---
title: "Collection 2015 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Collection 2015 ($4.25) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.05% from 67 items with odds, observed 90.01% over 1,104 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:34Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Collection 2015](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Collection 2015

A case on GGDROP (annual-collections), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=all)

Price · $4.25

Advertised RTP · 92.05% · EV $3.91 from 67 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.01% · 1,104 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.76% ±21.85 258 openings

7 days · 88.48% ±11.51 929 openings

30 days · 90.01% ±10.57 1,104 openings

since tracking started · 90.01% ±10.57 1,104 openings

64.5% 87.0% 109.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=24h) | 258 | 86.76% ±21.9 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=7d) | 929 | 88.48% ±11.5 | −0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015) | 1,104 | 90.01% ±10.6 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2015?window=all) | 1,104 | 90.01% ±10.6 | −0.4σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 67 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,104 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $193 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $157 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $147 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $143 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-man-o-war-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $139 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $136 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Man-o'-war (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-man-o-war-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $135 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $133 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $130 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $130 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $128 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $126 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $126 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Chatterbox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chatterbox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $121 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Rust Coat (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-rust-coat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $115 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $109 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $105 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $101 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $58.59 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $55.40 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $39.69 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $39.67 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $35.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Aquamarine Revenge (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-aquamarine-revenge-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $34.43 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $25.57 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $23.00 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $22.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-well-worn) | 1 in 270 | $17.59 | 1.7% | 2 | 4.1 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 877 | $17.11 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [AK-47 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 971 | $16.95 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 177 | $16.80 | 2.4% | 3 | 6.2 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-field-tested) | 1 in 847 | $15.07 | 0.5% | 5 | 1.3 | 3.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $14.17 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-nebula-crusader-factory-new) | 1 in 224 | $14.10 | 1.6% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $14.00 | 0.9% | 2 | 2.8 | 0.71× |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $13.63 | 1.8% | 3 | 5.6 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 820 | $12.96 | 0.4% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.45× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $12.89 | 3.4% | 7 | 11.5 | 0.61× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 124 | $12.69 | 2.6% | 5 | 8.9 | 0.56× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-monkey-business-battle-scarred) | 1 in 171 | $12.49 | 1.9% | 9 | 6.5 | 1.39× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 127 | $9.70 | 2.0% | 9 | 8.7 | 1.03× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 1 in 78 | $8.81 | 2.9% | 26 | 14.1 | 1.85× |
| [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-factory-new) | 1 in 61 | $8.66 | 3.6% | 11 | 18.0 | 0.61× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $8.49 | 3.6% | 29 | 18.2 | 1.60× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $7.48 | 3.0% | 18 | 17.4 | 1.03× |
| [G3SG1 \| Flux (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-flux-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $7.42 | 3.5% | 24 | 20.1 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Malachite (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $7.01 | 3.4% | 35 | 21.2 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Neural Net (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-neural-net-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $6.93 | 5.8% | 33 | 36.2 | 0.91× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $4.61 | 4.1% | 39 | 38.1 | 1.02× |
| [SG 553 \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 27 | $4.55 | 4.3% | 32 | 40.4 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 22 | $4.27 | 5.0% | 42 | 50.4 | 0.83× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $3.39 | 5.1% | 51 | 64.5 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $3.11 | 3.1% | 47 | 43.2 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| System Lock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 20 | $2.19 | 2.8% | 49 | 54.6 | 0.90× |
| [MAC-10 \| Malachite (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-malachite-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.15 | 3.2% | 61 | 65.1 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1.79 | 2.3% | 46 | 56.1 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $1.77 | 2.5% | 50 | 61.6 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $1.70 | 1.4% | 50 | 35.7 | 1.40× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $1.70 | 1.3% | 32 | 32.0 | 1.00× |
| [M249 \| System Lock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $1.62 | 1.3% | 39 | 35.4 | 1.10× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.36 | 1.1% | 32 | 33.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $1.23 | 0.9% | 32 | 31.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| System Lock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-system-lock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.14 | 1.2% | 46 | 46.3 | 0.99× |
| [M249 \| Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1.08 | 1.4% | 54 | 54.0 | 1.00× |
| [MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-deadly-poison-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $1.01 | 1.1% | 55 | 45.7 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.88 | 1.0% | 57 | 48.4 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $0.81 | 1.0% | 50 | 53.0 | 0.94× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/сollection2015`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=ollection2015)

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $0.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.72 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $3.13 0.74x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.70 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.72 0.40x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[M249 | System Lock (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-system-lock-factory-new) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.62 0.38x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[M249 | Nebula Crusader (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-well-worn) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.06 0.25x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[M249 | Nebula Crusader (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-nebula-crusader-field-tested) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $1.56 0.37x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $0.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Deadly Poison (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-deadly-poison-field-tested) [CARCAHİL ADAM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CARCAH%C4%B0L%20ADAM) $4.25 $0.82 0.19x 2026-11-11 13:01 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.25 | 92.05% | 67 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.25 | 92.05% | 67 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.25 | 92.04% | 67 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 67 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.25 | 92.03% | 67 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 67 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.25 | 92.01% | 67 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.25 | 92.10% | 67 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.25 | 92.04% | 67 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.25 | 92.09% | 67 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.25 | 92.07% | 67 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.25 | 92.10% | 67 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 67 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.25 | 92.03% | 67 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.25 | 92.09% | 67 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.25 | 92.09% | 67 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 67 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 67 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.25 | 92.05% | 67 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 67 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 67 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.3% covert knife 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% red 0.0% classified 5.3% Restricted 0.4% Classified 0.1% mil spec 23.3% restricted 22.3% pink 8.8% #d32ee6 1.8% milspec 14.5% #8847ff 5.9% blue 2.9% violet 3.0% #4b69ff 2.9% Rare 8.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.05 on average: an expected loss of $7.95 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt