---
title: "Factory new case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Factory new ($1,416.44) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 68.87% from 80 items with odds, observed 79.37% over 64 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new
rendered: 2026-11-11T15:56Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Factory new](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Factory new

A case on GGDROP (premium), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=all)

Price · $1,416.44

Advertised RTP · 68.87% · EV $975.47 from 80 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.37% · 64 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 23.7% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 71.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 11 openings · below min

7 days · 30 openings · below min

30 days · 64 openings · below min

since tracking started · 64 openings · below min

27.5% 60.5% 93.5%

**Small sample.** 64 openings and 15.7 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=24h) | 11 | 60.44% ±32.2 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=7d) | 30 | 64.75% ±19.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new) | 64 | 79.37% ±13.1 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/factory-new?window=all) | 64 | 79.37% ±13.1 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 80 items · odds summed to 0.9538, rescaled · observed counts over 64 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $3,675 | 10.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $2,224 | 7.0% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $2,085 | 6.5% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.54× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1,789 | 5.7% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1,749 | 6.0% | 5 | 2.1 | 2.33× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $1,669 | 3.3% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $1,661 | 3.0% | 4 | 1.1 | 3.56× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $1,616 | 2.1% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $1,578 | 2.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $1,489 | 2.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $1,431 | 2.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $1,322 | 2.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $1,262 | 2.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $1,249 | 3.0% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $1,094 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $1,060 | 2.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Hydroponic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $1,000 | 2.2% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $985 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 70 | $968 | 1.5% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $965 | 1.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $951 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 108 | $877 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $855 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $854 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-minimal-wear) | 1 in 73 | $840 | 1.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $800 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Field-Tested) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $787 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $774 | 0.8% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 74 | $750 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $741 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $686 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $680 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $637 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $622 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [MAG-7 \| Cinquedea (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-cinquedea-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $593 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $581 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $558 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Lightning Strike (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-lightning-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $555 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 90 | $555 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 92 | $530 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $529 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 73 | $487 | 0.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $482 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $442 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 52 | $429 | 0.9% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $414 | 0.7% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 53 | $405 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.57× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $386 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $369 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $369 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $362 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $291 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $290 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $278 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.84× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $268 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 172 | $265 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $239 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 267 | $237 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 446 | $234 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 154 | $230 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 224 | $226 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $213 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 347 | $209 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $193 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $193 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 467 | $193 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $169 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $165 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $158 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-field-tested) | 1 in 260 | $156 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Oxide Oasis (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $151 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 529 | $145 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 207 | $143 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $136 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $127 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $112 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Field Agent (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-field-agent-battle-scarred) | 1 in 257 | $96.90 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-field-tested) | 1 in 855 | $73.92 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-well-worn) | 1 in 238 | $73.52 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Finish Line (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-finish-line-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $57.54 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/factory-new`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $3,659 2.58x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $2,397 1.69x 2026-11-03 17:16 UTC

[Glock-18 | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fade-minimal-wear) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $2,222 1.57x 2026-11-03 22:27 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $2,202 1.55x 2026-11-03 22:32 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $2,198 1.55x 2026-11-03 17:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-pandoras-box-battle-scarred) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $2,198 1.55x 2026-11-03 17:16 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $1,816 1.28x 2026-11-03 22:33 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $1,816 1.28x 2026-11-03 22:33 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $1,816 1.28x 2026-11-03 22:31 UTC

[AK-47 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $1,416 $1,816 1.28x 2026-11-03 22:30 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=factory-new)

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $361 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $874 0.62x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) StatTrak · knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $747 0.53x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $289 0.20x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $1,257 0.89x 2026-11-11 13:15 UTC

[M4A1-S | Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $485 0.34x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[MP5-SD | Oxide Oasis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-oxide-oasis-battle-scarred) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $238 0.17x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[AK-47 | Hydroponic (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-hydroponic-factory-new) [Best Code:Pisika450 %+Free $](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Best%20Code%3APisika450%20%20%25%2BFree%20%24) $1,416 $3,659 2.58x 2026-11-11 13:12 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blaze (Factory New) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blaze-factory-new) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,416 $686 0.48x 2026-11-10 20:07 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) [PogoManko](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/PogoManko) $1,416 $272 0.19x 2026-11-10 16:00 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $1,416 | 68.87% | 80 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $1,416 | 68.88% | 80 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1,416 | 68.93% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $1,416 | 67.95% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1,416 | 70.24% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1,416 | 68.31% | 80 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1,416 | 68.49% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1,416 | 69.22% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $1,416 | 68.76% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1,416 | 69.79% | 80 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1,416 | 67.90% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $1,416 | 70.06% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $1,416 | 69.11% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $1,416 | 69.35% | 80 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1,416 | 67.97% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $1,416 | 67.73% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $1,416 | 67.08% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $1,416 | 68.56% | 80 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $1,416 | 68.19% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $1,416 | 68.43% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $1,416 | 68.50% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1,416 | 68.71% | 80 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1,416 | 68.66% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,416 | 69.53% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,416 | 68.37% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1,416 | 68.73% | 80 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $1,416 | 68.86% | 80 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $1,416 | 68.20% | 80 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1,416 | 68.95% | 80 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $1,416 | 69.09% | 80 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 19.6% restricted 8.8% extraordinary 14.0% covert 41.8% epic 3.1% #d32ee6 3.1% Classified 1.8% rare 1.5% covert knife 1.2% pink 0.4% best hit $3,659 (2.58x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 68.9% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $68.87 on average: an expected loss of $31.13 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt