---
title: "Chroma 3 Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Chroma 3 Case ($3.62) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 125 items with odds, observed 84.01% over 84 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Chroma 3 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Chroma 3 Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=all)

Price · $3.62

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $3.33 from 125 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.01% · 84 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 15 openings · below min

7 days · 57 openings · below min

30 days · 84 openings · below min

since tracking started · 84 openings · below min

-0.5% 86.8% 174.0%

**Small sample.** 84 openings and 10.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=24h) | 15 | 72.58% ±100.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=7d) | 57 | 83.83% ±53.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3) | 84 | 84.01% ±43.7 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/chroma3?window=all) | 84 | 84.01% ±43.7 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 125 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 84 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $153 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $143 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $139 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $137 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $133 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $133 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $131 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $131 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-field-tested) | 1 in 3,704 | $130 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $130 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $129 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $126 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $125 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Chantico's Fire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-chanticos-fire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $124 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Judgement of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-judgement-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $124 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,571 | $83.41 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $40.61 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $30.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 2,500 | $24.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $23.57 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-factory-new) | 1 in 1,205 | $17.45 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,020 | $15.98 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 333 | $15.71 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 397 | $15.37 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-well-worn) | 1 in 360 | $14.33 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-minimal-wear) | 1 in 633 | $14.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $14.14 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 847 | $13.80 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 565 | $13.59 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 901 | $13.55 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 402 | $13.51 | 1.0% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 280 | $13.38 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-factory-new) | 1 in 820 | $13.36 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $13.23 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 1,064 | $12.97 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 244 | $12.94 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Primal Saber (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-primal-saber-battle-scarred) | 1 in 193 | $12.94 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $12.36 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $12.32 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 99 | $12.23 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $12.20 | 4.8% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $8.95 | 4.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $7.25 | 4.9% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $4.99 | 4.7% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.50× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $4.66 | 5.5% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $3.56 | 4.6% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $3.21 | 4.4% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $2.98 | 3.2% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $2.85 | 3.2% | 5 | 3.2 | 1.57× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $2.34 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.35× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $2.25 | 1.8% | 2 | 2.2 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $2.24 | 1.7% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $2.20 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $1.92 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $1.85 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $1.82 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $1.82 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.58× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $1.81 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $1.76 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 183 | $1.76 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $1.67 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $1.63 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-minimal-wear) | 1 in 280 | $1.55 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Atlas (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $1.55 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $1.49 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $1.47 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 164 | $1.46 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $1.42 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $1.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $1.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-well-worn) | 1 in 323 | $1.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-well-worn) | 1 in 256 | $1.40 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 245 | $1.39 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Re-Entry (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-re-entry-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $1.38 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $1.37 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-battle-scarred) | 1 in 180 | $1.36 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Ghost Crusader (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-ghost-crusader-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $1.33 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) | 1 in 188 | $1.32 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 138 | $1.32 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $1.31 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Firefight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 139 | $1.31 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $1.29 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $1.28 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $1.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $1.04 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $1.02 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [SG 553 \| Atlas (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-atlas-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $0.90 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.95× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Spectre (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-spectre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $0.72 | 0.7% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $0.64 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $0.60 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $0.57 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 168 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [M249 \| Spectre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-factory-new) | 1 in 231 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Spectre (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-spectre-well-worn) | 1 in 231 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 296 | $0.50 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Atlas (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 202 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 259 | $0.47 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M249 \| Spectre (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-factory-new) | 1 in 275 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 1 in 613 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-well-worn) | 1 in 398 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 285 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-minimal-wear) | 1 in 226 | $0.44 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Atlas (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-well-worn) | 1 in 342 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 205 | $0.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-orange-crash-field-tested) | 1 in 535 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-field-tested) | 1 in 358 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-well-worn) | 1 in 353 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M249 \| Spectre (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-spectre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 262 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Spectre (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-spectre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 361 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-well-worn) | 1 in 255 | $0.41 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Atlas (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-atlas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 412 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 538 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) | 1 in 299 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-well-worn) | 1 in 263 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-field-tested) | 1 in 268 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-field-tested) | 1 in 205 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-well-worn) | 1 in 171 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Orange Crash (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-orange-crash-field-tested) | 1 in 212 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) | 1 in 209 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Atlas (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $0.29 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/chroma3`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=chroma3)

[CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-red-astor-battle-scarred) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $1.29 0.36x 2026-11-11 03:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Atlas (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-atlas-field-tested) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $0.29 0.08x 2026-11-11 03:57 UTC

[Galil AR | Firefight (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-battle-scarred) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $1.30 0.36x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-well-worn) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $1.82 0.50x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC

[MP9 | Bioleak (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-bioleak-battle-scarred) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $0.53 0.15x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $3.22 0.89x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-ghost-crusader-field-tested) [Kupātss](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kup%C4%81tss) $3.62 $2.84 0.78x 2026-11-11 03:56 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-tie-factory-new) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $3.62 $3.22 0.89x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ XM1014 | Black Tie (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-black-tie-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $3.62 $1.75 0.48x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Firefight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $3.62 $4.66 1.29x 2026-11-11 03:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $3.62 | 92.06% | 125 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $3.62 | 92.03% | 125 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $3.62 | 92.01% | 125 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $3.62 | 92.01% | 125 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $3.62 | 92.03% | 125 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $3.62 | 92.03% | 125 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $3.62 | 92.08% | 125 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $3.62 | 92.10% | 125 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.62 | 92.07% | 125 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $3.62 | 92.03% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $3.62 | 92.00% | 125 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% Covert 0.1% red 0.0% Legendary 1.0% classified 4.9% #d32ee6 0.4% pink 1.3% restricted 35.0% Restricted 11.5% Mythical 6.2% #8847ff 4.7% mil spec 2.6% violet 3.0% Rare 14.5% Mil Spec 1.3% milspec 8.5% #4b69ff 2.9% blue 1.2% Mil Spec Grade 0.4% other 0.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt