---
title: "Hydra case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Hydra ($11.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.01% from 128 items with odds, observed 76.27% over 214 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Hydra](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Hydra

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=all)

Price · $11.00

Advertised RTP · 92.01% · EV $10.12 from 128 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.27% · 214 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 78.00% ±24.88 109 openings

7 days · 76.09% ±18.33 201 openings

30 days · 76.27% ±17.79 214 openings

since tracking started · 76.27% ±17.79 214 openings

52.5% 78.0% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=24h) | 109 | 78.00% ±24.9 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=7d) | 201 | 76.09% ±18.3 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra) | 214 | 76.27% ±17.8 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/hydra?window=all) | 214 | 76.27% ±17.8 | −1.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 128 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 214 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $357 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $337 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $292 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $261 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $255 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $242 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $225 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $224 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $192 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $176 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $160 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $144 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $140 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $133 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $132 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 2,500 | $124 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 1,639 | $108 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $105 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 820 | $87.94 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-factory-new) | 1 in 943 | $87.76 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $82.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $80.08 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $64.49 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobra Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobra-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $63.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,250 | $58.71 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,852 | $55.94 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 980 | $55.44 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) | 1 in 261 | $55.11 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-field-tested) | 1 in 389 | $48.77 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $45.71 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-factory-new) | 1 in 239 | $42.96 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cut-out-factory-new) | 1 in 441 | $42.42 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-factory-new) | 1 in 315 | $37.90 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 286 | $32.39 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-minimal-wear) | 1 in 362 | $31.23 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 177 | $30.85 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) | 1 in 265 | $30.69 | 1.1% | 4 | 0.8 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-factory-new) | 1 in 351 | $29.40 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,818 | $28.89 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-battle-scarred) | 1 in 529 | $28.26 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Orbit Mk01 (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-field-tested) | 1 in 380 | $27.26 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 855 | $27.05 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-grip-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $26.39 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 270 | $25.53 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-factory-new) | 1 in 226 | $24.65 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $24.27 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-minimal-wear) | 1 in 238 | $23.83 | 1.0% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-well-worn) | 1 in 247 | $23.41 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Red Rock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-red-rock-field-tested) | 1 in 271 | $23.28 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-well-worn) | 1 in 185 | $22.28 | 1.2% | 5 | 1.2 | 4.31× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-minimal-wear) | 1 in 186 | $21.14 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-well-worn) | 1 in 262 | $20.45 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $20.33 | 1.4% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-deaths-head-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $20.22 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-field-tested) | 1 in 292 | $19.68 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 207 | $19.18 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-deaths-head-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $18.71 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Death's Head (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-deaths-head-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $18.63 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.87× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 183 | $18.32 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.71× |
| [P2000 \| Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) | 1 in 179 | $17.22 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-death-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 151 | $17.20 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $16.44 | 1.1% | 4 | 1.5 | 2.73× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-field-tested) | 1 in 132 | $16.33 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.85× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-grip-field-tested) | 1 in 168 | $15.96 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $15.42 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $15.35 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Woodsman (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-battle-scarred) | 1 in 150 | $15.27 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Red Rock (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-red-rock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $14.77 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Death Grip (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-death-grip-battle-scarred) | 1 in 142 | $14.74 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Red Rock (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-red-rock-well-worn) | 1 in 85 | $14.50 | 1.7% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $13.88 | 1.8% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $11.10 | 1.3% | 2 | 2.6 | 0.76× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $10.86 | 1.9% | 6 | 3.7 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $10.79 | 2.2% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $10.48 | 2.3% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cut-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 119 | $10.20 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 1 in 104 | $10.19 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $9.77 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.35× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 1 in 106 | $9.72 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $9.58 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.5 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 1 in 69 | $8.87 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $7.79 | 1.0% | 4 | 2.8 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $7.67 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $7.51 | 1.4% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $7.50 | 1.3% | 5 | 3.7 | 1.36× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-factory-new) | 1 in 147 | $7.29 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.38× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $7.14 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 120 | $6.93 | 0.6% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.81× |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 121 | $6.93 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.57× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $6.85 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $6.47 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.97× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $6.15 | 0.6% | 0 | 2.1 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-minimal-wear) | 1 in 92 | $6.06 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-well-worn) | 1 in 72 | $5.67 | 0.8% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $5.65 | 0.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) | 1 in 107 | $5.54 | 0.5% | 4 | 2.0 | 2.01× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $5.39 | 0.6% | 6 | 2.4 | 2.50× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cut-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 165 | $5.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) | 1 in 138 | $5.15 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $5.13 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.74× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $5.05 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Aloha (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 239 | $5.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-well-worn) | 1 in 246 | $5.01 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) | 1 in 314 | $4.96 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cut-out-well-worn) | 1 in 228 | $4.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 193 | $4.79 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $4.70 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $4.59 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $4.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $4.57 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-battle-scarred) | 1 in 152 | $4.47 | 0.3% | 6 | 1.4 | 4.26× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 144 | $4.42 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [M4A1-S \| Briefing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-briefing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 138 | $4.41 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-metal-flowers-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $4.34 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.42× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $4.24 | 0.4% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.58× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-well-worn) | 1 in 90 | $4.20 | 0.5% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 81 | $4.20 | 0.5% | 4 | 2.6 | 1.52× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 83 | $4.17 | 0.5% | 1 | 2.6 | 0.39× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $4.08 | 0.6% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.96× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $4.03 | 0.6% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $4.02 | 0.9% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [Tec-9 \| Cut Out (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $3.84 | 1.0% | 11 | 5.4 | 2.05× |
| [UMP-45 \| Metal Flowers (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-metal-flowers-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $3.80 | 1.1% | 0 | 6.5 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $3.73 | 1.4% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.89× |
| [MAC-10 \| Aloha (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-aloha-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $3.72 | 1.6% | 13 | 9.5 | 1.37× |
| [MAG-7 \| Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $3.66 | 1.9% | 10 | 11.2 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Macabre (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-battle-scarred) | 1 in 16 | $3.55 | 2.2% | 12 | 13.6 | 0.88× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/hydra`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=hydra)

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4B69FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-minimal-wear) [B0RAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/B0RAT) $11.00 $6.70 0.61x 2026-11-11 11:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-well-worn) [B0RAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/B0RAT) $11.00 $7.51 0.68x 2026-11-11 11:20 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) [B0RAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/B0RAT) $11.00 $3.65 0.33x 2026-11-11 11:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Aloha (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-aloha-well-worn) [B0RAT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/B0RAT) $11.00 $7.51 0.68x 2026-11-11 11:20 UTC

[AK-47 | Orbit Mk01 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-orbit-mk01-well-worn) [StuntCoordinator](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StuntCoordinator) $11.00 $30.70 2.79x 2026-11-11 07:30 UTC

[FAMAS | Macabre (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-macabre-factory-new) [StuntCoordinator](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StuntCoordinator) $11.00 $10.86 0.99x 2026-11-11 07:30 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Woodsman (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-woodsman-field-tested) [Enr!en](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Enr!en) $11.00 $15.27 1.39x 2026-11-11 07:23 UTC

[Tec-9 | Cut Out (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.00 $4.97 0.45x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC

[Tec-9 | Cut Out (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cut-out-battle-scarred) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.00 $3.84 0.35x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC

[MAG-7 | Hard Water (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-hard-water-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.00 $3.68 0.33x 2026-11-11 03:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $11.00 | 92.01% | 128 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $11.00 | 92.02% | 128 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $11.00 | 92.02% | 128 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $11.00 | 92.09% | 128 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $11.00 | 92.03% | 128 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $11.00 | 92.10% | 128 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $11.00 | 92.02% | 128 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $11.00 | 92.08% | 128 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $11.00 | 92.04% | 128 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $11.00 | 92.08% | 128 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $11.00 | 92.06% | 128 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $11.00 | 92.09% | 128 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $11.00 | 92.00% | 128 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 3.9% covert 0.1% classified 0.7% mil spec 28.9% restricted 12.1% #8847FF 0.4% Rare 1.7% milspec 17.2% violet 1.9% Mythical 0.4% #8847ff 1.3% other 2.5% Restricted 0.8% #4b69ff 12.2% Mil Spec Grade 11.7% Mil Spec 2.2% #4B69FF 0.8% blue 1.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.01 on average: an expected loss of $7.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt