---
title: "Danger Zone Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Danger Zone Case ($4.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 91 items with odds, observed 101.43% over 42 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:36Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Danger Zone Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Danger Zone Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $4.41 from 91 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.43% · 42 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 7 openings · below min

7 days · 40 openings · below min

30 days · 42 openings · below min

since tracking started · 42 openings · below min

-0.5% 73.3% 147.0%

**Small sample.** 42 openings and 6.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=24h) | 7 | 52.97% ±93.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=7d) | 40 | 101.06% ±38.5 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone) | 42 | 101.43% ±37.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dangerzone?window=all) | 42 | 101.43% ±37.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 91 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 42 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $70.42 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $63.44 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 3,704 | $60.93 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $58.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $58.25 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 1,818 | $56.92 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $51.81 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $49.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 980 | $48.45 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $47.03 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,326 | $46.54 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $45.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 1,695 | $45.51 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 385 | $44.45 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 422 | $31.93 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 235 | $31.45 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $19.81 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Momentum (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $18.63 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $17.41 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 114 | $14.97 | 3.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $14.92 | 2.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $13.53 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 111 | $13.40 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $12.96 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $9.61 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $9.33 | 2.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $8.20 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $7.70 | 3.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $7.56 | 2.0% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $7.19 | 2.7% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $6.75 | 2.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $6.43 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $5.93 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $5.81 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $5.38 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $5.23 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $5.16 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $5.11 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 152 | $5.06 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $4.99 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $4.98 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 119 | $4.75 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fubar (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $4.66 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $4.60 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $4.51 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $4.32 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $3.83 | 1.7% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $3.36 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $3.31 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $2.97 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $2.97 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $2.84 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $2.69 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $2.34 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 39 | $2.17 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $2.12 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $1.97 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $1.90 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $1.75 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-scavenger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $1.67 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.56 | 0.7% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $1.30 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $1.30 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $1.29 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Signal (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $1.23 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $1.16 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $1.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Wood Fired (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-wood-fired-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $1.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $1.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-field-tested) | 1 in 87 | $0.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Modest Threat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $0.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-scavenger-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $0.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $0.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 106 | $0.78 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $0.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Signal (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Magnesium (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $0.61 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Magnesium (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-magnesium-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $0.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipe Down (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fubar (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Danger Close (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 142 | $0.33 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 532 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-black-sand-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 337 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Danger Close (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-well-worn) | 1 in 331 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fubar (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fubar-field-tested) | 1 in 524 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Fubar (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fubar-well-worn) | 1 in 500 | $0.26 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Black Sand (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-black-sand-field-tested) | 1 in 391 | $0.21 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/dangerzone`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=dangerzone)

[USP-S | Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) [DODO](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/DODO) $4.79 $0.61 0.13x 2026-11-11 02:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) [DODO](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/DODO) $4.79 $2.05 0.43x 2026-11-11 02:43 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP5-SD | Phosphor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-phosphor-battle-scarred) [гусар](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%B3%D1%83%D1%81%D0%B0%D1%80) $4.79 $7.10 1.48x 2026-11-11 01:40 UTC

[MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $4.79 $1.40 0.29x 2026-11-11 00:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-pipe-down-minimal-wear) [Kapitein](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kapitein) $4.79 $2.35 0.49x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Magnesium (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-magnesium-minimal-wear) [Dubasenko\_08](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Dubasenko_08) $4.79 $3.84 0.80x 2026-11-10 19:39 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Danger Close (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-danger-close-well-worn) [Gelik](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gelik) $4.79 $0.41 0.09x 2026-11-10 19:13 UTC

[Galil AR | Signal (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-signal-battle-scarred) [Джоник меньший](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B6%D0%BE%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA%20%D0%BC%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%D1%88%D0%B8%D0%B9) $4.79 $0.80 0.17x 2026-11-09 18:18 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) [гей](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%B9) $4.79 $6.19 1.29x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-scavenger-minimal-wear) [гей](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%B3%D0%B5%D0%B9) $4.79 $1.65 0.34x 2026-11-09 16:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.79 | 92.03% | 91 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.79 | 92.08% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.79 | 92.10% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.79 | 91.99% | 91 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.79 | 92.04% | 91 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.79 | 92.08% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.79 | 92.06% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.79 | 92.01% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.79 | 92.04% | 91 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 91 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.8% Covert 0.0% Ancient 0.0% classified 18.2% #d32ee6 0.9% Legendary 3.7% milspec 6.2% restricted 44.9% mil spec 9.5% #8847ff 2.4% violet 4.9% Restricted 2.9% #8847FF 2.1% Mil Spec Grade 3.2% #4b69ff 0.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt