---
title: "Emerald case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Emerald ($1,269.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 23 items with odds. Item values at the site’s own prices, biggest and latest drops."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium
rendered: 2026-11-12T16:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Emerald

A case on GGDROP (premium), first seen 12 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=all)

Price · $1,269.00

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $1,167.48 from 23 items

Observed RTP, 30d · — · no counted openings

Variance · 1.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

**No counted openings yet** Openings inside battles and free cases are listed but never counted.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/emerald-premium?window=all) | 0 | — | — | — |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 23 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 0 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 442 | $8,080 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Karambit \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 103 | $7,377 | 6.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 107 | $7,344 | 5.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 113 | $6,653 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 53 | $6,262 | 10.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Factory New) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $5,360 | 12.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 20 | $1,617 | 7.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 14 | $1,370 | 8.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $1,359 | 10.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 21 | $1,232 | 5.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $722 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 15 | $695 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 13 | $646 | 4.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-emerald) | 1 in 40 | $616 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) StatTrak · knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 34 | $586 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 34 | $585 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $558 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 33 | $520 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 21 | $468 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $450 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 16 | $419 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) weapon · red · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 1 in 15 | $345 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Emerald) knife · covert · Emerald](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-gamma-doppler-factory-new-emerald) | 10.0% | $197 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/emerald-premium`, 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=emerald-premium)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Observed RTP over time · daily, 30 days

No history yet

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 12 Nov, 14:58 UTC | $1,269 | 92.00% | 23 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 68.1% extraordinary 16.5% classified 2.7% restricted 5.8% red 6.9%

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt