---
title: "Covert case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Covert ($75.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 91.92% from 85 items with odds, observed 89.20% over 581 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:35Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Covert](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Covert

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=all)

Price · $75.00

Advertised RTP · 91.92% · EV $68.94 from 85 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.20% · 581 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 40 openings · below min

7 days · 89.47% ±7.02 378 openings

30 days · 89.20% ±5.66 581 openings

since tracking started · 89.20% ±5.66 581 openings

49.0% 73.0% 97.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=24h) | 40 | 70.70% ±21.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=7d) | 378 | 89.47% ±7.02 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert) | 581 | 89.20% ±5.66 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/covert?window=all) | 581 | 89.20% ±5.66 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 85 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 581 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 205 | $239 | 1.7% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [M4A4 \| Buzz Kill (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-buzz-kill-well-worn) | 1 in 203 | $236 | 1.7% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $218 | 3.2% | 2 | 5.9 | 0.34× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 242 | $198 | 1.2% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 141 | $197 | 2.0% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.73× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 147 | $196 | 1.9% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.76× |
| [P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $196 | 2.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 397 | $193 | 0.7% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $191 | 1.6% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 278 | $180 | 0.9% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-leet-museo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 155 | $176 | 1.7% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.07× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-field-tested) | 1 in 123 | $175 | 2.1% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $149 | 2.0% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.75× |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 113 | $149 | 1.9% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $145 | 2.0% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.44× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $142 | 1.8% | 8 | 5.2 | 1.54× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $137 | 0.8% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $135 | 1.4% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $135 | 1.7% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 146 | $130 | 1.3% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.75× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $130 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 197 | $127 | 0.9% | 3 | 2.9 | 1.02× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 114 | $124 | 1.6% | 3 | 5.1 | 0.59× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 336 | $123 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $122 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $122 | 1.1% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $120 | 1.2% | 2 | 3.9 | 0.51× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 204 | $120 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.70× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 193 | $120 | 0.9% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $119 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $118 | 0.7% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.72× |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $117 | 1.2% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.73× |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $114 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $109 | 2.2% | 2 | 7.9 | 0.25× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $98.97 | 1.8% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $94.13 | 1.5% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $92.68 | 2.2% | 9 | 9.5 | 0.95× |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $89.16 | 2.0% | 5 | 9.0 | 0.55× |
| [M4A4 \| Royal Paladin (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-royal-paladin-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $89.09 | 1.4% | 1 | 6.4 | 0.16× |
| [P90 \| Death by Kitty (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-by-kitty-field-tested) | 1 in 208 | $87.71 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.43× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-field-tested) | 1 in 176 | $86.08 | 0.7% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.81× |
| [AUG \| Chameleon (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-chameleon-well-worn) | 1 in 144 | $83.68 | 0.8% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Leet Museo (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-leet-museo-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $79.30 | 1.3% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $73.80 | 1.3% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $71.83 | 1.3% | 16 | 7.5 | 2.14× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $71.83 | 1.4% | 7 | 8.0 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $71.54 | 1.5% | 6 | 8.5 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $67.95 | 1.5% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $62.78 | 1.3% | 8 | 8.6 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $61.16 | 1.3% | 11 | 8.7 | 1.27× |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $60.92 | 1.8% | 4 | 11.6 | 0.34× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $58.21 | 1.6% | 14 | 10.9 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $50.23 | 1.1% | 3 | 8.7 | 0.34× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $49.06 | 1.2% | 8 | 10.0 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $47.97 | 1.3% | 12 | 10.8 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $47.65 | 1.1% | 8 | 9.1 | 0.88× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $47.52 | 0.7% | 6 | 5.7 | 1.05× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $47.03 | 0.6% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 172 | $42.25 | 0.4% | 8 | 3.4 | 2.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 81 | $41.01 | 0.7% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $41.00 | 0.7% | 2 | 6.8 | 0.29× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $39.41 | 0.9% | 8 | 8.7 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $38.87 | 0.4% | 13 | 4.5 | 2.88× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 368 | $38.63 | 0.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.90× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $38.05 | 0.4% | 6 | 3.7 | 1.61× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 153 | $37.45 | 0.4% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 357 | $36.07 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.84× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 143 | $35.44 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.0 | 1.23× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 228 | $35.32 | 0.2% | 5 | 2.5 | 1.96× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 170 | $35.30 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 752 | $35.24 | 0.1% | 10 | 0.8 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $35.09 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 170 | $34.96 | 0.3% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 108 | $34.22 | 0.5% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $33.71 | 0.5% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $32.40 | 0.5% | 4 | 6.4 | 0.62× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $30.96 | 0.7% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $30.93 | 0.7% | 13 | 9.4 | 1.38× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $30.65 | 1.2% | 8 | 15.5 | 0.52× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $28.78 | 1.1% | 20 | 15.4 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $26.83 | 1.2% | 13 | 18.4 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $26.20 | 1.7% | 29 | 25.4 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $25.44 | 2.1% | 24 | 32.8 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $22.78 | 1.8% | 41 | 31.2 | 1.31× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $22.44 | 1.8% | 30 | 32.8 | 0.91× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/covert`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=covert)

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-field-tested) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $75.00 $41.35 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $75.00 $48.42 0.65x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $75.00 $47.62 0.63x 2026-11-11 12:29 UTC

[AK-47 | Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $75.00 $197 2.63x 2026-11-11 12:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) [ksp](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ksp) $75.00 $34.11 0.45x 2026-11-11 11:10 UTC

[AWP | Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) [ZODYARA🇺🇦](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ZODYARA%F0%9F%87%BA%F0%9F%87%A6) $75.00 $62.10 0.83x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [ZODYARA🇺🇦](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ZODYARA%F0%9F%87%BA%F0%9F%87%A6) $75.00 $22.39 0.30x 2026-11-11 11:00 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Temukau (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-temukau-battle-scarred) [ZODYARA🇺🇦](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ZODYARA%F0%9F%87%BA%F0%9F%87%A6) $75.00 $28.51 0.38x 2026-11-11 10:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $75.00 $22.39 0.30x 2026-11-11 09:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) [Miler](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Miler) $75.00 $22.39 0.30x 2026-11-11 05:47 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $75.00 | 91.96% | 85 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $75.00 | 91.94% | 85 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $75.00 | 91.99% | 85 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $75.00 | 91.93% | 85 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $75.00 | 91.96% | 85 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $75.00 | 91.95% | 85 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $75.00 | 91.91% | 85 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $75.00 | 91.97% | 85 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $75.00 | 91.93% | 85 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $75.00 | 91.95% | 85 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $75.00 | 91.96% | 85 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $75.00 | 91.94% | 85 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $75.00 | 91.91% | 85 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $75.00 | 91.92% | 85 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $75.00 | 91.90% | 85 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $75.00 | 91.97% | 85 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $75.00 | 92.00% | 85 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 76.7% Ancient 4.3% red 11.4% Covert 2.7% #eb4b4b 4.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 91.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $91.92 on average: an expected loss of $8.08 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt