---
title: "Eco case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Eco case ($0.49) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 51 items with odds, observed 126.17% over 1,015 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:39Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Eco case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Eco case

A case on GGDROP (bum), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=all)

Price · $0.49

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $0.45 from 51 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 126.17% · 1,015 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 21.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 114.14% ±18.59 115 openings

7 days · 126.52% ±6.68 906 openings

30 days · 126.17% ±6.34 1,015 openings

since tracking started · 126.17% ±6.34 1,015 openings

91.5% 112.8% 134.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.03% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (119.82% – 132.51%, 1,015 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=24h) | 115 | 114.14% ±18.6 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=7d) | 906 | 126.52% ±6.68 | +10.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case) | 1,015 | 126.17% ±6.34 | +10.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/eco-case?window=all) | 1,015 | 126.17% ±6.34 | +10.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 51 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,015 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $12.49 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $8.96 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $7.51 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $6.47 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Turf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-turf-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $4.76 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-factory-new) | 1 in 529 | $3.57 | 1.5% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.61× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $3.47 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 358 | $3.44 | 2.1% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 319 | $2.69 | 1.9% | 11 | 3.2 | 3.46× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $2.25 | 4.6% | 13 | 9.3 | 1.40× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $1.81 | 2.6% | 7 | 6.6 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $1.51 | 5.4% | 13 | 16.4 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $1.30 | 5.0% | 39 | 17.8 | 2.20× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $1.28 | 4.4% | 20 | 15.7 | 1.28× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $1.03 | 3.4% | 30 | 15.3 | 1.96× |
| [P2000 \| Turf (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-turf-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $0.71 | 2.6% | 47 | 16.4 | 2.86× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $0.69 | 3.3% | 44 | 21.6 | 2.04× |
| [P2000 \| Imperial (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $0.67 | 4.0% | 32 | 27.4 | 1.17× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.64 | 3.6% | 40 | 25.9 | 1.54× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $0.57 | 1.5% | 39 | 12.0 | 3.25× |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $0.52 | 1.6% | 21 | 14.4 | 1.46× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cartel (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cartel-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $0.51 | 1.3% | 18 | 11.5 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $0.51 | 1.7% | 27 | 15.6 | 1.73× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 64 | $0.50 | 1.7% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $0.47 | 1.2% | 24 | 11.9 | 2.02× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $0.47 | 1.1% | 22 | 10.9 | 2.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $0.46 | 0.8% | 17 | 7.8 | 2.18× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $0.46 | 1.0% | 16 | 9.5 | 1.68× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $0.45 | 0.8% | 24 | 8.3 | 2.90× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $0.44 | 1.1% | 33 | 11.7 | 2.81× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crazy 8 (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crazy-8-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $0.43 | 1.0% | 20 | 10.4 | 1.93× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $0.42 | 1.1% | 24 | 12.1 | 1.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $0.40 | 1.2% | 41 | 13.2 | 3.10× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $0.40 | 1.4% | 31 | 16.5 | 1.88× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-ventilators-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $0.38 | 1.2% | 23 | 14.3 | 1.61× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Elite 1.6 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-elite-1-6-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $0.38 | 1.3% | 21 | 15.2 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $0.37 | 1.2% | 32 | 14.2 | 2.25× |
| [Glock-18 \| Warhawk (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $0.37 | 1.1% | 41 | 14.2 | 2.89× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $0.36 | 1.4% | 20 | 17.2 | 1.16× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.35 | 1.8% | 38 | 23.6 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Ventilators (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $0.35 | 1.8% | 47 | 23.6 | 1.99× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $0.34 | 1.5% | 26 | 20.4 | 1.27× |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $0.34 | 1.8% | 44 | 24.5 | 1.80× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) | 1 in 35 | $0.33 | 2.1% | 39 | 28.9 | 1.35× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Grip (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $0.27 | 1.9% | 7 | 32.5 | 0.22× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $0.26 | 2.4% | 0 | 41.7 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.25 | 3.4% | 0 | 61.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $0.23 | 3.6% | 0 | 70.8 | 0.00× |
| [P2000 \| Gnarled (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-gnarled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.21 | 3.2% | 0 | 70.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.15 | 2.9% | 0 | 88.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Gnarled (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-gnarled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 11 | $0.15 | 3.0% | 0 | 90.5 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/eco-case`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=eco-case)

[Glock-18 | Warhawk (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-warhawk-well-worn) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.36 0.73x 2026-11-11 13:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Grip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-grip-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.37 0.76x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.39 0.80x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $1.44 2.94x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $1.52 3.10x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.41 0.84x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[P2000 | Imperial (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $1.04 2.12x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Ventilators (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-ventilators-well-worn) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.35 0.71x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.41 0.84x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Flame Test (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $0.49 $0.50 1.02x 2026-11-11 13:28 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $0.49 | 92.09% | 51 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.49 | 92.01% | 51 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.49 | 92.05% | 51 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $0.49 | 92.08% | 51 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $0.49 | 92.01% | 51 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $0.49 | 92.06% | 51 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $0.49 | 92.02% | 51 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $0.49 | 91.99% | 51 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $0.49 | 92.03% | 51 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.49 | 92.08% | 51 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.49 | 92.10% | 51 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.49 | 92.09% | 51 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $0.49 | 92.00% | 51 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.1% classified 0.9% restricted 5.8% mil spec 15.7% Mil Spec Grade 0.0% milspec 39.4% #d32ee6 0.0% #4b69ff 14.7% Legendary 1.6% Rare 14.0% #8847ff 1.2% violet 1.0% blue 4.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt