---
title: "Furious case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Furious ($0.45) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 28 items with odds, observed 151.36% over 3,854 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:11Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Furious](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Furious

A case on GGDROP (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=all)

Price · $0.45

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $0.41 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 151.36% · 3,854 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 154.36% ±10.08 332 openings

7 days · 149.45% ±3.05 3,447 openings

30 days · 151.36% ±2.89 3,854 openings

since tracking started · 151.36% ±2.89 3,854 openings

91.5% 128.3% 165.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.04% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (148.47% – 154.26%, 3,854 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=24h) | 332 | 154.36% ±10.1 | +12.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=7d) | 3,447 | 149.45% ±3.05 | +36.9σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case) | 3,854 | 151.36% ±2.89 | +40.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/furious-case?window=all) | 3,854 | 151.36% ±2.89 | +40.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,854 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $6.20 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Calligraffiti (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-calligraffiti-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $5.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $4.59 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-night-terror-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $4.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dark Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dark-water-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $3.60 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $3.47 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $3.41 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Stinger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-stinger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $2.84 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Pipsqueak (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-pipsqueak-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $2.78 | 0.1% | 6 | 0.7 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tigris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tigris-field-tested) | 1 in 350 | $2.50 | 1.7% | 16 | 11.0 | 1.45× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Rocket Pop (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-rocket-pop-field-tested) | 1 in 962 | $2.21 | 0.6% | 35 | 4.0 | 8.73× |
| [Charm \| Diner Dog charm · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-diner-dog) | 1 in 73 | $1.56 | 5.2% | 94 | 53.0 | 1.77× |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $1.49 | 8.0% | 136 | 85.2 | 1.60× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.48 | 7.0% | 151 | 75.9 | 1.99× |
| [Sticker \| Flex sticker · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-flex) | 1 in 38 | $1.10 | 6.9% | 201 | 100.8 | 1.99× |
| [SSG 08 \| Zeno (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-zeno-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $0.96 | 7.7% | 253 | 127.3 | 1.99× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Modest Threat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.96 | 8.6% | 264 | 143.8 | 1.84× |
| [P90 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $0.60 | 6.1% | 374 | 161.4 | 2.32× |
| [P90 \| Freight (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-freight-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $0.57 | 7.8% | 403 | 217.6 | 1.85× |
| [Nova \| Rising Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.46 | 5.8% | 525 | 202.8 | 2.59× |
| [Galil AR \| Acid Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-battle-scarred) | 1 in 12 | $0.33 | 6.5% | 608 | 312.0 | 1.95× |
| [USP-S \| Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.29 | 4.7% | 456 | 258.1 | 1.77× |
| [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $0.27 | 6.0% | 320 | 351.6 | 0.91× |
| [UMP-45 \| Warm Blooded (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-warm-blooded-field-tested) | 1 in 11 | $0.19 | 4.1% | 0 | 347.9 | 0.00× |
| [Negev \| Sour Grapes (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-sour-grapes-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.16 | 2.9% | 0 | 293.5 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Picnic (Well-Worn) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-picnic-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.14 | 3.2% | 0 | 366.1 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Banana Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-banana-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.14 | 3.0% | 0 | 342.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Naval Shred Camo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · light blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-battle-scarred) | 10.2% | $0.12 | 3.0% | 0 | 394.6 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/furious-case`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=furious-case)

[Galil AR | Acid Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-battle-scarred) [zzxc](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/zzxc) $0.45 $0.33 0.73x 2026-11-11 12:51 UTC

[Galil AR | Acid Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-battle-scarred) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $0.45 $0.33 0.73x 2026-11-11 12:42 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $0.45 $0.29 0.64x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Nova | Rising Sun (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-rising-sun-battle-scarred) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $0.45 $0.45 1.00x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[M4A4 | Naval Shred Camo (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-naval-shred-camo-factory-new) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $0.45 $0.30 0.67x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[USP-S | Tropical Breeze (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-tropical-breeze-battle-scarred) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $0.45 $0.29 0.64x 2026-11-11 12:36 UTC

[MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) [Kubsa2006](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kubsa2006) $0.45 $1.46 3.24x 2026-11-11 12:14 UTC

[Galil AR | Acid Dart (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #5e98d9](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-acid-dart-battle-scarred) [floreszz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/floreszz) $0.45 $0.33 0.73x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-modest-threat-factory-new) [floreszz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/floreszz) $0.45 $0.97 2.16x 2026-11-11 12:08 UTC

[P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-elite-build-field-tested) [floreszz](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/floreszz) $0.45 $0.60 1.33x 2026-11-11 12:07 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $0.45 | 92.04% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.45 | 92.02% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $0.45 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.45 | 92.04% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $0.45 | 92.02% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $0.45 | 92.06% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $0.45 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $0.45 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $0.45 | 92.01% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $0.45 | 92.07% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $0.45 | 92.08% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.45 | 92.08% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.45 | 92.03% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $0.45 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $0.45 | 92.04% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.45 | 92.06% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $0.45 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $0.45 | 92.10% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 0.3% blue 11.7% Mythical 0.0% Mil Spec Grade 3.7% #8847ff 0.0% pink 0.0% Rare 5.7% mil spec 0.1% #d32ce6 1.4% milspec 5.5% violet 7.2% #4b69ff 10.9% #5e98d9 17.6% Uncommon 9.1% industrial 16.5% light blue 10.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt