---
title: "JOKER case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "JOKER ($16.52) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 137 items with odds, observed 79.20% over 600 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:55Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [JOKER](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · JOKER

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=all)

Price · $16.52

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $15.20 from 137 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 79.20% · 600 openings, odds method

Variance · 7.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.9% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 48 openings · below min

7 days · 78.28% ±24.90 527 openings

30 days · 79.20% ±23.67 600 openings

since tracking started · 79.20% ±23.67 600 openings

-0.5% 74.5% 149.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=24h) | 48 | 71.75% ±76.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=7d) | 527 | 78.28% ±24.9 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case) | 600 | 79.20% ±23.7 | −1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/joker-case?window=all) | 600 | 79.20% ±23.7 | −1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 137 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 600 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-butterfly-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $3,037 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $1,303 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $640 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $577 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $547 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $515 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $496 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $465 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $464 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $427 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $414 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $366 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $353 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $309 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $305 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $277 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $269 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $257 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $253 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $252 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $239 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $221 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $218 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $206 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $198 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $191 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $179 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $175 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $168 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $144 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Charm \| Butane Buddy charm · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-butane-buddy) | 1 in 5,882 | $141 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $139 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $133 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $130 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $127 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $127 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $126 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $123 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $122 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $117 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $115 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $114 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $113 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| King Snake (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-king-snake-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $111 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Revolution (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-revolution-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $108 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $92.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $90.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $87.13 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $86.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $83.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $83.33 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $83.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $82.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $82.26 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $81.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $80.73 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $79.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $78.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $77.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $75.73 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Crime Scene (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-crime-scene-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $75.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $73.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $71.83 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $71.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 3,571 | $70.75 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $69.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $68.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $67.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $66.35 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $65.83 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 1,961 | $63.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $61.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $61.28 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $60.97 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 303 | $58.91 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 935 | $57.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 348 | $56.38 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.58× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-well-worn) | 1 in 308 | $55.22 | 1.2% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 360 | $48.69 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $46.80 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 202 | $44.75 | 1.5% | 1 | 3.0 | 0.34× |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 242 | $43.51 | 1.2% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-minimal-wear) | 1 in 302 | $42.89 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 356 | $42.25 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 239 | $40.59 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $38.14 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 422 | $37.98 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $35.44 | 1.4% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.83× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 237 | $35.32 | 1.0% | 3 | 2.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 613 | $34.27 | 0.4% | 5 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-well-worn) | 1 in 249 | $30.87 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $30.26 | 1.6% | 4 | 4.9 | 0.82× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 157 | $29.48 | 1.2% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $28.66 | 1.5% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 312 | $28.41 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $27.64 | 1.7% | 2 | 5.7 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $27.59 | 1.1% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 469 | $26.96 | 0.4% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.69× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $26.74 | 1.1% | 8 | 3.8 | 2.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 212 | $23.84 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $22.78 | 1.4% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.54× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $22.78 | 1.9% | 7 | 7.8 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $22.44 | 1.3% | 4 | 5.4 | 0.74× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $22.05 | 1.8% | 8 | 7.4 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 207 | $21.90 | 0.7% | 8 | 2.9 | 2.75× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 1 in 121 | $21.83 | 1.2% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.81× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $21.75 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $21.27 | 1.2% | 5 | 5.2 | 0.97× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $19.89 | 1.4% | 7 | 6.5 | 1.07× |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 65 | $19.61 | 2.0% | 6 | 9.2 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $17.76 | 2.4% | 13 | 12.1 | 1.07× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $16.10 | 2.3% | 5 | 12.9 | 0.39× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $14.61 | 2.1% | 14 | 13.2 | 1.06× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $14.02 | 2.4% | 14 | 15.6 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $13.91 | 2.3% | 13 | 14.8 | 0.88× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $13.33 | 1.7% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.00× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $12.70 | 1.3% | 14 | 9.0 | 1.56× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $12.63 | 1.4% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $12.01 | 1.5% | 8 | 11.4 | 0.70× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $11.39 | 1.5% | 14 | 11.8 | 1.18× |
| [Nova \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $11.10 | 1.3% | 12 | 10.7 | 1.12× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $10.16 | 1.6% | 19 | 14.6 | 1.30× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $9.47 | 1.6% | 11 | 15.6 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $8.81 | 1.6% | 13 | 16.1 | 0.81× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $8.62 | 1.7% | 12 | 18.3 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $7.31 | 1.5% | 21 | 19.1 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 32 | $6.71 | 1.4% | 28 | 18.5 | 1.52× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $6.59 | 1.4% | 16 | 19.9 | 0.80× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $6.38 | 1.5% | 18 | 21.1 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $6.24 | 1.1% | 17 | 15.5 | 1.10× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $6.15 | 0.9% | 12 | 13.6 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $6.03 | 1.1% | 20 | 16.5 | 1.21× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $5.79 | 1.2% | 25 | 19.3 | 1.29× |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $5.58 | 1.4% | 26 | 22.8 | 1.14× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-well-worn) | 1 in 21 | $4.40 | 1.4% | 24 | 29.3 | 0.82× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) | 1 in 18 | $4.14 | 1.5% | 32 | 33.6 | 0.95× |
| [Glock-18 \| Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) | 1 in 15 | $4.10 | 1.8% | 55 | 40.5 | 1.36× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/joker-case`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=joker-case)

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [YETİMHANE KUNDAKÇISI](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/YET%C4%B0MHANE%20KUNDAK%C3%87ISI) $16.52 $4.04 0.24x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [YETİMHANE KUNDAKÇISI](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/YET%C4%B0MHANE%20KUNDAK%C3%87ISI) $16.52 $15.95 0.97x 2026-11-11 13:55 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $16.52 $4.26 0.26x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $16.52 $14.67 0.89x 2026-11-11 12:58 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $16.52 $4.07 0.25x 2026-11-11 12:57 UTC

[Glock-18 | Vogue (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-vogue-field-tested) [mechanic](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mechanic) $16.52 $4.10 0.25x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC

[Nova | Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) [mechanic](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mechanic) $16.52 $16.06 0.97x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ XM1014 | Tranquility (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) [уьу](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D1%83%D1%8C%D1%83) $16.52 $26.57 1.61x 2026-11-11 11:45 UTC

[AWP | Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) [mechanic](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mechanic) $16.52 $13.84 0.84x 2026-11-11 11:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Vogue (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-vogue-battle-scarred) [♛ 𝕂𝕖𝕟𝕥 ♛](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E2%99%9B%20%F0%9D%95%82%F0%9D%95%96%F0%9D%95%9F%F0%9D%95%A5%20%E2%99%9B) $16.52 $6.01 0.36x 2026-11-11 11:09 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $16.52 | 92.05% | 137 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $16.52 | 92.06% | 137 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $16.52 | 92.05% | 137 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $16.52 | 92.01% | 137 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $16.52 | 92.10% | 137 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $16.52 | 92.08% | 137 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $16.52 | 92.09% | 137 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $16.52 | 92.07% | 137 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $16.52 | 92.10% | 137 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $16.52 | 92.06% | 137 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $16.52 | 92.06% | 137 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $16.52 | 92.10% | 137 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $16.52 | 92.05% | 137 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $16.52 | 92.07% | 137 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $16.52 | 92.05% | 137 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $16.52 | 92.05% | 137 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $16.52 | 92.03% | 137 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $16.52 | 92.10% | 137 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $16.52 | 92.09% | 137 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $16.52 | 92.03% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $16.52 | 92.08% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $16.52 | 92.00% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $16.52 | 92.08% | 137 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $16.52 | 92.09% | 137 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed #EB4B4B 0.0% restricted 0.4% covert knife 0.1% classified 61.8% covert 3.7% Covert 0.8% Ancient 0.3% red 1.0% #8847ff 0.0% extraordinary 0.0% violet 0.0% #d32ee6 5.6% Classified 4.4% Mythical 0.4% Legendary 15.5% #eb4b4b 0.4% #d32ce6 0.8% pink 4.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt