---
title: "Dreams Nightmares Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Dreams Nightmares Case ($5.51) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 90 items with odds, observed 89.16% over 175 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Dreams Nightmares Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Dreams Nightmares Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=all)

Price · $5.51

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $5.07 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.16% · 175 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 12.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 66.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 3 openings · below min

7 days · 90.61% ±26.62 169 openings

30 days · 89.16% ±26.16 175 openings

since tracking started · 89.16% ±26.16 175 openings

-0.5% 122.5% 245.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=24h) | 3 | 45.92% ±198.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=7d) | 169 | 90.61% ±26.6 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares) | 175 | 89.16% ±26.2 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/dreams-nightmares?window=all) | 175 | 89.16% ±26.2 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 175 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Factory New) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $100 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $73.91 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $73.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-well-worn) | 1 in 1,220 | $68.51 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $67.43 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-starlight-protector-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $67.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $64.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Starlight Protector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-starlight-protector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 633 | $64.26 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 161 | $63.48 | 7.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-battle-scarred) | 1 in 115 | $63.04 | 10.9% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $62.83 | 6.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 103 | $14.37 | 2.8% | 7 | 1.7 | 4.11× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $14.29 | 4.8% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $14.05 | 6.7% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $7.67 | 4.8% | 2 | 5.5 | 0.36× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $7.47 | 2.5% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $7.40 | 3.8% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.08× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $7.37 | 3.9% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.64× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $6.51 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.51× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 109 | $6.46 | 1.2% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $6.36 | 1.5% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-well-worn) | 1 in 68 | $6.27 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $6.25 | 1.3% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $6.10 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-melondrama-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $6.09 | 1.4% | 8 | 2.1 | 3.88× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $6.02 | 2.0% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.69× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Melondrama (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-melondrama-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $5.99 | 2.2% | 4 | 3.2 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $5.86 | 2.4% | 7 | 3.7 | 1.89× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $5.75 | 2.9% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $4.58 | 2.6% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $3.23 | 2.8% | 13 | 7.6 | 1.70× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $2.51 | 2.8% | 11 | 10.0 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $2.15 | 3.1% | 20 | 12.8 | 1.57× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $2.07 | 2.7% | 3 | 11.4 | 0.26× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.97 | 1.7% | 2 | 7.5 | 0.26× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $1.86 | 1.1% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $1.82 | 0.8% | 6 | 4.0 | 1.51× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $1.39 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $1.20 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1.18 | 0.7% | 7 | 5.1 | 1.37× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $0.96 | 0.6% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.92 | 0.3% | 0 | 2.7 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $0.92 | 0.4% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.59× |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $0.89 | 0.2% | 5 | 2.2 | 2.31× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-lifted-spirits-factory-new) | 1 in 62 | $0.77 | 0.2% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.78× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $0.76 | 0.1% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.49× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-well-worn) | 1 in 214 | $0.75 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $0.72 | 0.1% | 4 | 1.2 | 3.37× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 148 | $0.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Zombie Offensive (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-zombie-offensive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 239 | $0.67 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-factory-new) | 1 in 229 | $0.64 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 214 | $0.63 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-well-worn) | 1 in 339 | $0.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-dream-glade-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $0.62 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Dream Glade (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 171 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-space-cat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 299 | $0.60 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-space-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 289 | $0.59 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) | 1 in 450 | $0.58 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-factory-new) | 1 in 217 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 187 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-lifted-spirits-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-well-worn) | 1 in 116 | $0.19 | 0.0% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,724 | $0.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Foresight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-foresight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 641 | $0.18 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Foresight (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-foresight-battle-scarred) | 1 in 909 | $0.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $0.16 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-minimal-wear) | 1 in 474 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-ensnared-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 1 in 469 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-field-tested) | 1 in 472 | $0.15 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-field-tested) | 1 in 862 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 1 in 862 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-necro-jr-well-worn) | 1 in 463 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-field-tested) | 1 in 469 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-well-worn) | 1 in 885 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-field-tested) | 1 in 840 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Scrawl (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-scrawl-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Spirit Board (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-field-tested) | 1 in 833 | $0.14 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Ensnared (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-ensnared-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Foresight (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-foresight-field-tested) | 1 in 877 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-battle-scarred) | 1 in 847 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Lifted Spirits (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-lifted-spirits-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-field-tested) | 1 in 885 | $0.12 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/dreams-nightmares`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=dreams-nightmares)

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) [StuntCoordinator](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StuntCoordinator) $5.51 $6.11 1.11x 2026-11-10 23:20 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-minimal-wear) [StuntCoordinator](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StuntCoordinator) $5.51 $0.89 0.16x 2026-11-10 23:19 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Spirit Board (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-spirit-board-factory-new) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $5.51 $0.59 0.11x 2026-11-10 21:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Scrawl (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-scrawl-factory-new) [ProGameRR121](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ProGameRR121) $5.51 $1.19 0.22x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $5.51 $2.15 0.39x 2026-11-10 19:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) [♿eBoBo♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E2%99%BFeBoBo%E2%99%BF) $5.51 $2.46 0.45x 2026-11-10 18:36 UTC

[MP7 | Abyssal Apparition (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-factory-new) [♿eBoBo♿](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E2%99%BFeBoBo%E2%99%BF) $5.51 $14.53 2.64x 2026-11-10 18:36 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $5.51 $2.14 0.39x 2026-11-10 14:40 UTC

[G3SG1 | Dream Glade (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-dream-glade-factory-new) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $5.51 $3.39 0.62x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Night Terror (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $5.51 $4.56 0.83x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $5.51 | 92.10% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $5.51 | 92.06% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $5.51 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $5.51 | 92.05% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $5.51 | 92.02% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $5.51 | 92.10% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $5.51 | 92.02% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $5.51 | 91.99% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $5.51 | 92.08% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $5.51 | 92.05% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $5.51 | 92.00% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.2% red 0.9% covert 1.4% Ancient 0.0% classified 9.7% Legendary 4.1% pink 5.9% #d32ee6 5.7% Classified 3.0% restricted 14.3% Mythical 19.8% violet 8.3% Restricted 9.5% #8847ff 5.4% Mil Spec Grade 5.4% Rare 0.7% #4b69ff 0.8% blue 0.5% mil spec 0.5% milspec 3.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt