---
title: "Human Cannonball case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Human Cannonball ($21.50) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 47 items with odds, observed 92.74% over 4,862 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Human Cannonball](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Human Cannonball

A case on GGDROP (event), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=all)

Price · $21.50

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $19.78 from 47 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 92.74% · 4,862 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 98.33% ±8.66 619 openings

7 days · 92.66% ±3.44 3,898 openings

30 days · 92.74% ±3.07 4,862 openings

since tracking started · 92.74% ±3.07 4,862 openings

88.5% 98.0% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=24h) | 619 | 98.33% ±8.66 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=7d) | 3,898 | 92.66% ±3.44 | +0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball) | 4,862 | 92.74% ±3.07 | +0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/human-cannonball?window=all) | 4,862 | 92.74% ±3.07 | +0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 47 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 4,867 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Blackbook (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-blackbook-battle-scarred) | 1 in 556 | $220 | 2.0% | 4 | 8.8 | 0.46× |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 391 | $188 | 2.4% | 9 | 12.5 | 0.72× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 234 | $169 | 3.7% | 14 | 20.8 | 0.67× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 3,030 | $151 | 0.3% | 8 | 1.6 | 4.98× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $141 | 0.1% | 14 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 206 | $134 | 3.3% | 15 | 23.7 | 0.63× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Lt. Commander (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-lt-commander-well-worn) | 1 in 362 | $95.39 | 1.3% | 18 | 13.4 | 1.34× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Seigaiha (Field-Tested) gloves · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-seigaiha-field-tested) | 1 in 176 | $86.80 | 2.5% | 26 | 27.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $81.68 | 2.0% | 39 | 23.3 | 1.68× |
| [Getaway Sally \| The Professionals agent · exceptional](https://gambatracker.com/items/getaway-sally-the-professionals) | 1 in 112 | $73.44 | 3.3% | 40 | 43.4 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Battlestar (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-battlestar-battle-scarred) | 1 in 135 | $64.95 | 2.4% | 29 | 36.1 | 0.80× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · #ffd700](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $61.12 | 2.2% | 48 | 34.4 | 1.40× |
| [★ Paracord Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/paracord-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $60.40 | 3.1% | 32 | 48.9 | 0.65× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Forest DDPAT (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-forest-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 118 | $54.41 | 2.3% | 40 | 41.4 | 0.97× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Needle Point (Well-Worn) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-needle-point-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $51.91 | 1.9% | 50 | 34.9 | 1.43× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Bright Water (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-bright-water-battle-scarred) | 1 in 90 | $48.16 | 2.7% | 42 | 54.1 | 0.78× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $46.99 | 2.9% | 51 | 59.3 | 0.86× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $46.39 | 2.6% | 66 | 53.7 | 1.23× |
| [★ Hand Wraps \| Desert Shamagh (Battle-Scarred) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hand-wraps-desert-shamagh-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $43.06 | 3.0% | 71 | 66.3 | 1.07× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $38.71 | 3.0% | 68 | 75.6 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $38.69 | 3.2% | 87 | 78.6 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $34.11 | 3.9% | 103 | 108.9 | 0.95× |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Mangrove (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-mangrove-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $33.34 | 3.9% | 125 | 113.6 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Chrome Cannon (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-chrome-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $27.88 | 3.5% | 154 | 121.2 | 1.27× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $26.68 | 4.3% | 159 | 156.5 | 1.02× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $19.82 | 3.6% | 188 | 173.1 | 1.09× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 23 | $13.39 | 3.0% | 107 | 212.2 | 0.50× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 24 | $13.39 | 2.8% | 241 | 204.6 | 1.18× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $12.90 | 2.7% | 222 | 199.3 | 1.11× |
| [FAMAS \| Djinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-djinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $12.70 | 3.0% | 133 | 229.2 | 0.58× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $12.42 | 2.2% | 206 | 174.1 | 1.18× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellish (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellish-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $12.25 | 0.8% | 119 | 62.7 | 1.90× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-factory-new) | 1 in 79 | $12.10 | 0.8% | 99 | 61.9 | 1.60× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $11.51 | 0.9% | 66 | 71.3 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $11.10 | 1.0% | 94 | 89.9 | 1.05× |
| [G3SG1 \| The Executioner (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-the-executioner-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $11.05 | 1.2% | 89 | 104.5 | 0.85× |
| [P90 \| Trigon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-trigon-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $10.38 | 1.3% | 106 | 119.3 | 0.89× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $9.47 | 1.2% | 106 | 126.7 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $7.76 | 1.2% | 136 | 145.9 | 0.93× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $7.42 | 1.4% | 178 | 186.1 | 0.96× |
| [AWP \| Green Energy (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-green-energy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $7.06 | 1.5% | 185 | 200.1 | 0.92× |
| [Rezan the Redshirt \| Sabre agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/rezan-the-redshirt-sabre) | 1 in 24 | $7.01 | 1.5% | 206 | 201.6 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $5.03 | 0.9% | 187 | 166.4 | 1.12× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $4.36 | 0.9% | 178 | 190.5 | 0.93× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $4.18 | 0.9% | 221 | 214.6 | 1.03× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $3.18 | 0.9% | 285 | 270.1 | 1.06× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $3.10 | 0.7% | 203 | 203.7 | 1.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/human-cannonball`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=human-cannonball)

[AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) [ujebaska](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ujebaska) $21.50 $34.15 1.59x 2026-11-11 18:32 UTC

[AWP | Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) [ujebaska](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ujebaska) $21.50 $5.15 0.24x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [ujebaska](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ujebaska) $21.50 $13.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:31 UTC

[Rezan the Redshirt | Sabre agent · superior](https://gambatracker.com/items/rezan-the-redshirt-sabre) [SadeceÖlülerGörür](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Sadece%C3%96l%C3%BClerG%C3%B6r%C3%BCr) $21.50 $6.99 0.33x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [SadeceÖlülerGörür](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Sadece%C3%96l%C3%BClerG%C3%B6r%C3%BCr) $21.50 $13.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[Tec-9 | Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) [SadeceÖlülerGörür](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Sadece%C3%96l%C3%BClerG%C3%B6r%C3%BCr) $21.50 $13.06 0.61x 2026-11-11 18:21 UTC

[M4A1-S | Basilisk (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-basilisk-minimal-wear) [SAD3S](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/SAD3S) $21.50 $11.08 0.52x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) [SAD3S](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/SAD3S) $21.50 $26.57 1.24x 2026-11-11 18:16 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-crimson-web-well-worn) [SadeceÖlülerGörür](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Sadece%C3%96l%C3%BClerG%C3%B6r%C3%BCr) $21.50 $3.10 0.14x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[AWP | Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-field-tested) [SAD3S](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/SAD3S) $21.50 $11.48 0.53x 2026-11-11 18:10 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $21.50 | 92.08% | 47 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $21.50 | 92.09% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $21.50 | 92.03% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $21.50 | 92.09% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $21.50 | 92.05% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $21.50 | 92.06% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $21.50 | 92.09% | 47 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $21.50 | 92.09% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $21.50 | 92.05% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $21.50 | 92.04% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $21.50 | 92.04% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $21.50 | 92.06% | 47 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $21.50 | 92.07% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $21.50 | 92.10% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $21.50 | 92.02% | 47 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $21.50 | 92.05% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $21.50 | 92.10% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $21.50 | 92.09% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $21.50 | 92.04% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $21.50 | 92.00% | 47 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #eb4b4b 0.9% covert 6.3% covert knife 2.6% epic 0.0% extraordinary 4.2% Immortal 0.6% exceptional 0.9% #ffd700 0.7% gold 1.1% Extraordinary 1.4% Ancient 1.6% red 2.5% classified 35.0% Legendary 7.8% uncommon 1.3% pink 5.7% restricted 1.8% #d32ee6 3.8% #d32ce6 4.1% superior 4.1% mil spec 3.9% #4b69ff 9.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt