---
title: "Clutch Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Clutch Case ($4.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.40% from 93 items with odds, observed 84.86% over 55 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Clutch Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Clutch Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 88.40% · EV $4.23 from 93 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 84.86% · 55 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 54 openings · below min

30 days · 55 openings · below min

since tracking started · 55 openings · below min

53.0% 85.5% 118.0%

**Small sample.** 55 openings and 8.8 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=7d) | 54 | 86.23% ±31.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch) | 55 | 84.86% ±31.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/clutch?window=all) | 55 | 84.86% ±31.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 93 items · odds summed to 0.9863, rescaled · observed counts over 55 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $101 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $81.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $70.98 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $60.78 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $51.19 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $44.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,176 | $42.32 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $40.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $37.74 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,020 | $37.11 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $35.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $35.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $34.91 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $34.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 4,167 | $32.96 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $30.82 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 342 | $30.58 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 276 | $28.51 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $23.00 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 182 | $22.42 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 127 | $19.21 | 3.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 114 | $16.36 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $12.86 | 3.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 70 | $10.38 | 3.5% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $9.46 | 3.9% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $9.31 | 3.8% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $9.15 | 3.8% | 3 | 1.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $7.66 | 2.9% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $7.37 | 2.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $6.96 | 3.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $6.92 | 3.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $6.33 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $5.03 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $4.54 | 2.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.26× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $4.03 | 3.1% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 32 | $3.96 | 3.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $3.89 | 2.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $3.85 | 1.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 86 | $3.68 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $3.67 | 1.2% | 4 | 0.7 | — |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $3.65 | 1.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $3.65 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $3.63 | 1.8% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.71× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $3.14 | 1.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Lionfish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $2.98 | 1.7% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.38 | 2.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.49× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $1.95 | 2.1% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $1.84 | 1.9% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $1.64 | 1.9% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $1.63 | 1.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $1.34 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $1.27 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-factory-new) | 1 in 47 | $1.22 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $1.12 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $0.99 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $0.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.90 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.98× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $0.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $0.84 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $0.76 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Lionfish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-lionfish-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $0.67 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Well-Worn) weapon · Heavy](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $0.53 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [Nova \| Wild Six (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-wild-six-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $0.50 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $0.47 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 331 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 277 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 251 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-well-worn) | 1 in 186 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 355 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 420 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-well-worn) | 1 in 435 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 763 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-night-riot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $0.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,124 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,064 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,075 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,053 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-field-tested) | 1 in 1,754 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,639 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-urban-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 2,000 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 1,333 | $0.20 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Urban Hazard (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-urban-hazard-well-worn) | 1 in 1,351 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Oxide Blaze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-oxide-blaze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,266 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 562 | $0.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Black Sand (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-black-sand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,136 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Night Riot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-night-riot-field-tested) | 1 in 1,961 | $0.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/clutch`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=clutch)

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-field-tested) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $0.94 0.20x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $1.65 0.34x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-factory-new) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $1.19 0.25x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $4.04 0.84x 2026-11-09 11:23 UTC

[Glock-18 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $1.09 0.23x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $9.14 1.91x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $7.41 1.55x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $1.65 0.34x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [БАРЯ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%91%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%AF) $4.79 $10.29 2.15x 2026-11-09 11:22 UTC

[AUG | Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) [1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/1) $4.79 $7.74 1.62x 2026-11-08 22:36 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $4.79 | 88.40% | 93 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.79 | 87.85% | 93 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.79 | 87.46% | 93 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.79 | 88.05% | 93 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.79 | 88.35% | 93 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.79 | 88.42% | 93 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.79 | 88.21% | 93 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.79 | 88.25% | 93 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.79 | 88.50% | 93 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.79 | 87.63% | 93 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 87.87% | 93 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.79 | 88.47% | 93 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.79 | 87.42% | 93 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.79 | 87.67% | 93 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.79 | 89.13% | 93 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.79 | 87.99% | 93 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.79 | 87.42% | 93 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.79 | 87.95% | 93 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.79 | 88.71% | 93 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.79 | 88.51% | 93 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.79 | 87.88% | 93 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.79 | 88.14% | 93 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.79 | 87.48% | 93 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.79 | 87.31% | 93 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.79 | 87.36% | 93 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.79 | 88.25% | 93 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.79 | 87.96% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.79 | 88.68% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 88.20% | 93 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.79 | 88.43% | 93 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.1% covert 1.3% Ancient 0.1% Legendary 6.9% classified 16.4% #eb4b4b 0.1% Covert 0.4% red 0.5% #8847ff 6.0% restricted 23.9% #d32ce6 2.4% #d32ee6 2.4% pink 3.2% Mythical 10.6% Classified 1.3% Restricted 10.5% milspec 5.4% Mil Spec Grade 4.0% Heavy 1.4% violet 0.3% mil spec 0.5% blue 0.3% #4b69ff 0.5% Rare 0.2% Mil Spec 0.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.4% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.40 on average: an expected loss of $11.60 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt