---
title: "CS20 Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "CS20 Case ($4.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 87.24% from 90 items with odds, observed 83.25% over 75 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [CS20 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · CS20 Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 87.24% · EV $4.18 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 83.25% · 75 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 1 openings · below min

7 days · 57 openings · below min

30 days · 75 openings · below min

since tracking started · 75 openings · below min

-0.5% 180.5% 361.5%

**Small sample.** 75 openings and 12.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=24h) | 1 | 123.38% ±237.6 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=7d) | 57 | 67.11% ±31.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20) | 75 | 83.25% ±27.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/csgo20?window=all) | 75 | 83.25% ±27.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds summed to 0.9825, rescaled · observed counts over 75 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $95.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $94.22 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $79.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $55.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $50.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $48.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $47.28 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-factory-new) | 1 in 3,571 | $43.87 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 658 | $41.55 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 532 | $40.50 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 758 | $39.03 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 581 | $37.74 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 336 | $34.00 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 427 | $27.52 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $21.07 | 3.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-factory-new) | 1 in 120 | $17.80 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 137 | $16.09 | 2.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $13.18 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $10.67 | 3.3% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $10.33 | 3.0% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $9.73 | 3.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $9.31 | 3.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $8.90 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $8.14 | 2.8% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.84× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $6.93 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $6.28 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $5.93 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.09× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $5.81 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $5.33 | 2.3% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $5.20 | 2.1% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $5.15 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $4.72 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $4.68 | 2.1% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.09× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $4.50 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $4.38 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $4.17 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $2.92 | 2.2% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.68× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-classic-crate-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $2.78 | 2.4% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Plastique (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $2.44 | 2.5% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.92× |
| [M249 \| Aztec (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $2.32 | 2.7% | 2 | 3.6 | 0.55× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $2.27 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-flash-out-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $1.91 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $1.85 | 0.9% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.70× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $1.85 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.34× |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $1.76 | 0.8% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.72× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $1.71 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.68 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $1.55 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $1.51 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.86× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $1.42 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.92× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $1.24 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $1.22 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.13 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $1.11 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.08 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Sacrifice (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-sacrifice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 124 | $1.08 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-field-tested) | 1 in 114 | $1.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Agent (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 164 | $1.05 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Plastique (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-plastique-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $1.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 129 | $0.96 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Plastique (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-plastique-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $0.94 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $0.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Assault (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $0.84 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Buddy (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-buddy-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $0.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $0.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Agent (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 199 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-field-tested) | 1 in 246 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-well-worn) | 1 in 249 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M249 \| Aztec (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-well-worn) | 1 in 286 | $0.53 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Popdog (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-popdog-well-worn) | 1 in 405 | $0.53 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Assault (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-assault-battle-scarred) | 1 in 407 | $0.53 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M249 \| Aztec (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-battle-scarred) | 1 in 446 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-field-tested) | 1 in 308 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Decommissioned (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-decommissioned-minimal-wear) | 1 in 442 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-field-tested) | 1 in 543 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-field-tested) | 1 in 559 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Assault (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-assault-field-tested) | 1 in 314 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) | 1 in 355 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 365 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) | 1 in 357 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 353 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Popdog (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-popdog-battle-scarred) | 1 in 358 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-battle-scarred) | 1 in 337 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Classic Crate (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-classic-crate-well-worn) | 1 in 216 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Popdog (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-popdog-minimal-wear) | 1 in 253 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-flash-out-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Flash Out (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-flash-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 195 | $0.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/csgo20`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=csgo20)

[MP9 | Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) [FD](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/FD) $4.79 $5.91 1.23x 2026-11-11 13:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Hydra (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-battle-scarred) [Shpric](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Shpric) $4.79 $9.58 2.00x 2026-11-09 22:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Agent (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-agent-factory-new) [Shpric](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Shpric) $4.79 $16.32 3.41x 2026-11-09 22:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-minimal-wear) [Shpric](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Shpric) $4.79 $2.97 0.62x 2026-11-09 22:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Flash Out (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-flash-out-factory-new) [Shpric](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Shpric) $4.79 $1.78 0.37x 2026-11-09 22:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Buddy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-buddy-well-worn) [Shpric](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Shpric) $4.79 $1.86 0.39x 2026-11-09 22:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Popdog (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-popdog-well-worn) [Martin\_Striker](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Martin_Striker) $4.79 $0.54 0.11x 2026-11-09 20:33 UTC

[M249 | Aztec (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-aztec-well-worn) [Martin\_Striker](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Martin_Striker) $4.79 $0.52 0.11x 2026-11-09 20:33 UTC

[Tec-9 | Flash Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-flash-out-well-worn) [Martin\_Striker](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Martin_Striker) $4.79 $0.47 0.10x 2026-11-09 20:21 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) [Martin\_Striker](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Martin_Striker) $4.79 $1.13 0.24x 2026-11-09 20:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $4.79 | 87.24% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.79 | 87.69% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.79 | 88.33% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.79 | 88.75% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.79 | 87.90% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.79 | 87.07% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.79 | 88.03% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.79 | 87.57% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.79 | 87.74% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.79 | 88.03% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 87.50% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.79 | 87.32% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.79 | 87.38% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.79 | 88.24% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.79 | 87.45% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.79 | 89.56% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.79 | 88.64% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.79 | 87.51% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.79 | 88.40% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.79 | 88.38% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.79 | 87.20% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.79 | 88.04% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.79 | 87.58% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.79 | 87.84% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.79 | 87.30% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.79 | 88.02% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.79 | 87.58% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.79 | 87.75% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 87.31% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.79 | 86.69% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 1.1% classified 22.2% #eb4b4b 0.0% Legendary 0.2% Restricted 9.9% mil spec 7.8% pink 1.6% #4b69ff 1.9% restricted 34.3% Mythical 5.2% Mil Spec 3.6% milspec 7.5% Rare 1.2% Mil Spec Grade 1.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 87.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $87.24 on average: an expected loss of $12.76 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt