---
title: "Is for me? case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Is for me? ($7.71) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.03% from 150 items with odds, observed 89.61% over 1,381 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:52Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Is for me?](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Is for me?

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=all)

Price · $7.71

Advertised RTP · 92.03% · EV $7.10 from 150 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.61% · 1,381 openings, odds method

Variance · 5.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.91% ±34.23 207 openings

7 days · 89.49% ±14.70 1,196 openings

30 days · 89.61% ±13.73 1,381 openings

since tracking started · 89.61% ±13.73 1,381 openings

52.0% 87.0% 122.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=24h) | 207 | 86.91% ±34.2 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=7d) | 1,196 | 89.49% ±14.7 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me) | 1,381 | 89.61% ±13.7 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/is-for-me?window=all) | 1,381 | 89.61% ±13.7 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 150 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,382 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $1,288 | 1.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $414 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $355 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $238 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $237 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $197 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $182 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $147 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $135 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $133 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $125 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $119 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $119 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $119 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $114 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $111 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $108 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $95.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $93.72 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $93.65 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $93.15 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $89.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $88.83 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Bullet Rain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-bullet-rain-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $84.12 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $79.57 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 518 | $54.70 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $49.00 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $46.02 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $44.47 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-well-worn) | 1 in 1,639 | $42.89 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-well-worn) | 1 in 412 | $40.65 | 1.4% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.60× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-field-tested) | 1 in 704 | $40.05 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.0 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 658 | $39.95 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Transport (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-transport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 592 | $38.71 | 0.9% | 0 | 2.3 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $36.43 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $35.39 | 1.2% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 386 | $34.27 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) | 1 in 521 | $33.52 | 0.9% | 5 | 2.7 | 1.88× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 450 | $27.49 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-well-worn) | 1 in 215 | $27.47 | 1.8% | 8 | 6.4 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 322 | $26.92 | 1.2% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) | 1 in 219 | $26.17 | 1.7% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $23.06 | 0.7% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 498 | $21.84 | 0.6% | 10 | 2.8 | 3.60× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $21.31 | 1.4% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 307 | $21.04 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.5 | 1.33× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 270 | $20.59 | 1.1% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 236 | $20.10 | 1.2% | 4 | 5.8 | 0.68× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 418 | $19.57 | 0.7% | 8 | 3.3 | 2.42× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 350 | $18.84 | 0.8% | 4 | 4.0 | 1.01× |
| [UMP-45 \| Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 236 | $18.45 | 1.1% | 8 | 5.8 | 1.37× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-well-worn) | 1 in 389 | $17.27 | 0.6% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.69× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $16.76 | 1.2% | 4 | 6.8 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 505 | $15.87 | 0.4% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.19× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $15.24 | 1.2% | 4 | 7.6 | 0.52× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-tatter-factory-new) | 1 in 685 | $15.14 | 0.3% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-factory-new) | 1 in 235 | $15.13 | 0.9% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 324 | $14.95 | 0.7% | 3 | 4.3 | 0.70× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 901 | $14.74 | 0.2% | 5 | 1.5 | 3.26× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $14.01 | 0.7% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 232 | $13.99 | 0.8% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.34× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 324 | $13.93 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 455 | $13.84 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.64× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 219 | $13.75 | 0.9% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.63× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 508 | $13.55 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $13.50 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-battle-scarred) | 1 in 410 | $13.23 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.4 | 0.89× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-factory-new) | 1 in 376 | $13.19 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.7 | 0.82× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 1,818 | $12.86 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 314 | $12.85 | 0.6% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.91× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Demolition (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-demolition-well-worn) | 1 in 568 | $12.59 | 0.3% | 4 | 2.4 | 1.64× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 308 | $12.55 | 0.6% | 0 | 4.5 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 368 | $12.43 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.8 | 0.80× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 228 | $12.35 | 0.8% | 4 | 6.1 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 971 | $12.19 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-tatter-well-worn) | 1 in 275 | $11.72 | 0.6% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $11.70 | 1.0% | 5 | 8.3 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 358 | $11.40 | 0.4% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.56× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 196 | $11.32 | 0.8% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 326 | $11.06 | 0.5% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 182 | $10.75 | 0.8% | 5 | 7.6 | 0.66× |
| [XM1014 \| Banana Leaf (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-banana-leaf-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $10.68 | 0.7% | 4 | 6.3 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-tatter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 230 | $10.51 | 0.6% | 2 | 6.0 | 0.33× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-factory-new) | 1 in 193 | $10.49 | 0.8% | 7 | 7.2 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 217 | $10.38 | 0.7% | 7 | 6.4 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-tatter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 159 | $10.36 | 0.9% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Rose Iron (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-rose-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $10.17 | 0.7% | 12 | 6.4 | 1.88× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-factory-new) | 1 in 146 | $9.83 | 0.9% | 5 | 9.5 | 0.53× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-factory-new) | 1 in 111 | $9.55 | 1.2% | 11 | 12.4 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $9.29 | 1.3% | 6 | 13.6 | 0.44× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $8.19 | 1.3% | 12 | 15.7 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-tatter-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $8.03 | 1.3% | 11 | 16.2 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) | 1 in 73 | $7.70 | 1.5% | 13 | 18.8 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 74 | $7.65 | 1.5% | 7 | 18.8 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 141 | $7.47 | 0.7% | 18 | 9.8 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $7.37 | 0.7% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $7.15 | 0.6% | 8 | 7.6 | 1.05× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $7.14 | 0.6% | 5 | 8.6 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 145 | $6.93 | 0.7% | 16 | 9.5 | 1.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $6.86 | 0.6% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 329 | $6.81 | 0.3% | 10 | 4.2 | 2.38× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $6.80 | 0.6% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.17× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $6.51 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.5 | 0.71× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $6.46 | 0.7% | 7 | 10.3 | 0.68× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $6.34 | 0.8% | 12 | 11.7 | 1.03× |
| [MP9 \| Rose Iron (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-rose-iron-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $6.32 | 0.8% | 6 | 11.9 | 0.50× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $6.29 | 0.7% | 4 | 10.5 | 0.38× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $6.20 | 0.5% | 11 | 8.6 | 1.28× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $6.09 | 0.7% | 15 | 11.1 | 1.35× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 106 | $5.77 | 0.8% | 9 | 13.0 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 128 | $5.76 | 0.6% | 17 | 10.8 | 1.58× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $5.74 | 0.8% | 10 | 13.2 | 0.76× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $5.63 | 0.8% | 10 | 14.2 | 0.70× |
| [MAC-10 \| Tatter (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-tatter-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $5.55 | 0.6% | 26 | 10.6 | 2.44× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $5.45 | 0.9% | 15 | 16.0 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $5.23 | 0.9% | 22 | 16.1 | 1.37× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $4.68 | 0.9% | 29 | 18.0 | 1.61× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Antique (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-antique-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $4.34 | 0.9% | 20 | 20.7 | 0.97× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $4.24 | 1.0% | 20 | 23.3 | 0.86× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $4.24 | 1.1% | 21 | 24.8 | 0.85× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $4.15 | 1.0% | 15 | 23.4 | 0.64× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $4.14 | 0.7% | 16 | 17.1 | 0.94× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 131 | $4.12 | 0.4% | 16 | 10.5 | 1.52× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $4.09 | 0.5% | 14 | 12.4 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 109 | $4.02 | 0.5% | 17 | 12.7 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $3.89 | 0.6% | 15 | 15.5 | 0.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 74 | $3.84 | 0.7% | 21 | 18.7 | 1.12× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $3.62 | 0.9% | 29 | 24.1 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $3.62 | 0.9% | 26 | 24.0 | 1.08× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $3.31 | 0.9% | 37 | 25.6 | 1.45× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $2.80 | 0.8% | 32 | 29.1 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $2.69 | 0.9% | 35 | 33.3 | 1.05× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $2.68 | 1.1% | 37 | 39.4 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $2.32 | 0.9% | 25 | 37.7 | 0.66× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $2.28 | 0.6% | 28 | 24.4 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $2.10 | 0.6% | 22 | 25.7 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 42 | $1.99 | 0.7% | 22 | 33.2 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $1.80 | 0.4% | 17 | 24.0 | 0.71× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $1.75 | 0.5% | 27 | 27.6 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $1.74 | 0.4% | 20 | 24.6 | 0.81× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $1.53 | 0.4% | 26 | 23.9 | 1.09× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $1.42 | 0.3% | 21 | 19.9 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 1 in 67 | $1.41 | 0.3% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $1.24 | 0.4% | 27 | 28.4 | 0.95× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $0.76 | 0.2% | 25 | 25.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $0.54 | 0.2% | 44 | 29.1 | 1.51× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) | 1 in 42 | $0.49 | 0.2% | 43 | 32.8 | 1.31× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 31 | 31.0 | 1.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/is_for_me`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=is-for-me)

[P250 | Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) [Dav3nnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Dav3nnn) $7.71 $3.56 0.46x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Chopper (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-well-worn) [Dav3nnn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Dav3nnn) $7.71 $2.00 0.26x 2026-11-11 17:45 UTC

[M4A4 | Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) [Stmrk](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Stmrk) $7.71 $20.02 2.60x 2026-11-11 17:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Rat Rod (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-battle-scarred) [Giuseppe Antonioli Brosko](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Giuseppe%20Antonioli%20Brosko) $7.71 $11.38 1.48x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) [Giuseppe Antonioli Brosko](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Giuseppe%20Antonioli%20Brosko) $7.71 $2.21 0.29x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-minimal-wear) [Giuseppe Antonioli Brosko](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Giuseppe%20Antonioli%20Brosko) $7.71 $54.30 7.04x 2026-11-11 16:55 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) [nitro](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nitro) $7.71 $1.24 0.16x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[USP-S | Check Engine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-battle-scarred) [nitro](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nitro) $7.71 $0.46 0.06x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Antique (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-antique-field-tested) [nitro](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nitro) $7.71 $7.65 0.99x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

[P250 | Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) [nitro](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nitro) $7.71 $1.53 0.20x 2026-11-11 16:48 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $7.71 | 92.03% | 150 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $7.71 | 92.07% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $7.71 | 92.06% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $7.71 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $7.71 | 92.01% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $7.71 | 92.01% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $7.71 | 92.02% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $7.71 | 92.10% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $7.71 | 91.99% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $7.71 | 92.07% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $7.71 | 92.01% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $7.71 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $7.71 | 92.00% | 150 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% Restricted 4.7% restricted 44.9% classified 12.9% milspec 0.0% extraordinary 0.6% Classified 3.0% violet 4.4% mil spec 9.0% industrial 1.0% Industrial Grade 0.9% Legendary 3.2% #8847ff 6.1% Mythical 2.4% #d32ee6 2.5% pink 2.6% Rare 1.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt