---
title: "Collection 2018 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Collection 2018 ($4.25) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.10% from 69 items with odds, observed 87.41% over 653 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Collection 2018](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Collection 2018

A case on GGDROP (annual-collections), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=all)

Price · $4.25

Advertised RTP · 92.10% · EV $3.91 from 69 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.41% · 653 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.00% ±22.46 157 openings

7 days · 82.26% ±12.22 527 openings

30 days · 87.41% ±10.98 653 openings

since tracking started · 87.41% ±10.98 653 openings

66.0% 89.0% 112.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=24h) | 157 | 89.00% ±22.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=7d) | 527 | 82.26% ±12.2 | −1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018) | 653 | 87.41% ±11.0 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2018?window=all) | 653 | 87.41% ±11.0 | −0.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 69 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 653 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-forest-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $158 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Forest DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-forest-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $144 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $99.07 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $92.48 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $89.04 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $85.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $80.73 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Bronze Morph (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-bronze-morph-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $78.05 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $75.63 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Ursus Knife \| Urban Masked (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/ursus-knife-urban-masked-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $69.22 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $68.29 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $58.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $56.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $51.81 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $51.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $48.69 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $48.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $47.52 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $47.03 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $46.80 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $46.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $45.90 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 510 | $45.80 | 2.3% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $44.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $37.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $35.44 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 262 | $34.45 | 3.4% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 990 | $33.29 | 0.9% | 3 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 138 | $31.45 | 5.8% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-factory-new) | 1 in 109 | $12.96 | 3.0% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $10.61 | 2.9% | 5 | 7.0 | 0.71× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $10.06 | 3.7% | 12 | 9.5 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 57 | $9.42 | 4.2% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $9.28 | 3.1% | 8 | 8.5 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 84 | $7.45 | 2.3% | 10 | 7.8 | 1.29× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $7.25 | 2.3% | 11 | 8.2 | 1.34× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $7.12 | 2.1% | 7 | 7.7 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 72 | $6.97 | 2.5% | 15 | 9.0 | 1.66× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $6.43 | 2.2% | 11 | 8.9 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| PAW (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-paw-well-worn) | 1 in 101 | $5.94 | 1.5% | 12 | 6.5 | 1.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 59 | $5.81 | 2.5% | 13 | 11.0 | 1.18× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $5.77 | 2.4% | 12 | 10.5 | 1.14× |
| [FAMAS \| Eye of Athena (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-eye-of-athena-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $5.65 | 2.1% | 7 | 9.4 | 0.75× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 65 | $5.11 | 2.0% | 13 | 10.0 | 1.29× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $4.98 | 2.1% | 8 | 10.8 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 57 | $4.60 | 2.0% | 16 | 11.4 | 1.41× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $3.85 | 2.5% | 22 | 16.9 | 1.30× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $3.72 | 2.3% | 16 | 16.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $3.68 | 2.8% | 13 | 19.2 | 0.68× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $3.36 | 2.3% | 13 | 17.8 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $3.31 | 1.5% | 14 | 11.5 | 1.22× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $3.05 | 1.8% | 18 | 14.8 | 1.22× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.69 | 2.1% | 14 | 19.7 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $2.41 | 1.7% | 19 | 18.3 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $2.37 | 2.0% | 22 | 21.3 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $2.37 | 1.9% | 27 | 20.8 | 1.30× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $2.21 | 1.8% | 12 | 21.1 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $1.97 | 1.2% | 22 | 16.0 | 1.37× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $1.92 | 1.3% | 16 | 17.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $1.90 | 1.5% | 16 | 20.6 | 0.78× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $1.65 | 1.3% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.05× |
| [Glock-18 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $1.55 | 1.2% | 14 | 19.0 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $1.37 | 1.2% | 21 | 21.8 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.30 | 1.4% | 28 | 27.3 | 1.03× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $1.24 | 1.3% | 28 | 26.0 | 1.08× |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.21 | 1.3% | 15 | 26.9 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.20 | 1.3% | 28 | 27.2 | 1.03× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $1.18 | 1.4% | 34 | 30.6 | 1.11× |
| [UMP-45 \| Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $0.84 | 1.2% | 34 | 37.5 | 0.91× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/сollection2018`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=ollection2018)

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-well-worn) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $2.41 0.57x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC

[AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $2.37 0.56x 2026-11-11 08:17 UTC

[UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $0.84 0.20x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $9.43 2.22x 2026-11-11 08:16 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-moonrise-factory-new) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $6.98 1.64x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-arctic-wolf-minimal-wear) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $1.37 0.32x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[P250 | Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $2.69 0.63x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[XM1014 | Ziggy (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-well-worn) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $1.24 0.29x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[MP5-SD | Phosphor (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-minimal-wear) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $6.43 1.51x 2026-11-11 08:15 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) [𝕻𝖎𝖓𝖐 𝕬𝖐𝖚](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%95%BB%F0%9D%96%8E%F0%9D%96%93%F0%9D%96%90%20%F0%9D%95%AC%F0%9D%96%90%F0%9D%96%9A) $4.25 $5.81 1.37x 2026-11-11 08:14 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.25 | 92.10% | 69 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.25 | 92.03% | 69 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.25 | 92.07% | 69 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.25 | 92.02% | 69 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.25 | 92.09% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.25 | 92.04% | 69 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.25 | 92.05% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.25 | 92.07% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.25 | 92.04% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 69 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 69 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.1% covert 0.5% extraordinary 0.0% Ancient 0.4% classified 14.4% Legendary 4.1% #8847ff 1.3% pink 1.3% restricted 35.9% Mythical 22.2% Restricted 8.9% violet 10.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.10 on average: an expected loss of $7.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt