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $4.43 | 2.2% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $4.27 | 2.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 121 | $4.09 | 1.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $4.08 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $3.38 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $3.32 | 2.2% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 59 | $3.16 | 2.4% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.62× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $2.84 | 2.7% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $2.78 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.28× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $2.45 | 2.1% | 7 | 2.8 | 2.52× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $2.23 | 2.1% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $2.20 | 1.8% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $2.08 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $2.07 | 1.4% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.89× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $1.92 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $1.81 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $1.80 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $1.72 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $1.70 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 114 | $1.70 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-factory-new) | 1 in 143 | $1.68 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.97× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 106 | $1.67 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Heat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-heat-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $1.66 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-well-worn) | 1 in 80 | $1.62 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.21× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $1.54 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $1.45 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.66× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $1.44 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.08× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $1.40 | 1.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $1.39 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $1.37 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $1.37 | 0.7% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.36× |
| [MAG-7 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $1.36 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Pole Position (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-pole-position-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $1.29 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.23 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.94× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $1.05 | 1.0% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $0.95 | 1.1% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.52× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $0.93 | 1.3% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $0.88 | 1.2% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 1 in 48 | $0.82 | 0.8% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $0.78 | 0.6% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.54× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $0.69 | 0.6% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $0.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $0.61 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.38× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Armor Core (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $0.59 | 0.5% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.20× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $0.58 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.55 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $0.54 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $0.51 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $0.51 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 113 | $0.46 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-origami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $0.45 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.80× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.65× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $0.40 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.49× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $0.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 181 | $0.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $0.37 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-origami-well-worn) | 1 in 130 | $0.37 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-well-worn) | 1 in 181 | $0.33 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.89× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Origami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.76× |
| [Negev \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Bronze Deco (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-bronze-deco-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.41× |
| [MP7 \| Armor Core (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-well-worn) | 1 in 117 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 116 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Origami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-origami-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $0.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/chroma2`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=chroma2)

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) [ДРЕЛЬ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%9B%D0%AC) $2.40 $1.05 0.44x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Armor Core (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-armor-core-field-tested) [ДРЕЛЬ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%A0%D0%95%D0%9B%D0%AC) $2.40 $0.58 0.24x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-well-worn) [D.Vla.M](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/D.Vla.M) $2.40 $1.37 0.57x 2026-11-11 10:10 UTC

[UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) [FiNiK](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/FiNiK) $2.40 $1.39 0.58x 2026-11-11 07:58 UTC

[MAG-7 | Heat (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-heat-factory-new) [Kapitein](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kapitein) $2.40 $6.09 2.54x 2026-11-10 23:01 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Origami (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-origami-field-tested) [prexenco](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/prexenco) $2.40 $0.32 0.13x 2026-11-10 22:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-well-worn) [Mr.Traher](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mr.Traher) $2.40 $1.60 0.67x 2026-11-10 21:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Bronze Deco (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-bronze-deco-battle-scarred) [Sayfilich](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Sayfilich) $2.40 $2.12 0.88x 2026-11-10 14:05 UTC

[MP7 | Armor Core (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-armor-core-factory-new) [soldado](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/soldado) $2.40 $1.02 0.43x 2026-11-10 07:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Pole Position (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-pole-position-well-worn) [soldado](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/soldado) $2.40 $1.58 0.66x 2026-11-10 07:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.40 | 92.04% | 122 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.40 | 92.06% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.40 | 92.04% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.40 | 92.03% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.40 | 92.04% | 122 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.40 | 92.08% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.40 | 92.07% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.40 | 92.06% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.40 | 92.09% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.40 | 92.06% | 122 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.40 | 92.09% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.40 | 92.09% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.40 | 92.00% | 122 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $2.40 | 92.04% | 122 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.9% covert 0.2% #eb4b4b 0.0% classified 0.5% Classified 0.0% mil spec 11.6% restricted 15.2% #d32ee6 0.1% pink 0.0% Restricted 4.2% Mythical 4.7% #8847ff 4.0% milspec 28.3% #4b69ff 12.2% violet 7.1% Rare 5.7% Mil Spec Grade 2.9% blue 2.4% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.04 on average: an expected loss of $7.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt