---
title: "Minimal Wear case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Minimal Wear ($1,076.10) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.00% from 83 items with odds, observed 78.67% over 20 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Minimal Wear](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Minimal Wear

A case on GGDROP (premium), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=all)

Price · $1,076.10

Advertised RTP · 83.00% · EV $893.18 from 83 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 78.67% · 20 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

7 days · 17 openings · below min

30 days · 20 openings · below min

since tracking started · 20 openings · below min

29.5% 81.0% 132.5%

**Small sample.** 20 openings and 3.2 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=7d) | 17 | 80.85% ±50.9 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear) | 20 | 78.67% ±47.3 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/minimal-wear?window=all) | 20 | 78.67% ±47.3 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 83 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 20 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Minimal Wear) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-minimal-wear) | 1 in 75 | $6,008 | 9.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $5,240 | 9.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Well-Worn) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $4,959 | 8.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $3,922 | 7.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 52 | $1,749 | 3.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 44 | $1,633 | 4.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1,506 | 4.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1,381 | 4.7% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 72 | $1,322 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $1,317 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $1,317 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $1,220 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $1,154 | 1.5% | 3 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1,137 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 58 | $1,072 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $965 | 1.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $849 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $792 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $791 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $776 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $741 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-well-worn) | 1 in 93 | $740 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $686 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $661 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $648 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $586 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $582 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 95 | $579 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 74 | $574 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 178 | $546 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $539 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $535 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $530 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 186 | $528 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Skeleton Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 152 | $514 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $508 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-well-worn) | 1 in 148 | $497 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $493 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 135 | $473 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 123 | $473 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Oni Taiji (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-oni-taiji-battle-scarred) | 1 in 125 | $460 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $456 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $447 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 108 | $433 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 112 | $429 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 96 | $399 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 92 | $396 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $393 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 83 | $374 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-kill-confirmed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $365 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-minimal-wear) | 1 in 105 | $351 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 90 | $341 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $324 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-well-worn) | 1 in 104 | $323 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $318 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $318 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 197 | $309 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $308 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Field-Tested) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $294 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 131 | $288 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 138 | $279 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $277 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 125 | $273 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $268 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $266 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $262 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Oni Taiji (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-oni-taiji-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $255 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $246 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-factory-new) | 1 in 97 | $240 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Snow Leopard (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-snow-leopard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $233 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Minimal Wear) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $209 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Hazard Pay (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-hazard-pay-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $196 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Field-Tested) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $192 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $170 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $165 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 80 | $160 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Case Hardened (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-case-hardened-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $146 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Omega (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-battle-scarred) | 1 in 89 | $141 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $132 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $130 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-bowie-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $103 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $101 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $97.43 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/minimal-wear`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [hhunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/hhunter) $1,076 $1,591 1.48x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $1,076 $1,475 1.37x 2026-11-04 19:47 UTC

[★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-field-tested) [isfab.cs](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/isfab.cs) $1,076 $1,468 1.36x 2026-11-06 11:49 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,419 1.32x 2026-11-08 00:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [LEGOO](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LEGOO) $1,076 $1,410 1.31x 2026-11-04 22:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $1,076 $1,404 1.30x 2026-11-05 19:14 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Karlix\_a](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Karlix_a) $1,076 $1,404 1.30x 2026-11-07 17:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,273 1.18x 2026-11-08 00:15 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,135 1.05x 2026-11-08 00:16 UTC

[AWP | Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fade-minimal-wear) [cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/cat) $1,076 $952 0.88x 2026-11-07 11:50 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=minimal-wear)

[★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-autotronic-well-worn) [cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/cat) $1,076 $89.74 0.08x 2026-11-10 20:49 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $1,076 $166 0.15x 2026-11-09 14:27 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-factory-new) [hhunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/hhunter) $1,076 $1,591 1.48x 2026-11-08 19:20 UTC

[★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $642 0.60x 2026-11-08 00:16 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Skeleton Knife | Fade (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-skeleton-knife-fade-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,135 1.05x 2026-11-08 00:16 UTC

[★ Sport Gloves | Omega (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-omega-well-worn) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $173 0.16x 2026-11-08 00:16 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,419 1.32x 2026-11-08 00:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ AK-47 | Case Hardened (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-case-hardened-factory-new) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $1,076 $1,273 1.18x 2026-11-08 00:15 UTC

[M4A4 | Poseidon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-poseidon-minimal-wear) [Karlix\_a](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Karlix_a) $1,076 $1,404 1.30x 2026-11-07 17:13 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [isfab.cs](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/isfab.cs) $1,076 $344 0.32x 2026-11-07 12:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $1,076 | 83.08% | 83 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1,076 | 83.07% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1,076 | 83.06% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1,076 | 83.06% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $1,076 | 83.07% | 83 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $1,076 | 83.07% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $1,076 | 83.09% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1,076 | 83.09% | 83 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1,076 | 83.03% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1,076 | 83.09% | 83 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $1,076 | 83.09% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $1,076 | 83.10% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1,076 | 83.00% | 83 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $1,076 | 83.09% | 83 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 4.5% covert 41.7% extraordinary 14.1% classified 13.6% #EB4B4B 2.7% legendary 2.1% epic 1.6% covert knife 7.2% mil spec 0.9% sunny 0.6% Classified 2.4% Immortal 4.3% rare 1.5% Ancient 1.3% other 1.4% best hit $1,591 (1.48x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.00 on average: an expected loss of $17.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt