---
title: "Gamma Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Gamma Case ($3.61) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 112 items with odds, observed 78.14% over 103 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Gamma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Gamma Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=all)

Price · $3.61

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $3.32 from 112 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.14% · 103 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 91 openings · below min

30 days · 78.14% ±31.41 103 openings

since tracking started · 78.14% ±31.41 103 openings

-0.5% 149.5% 299.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=24h) | 2 | 73.55% ±225.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=7d) | 91 | 79.63% ±33.0 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma) | 103 | 78.14% ±31.4 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/gamma?window=all) | 103 | 78.14% ±31.4 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 112 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 103 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $129 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $119 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $119 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $114 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $111 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,429 | $51.87 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 676 | $31.74 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 1,667 | $29.01 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 571 | $28.06 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 637 | $27.04 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 690 | $23.98 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 535 | $23.73 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $21.35 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $17.65 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 763 | $16.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $14.80 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 481 | $14.60 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 236 | $14.40 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 990 | $14.17 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-well-worn) | 1 in 446 | $13.64 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 704 | $13.36 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $13.23 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 581 | $13.13 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $12.95 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 1,923 | $12.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 483 | $12.79 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 476 | $12.71 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 741 | $12.49 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 351 | $12.48 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-imperial-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $12.22 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 312 | $12.18 | 1.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 347 | $11.90 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Imperial Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-imperial-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $10.14 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-reboot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 154 | $9.74 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Factory New) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $9.35 | 2.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $8.14 | 2.8% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-factory-new) | 1 in 87 | $7.76 | 2.7% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $7.32 | 2.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $6.69 | 2.8% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $6.05 | 2.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.14× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $5.70 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.40× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $5.65 | 2.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $5.37 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $5.33 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $4.54 | 1.6% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.50× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-carnivore-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $4.40 | 1.8% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $4.32 | 2.0% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.64× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $4.28 | 2.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $4.16 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $4.09 | 1.7% | 6 | 1.4 | 4.32× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $3.22 | 1.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.55× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $2.88 | 1.9% | 4 | 2.2 | 1.79× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $2.68 | 2.0% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $2.52 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.52 | 2.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-reboot-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $2.45 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $2.40 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.32× |
| [AWP \| Phobos (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $2.36 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $2.34 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.41× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $2.15 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $2.06 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.52× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $1.99 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $1.85 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $1.83 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-limelight-well-worn) | 1 in 70 | $1.82 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $1.77 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $1.75 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $1.75 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-well-worn) | 1 in 84 | $1.60 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Reboot (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-reboot-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $1.44 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $1.41 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.41 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Limelight (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-limelight-field-tested) | 1 in 54 | $1.40 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.53× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $1.37 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $1.33 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $1.29 | 0.6% | 7 | 1.5 | 4.59× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $1.25 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $1.04 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-factory-new) | 1 in 41 | $0.92 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $0.68 | 0.6% | 5 | 3.1 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $0.64 | 0.7% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $0.63 | 0.5% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $0.62 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 157 | $0.60 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-battle-scarred) | 1 in 413 | $0.59 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-minimal-wear) | 1 in 291 | $0.59 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [Nova \| Exo (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 291 | $0.57 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-field-tested) | 1 in 280 | $0.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-field-tested) | 1 in 345 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 521 | $0.54 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Nova \| Exo (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-well-worn) | 1 in 222 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-well-worn) | 1 in 290 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Aerial (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-aerial-minimal-wear) | 1 in 293 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Ice Cap (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-ice-cap-field-tested) | 1 in 250 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-field-tested) | 1 in 272 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) | 1 in 341 | $0.47 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-minimal-wear) | 1 in 200 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 1 in 225 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Violent Daimyo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $0.44 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-well-worn) | 1 in 266 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-well-worn) | 1 in 166 | $0.41 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $0.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-well-worn) | 1 in 199 | $0.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Exo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-exo-well-worn) | 1 in 155 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Aerial (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-aerial-field-tested) | 1 in 155 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Harvester (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-harvester-battle-scarred) | 1 in 182 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Carnivore (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-carnivore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 1 in 162 | $0.33 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/gamma`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=gamma)

[Nova | Exo (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-exo-minimal-wear) [парень АРБУЗНОГО](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%BF%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%8C%20%D0%90%D0%A0%D0%91%D0%A3%D0%97%D0%9D%D0%9E%D0%93%D0%9E) $3.61 $0.61 0.17x 2026-11-10 21:39 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-factory-new) [SkSfps1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/SkSfps1) $3.61 $4.70 1.30x 2026-11-10 18:12 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-minimal-wear) [storm1k](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/storm1k) $3.61 $0.68 0.19x 2026-11-09 18:54 UTC

[P250 | Iron Clad (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-well-worn) [nCaw | ..Mede](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nCaw%20%7C%20..Mede) $3.61 $0.54 0.15x 2026-11-09 14:40 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-violent-daimyo-factory-new) [nCaw | ..Mede](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nCaw%20%7C%20..Mede) $3.61 $2.31 0.64x 2026-11-09 14:40 UTC

[AWP | Phobos (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-phobos-minimal-wear) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $3.61 $2.61 0.72x 2026-11-08 18:11 UTC

[AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [+WiiiiiLerij \*\_\*](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%2BWiiiiiLerij%20*_*-1325027) $3.61 $1.37 0.38x 2026-11-08 08:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [yho](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yho) $3.61 $1.85 0.51x 2026-11-07 22:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Violent Daimyo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-violent-daimyo-well-worn) [yho](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yho) $3.61 $1.15 0.32x 2026-11-07 22:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Aristocrat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-aristocrat-field-tested) [fatsalıDONK](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/fatsal%C4%B1DONK) $3.61 $1.84 0.51x 2026-11-07 18:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 112 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 112 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $3.61 | 92.06% | 112 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 112 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 112 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $3.61 | 91.99% | 112 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 112 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 112 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 112 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 112 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 112 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $3.61 | 92.08% | 112 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 112 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.61 | 92.10% | 112 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 112 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 112 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.0% covert 0.1% red 0.0% Covert 0.1% classified 4.7% Classified 0.2% Restricted 9.0% restricted 28.9% Mil Spec Grade 3.4% Mythical 1.4% #8847ff 10.4% milspec 20.9% mil spec 12.6% #4b69ff 2.9% blue 2.7% Rare 1.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt