---
title: "Collection 2019 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Collection 2019 ($4.25) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 70 items with odds, observed 80.91% over 746 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:03Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Collection 2019](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Collection 2019

A case on GGDROP (annual-collections), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=all)

Price · $4.25

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $3.91 from 70 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.91% · 746 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.1% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 51 openings · below min

7 days · 80.36% ±11.08 704 openings

30 days · 80.91% ±10.77 746 openings

since tracking started · 80.91% ±10.77 746 openings

14.0% 55.5% 97.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.01% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (70.14% – 91.68%, 746 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=24h) | 51 | 55.60% ±40.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=7d) | 704 | 80.36% ±11.1 | −2.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019) | 746 | 80.91% ±10.8 | −2.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/ollection2019?window=all) | 746 | 80.91% ±10.8 | −2.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 70 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 746 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $136 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $129 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $124 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $116 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Minimal Wear) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $115 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $99.72 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Scorched (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-scorched-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $97.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $96.77 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Navaja Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/navaja-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $93.58 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $92.63 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $76.72 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $74.92 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $73.91 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Blue Steel (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-blue-steel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $73.20 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $62.78 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $61.16 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $58.85 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $57.30 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Stalker (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-stalker-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $56.55 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $50.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $49.06 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $48.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $44.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $41.65 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Stalker (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-stalker-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $39.49 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $38.96 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $38.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $35.64 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $33.82 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-embargo-factory-new) | 1 in 337 | $26.27 | 2.0% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 219 | $18.77 | 2.2% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $18.54 | 3.6% | 8 | 5.7 | 1.41× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-factory-new) | 1 in 101 | $16.96 | 4.3% | 3 | 7.4 | 0.41× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $13.55 | 3.7% | 8 | 7.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $11.10 | 3.6% | 10 | 9.5 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $10.64 | 3.1% | 7 | 8.6 | 0.81× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $9.77 | 4.2% | 7 | 12.6 | 0.55× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $8.35 | 4.0% | 9 | 13.9 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $7.67 | 3.4% | 14 | 12.9 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 50 | $7.47 | 3.8% | 13 | 14.9 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $6.42 | 3.6% | 9 | 16.5 | 0.55× |
| [MP9 \| Hydra (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hydra-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $5.92 | 2.5% | 16 | 12.5 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Obsidian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-obsidian-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $5.74 | 2.8% | 9 | 14.1 | 0.64× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $5.38 | 3.2% | 8 | 17.4 | 0.46× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $4.58 | 2.7% | 13 | 17.3 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $4.58 | 1.9% | 17 | 12.0 | 1.42× |
| [P90 \| Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $4.24 | 2.3% | 19 | 16.0 | 1.19× |
| [AK-47 \| Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $4.15 | 2.7% | 20 | 18.8 | 1.07× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $4.06 | 2.9% | 26 | 21.1 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $2.92 | 2.4% | 24 | 24.4 | 0.98× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) | 1 in 33 | $2.70 | 2.1% | 20 | 22.9 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 27 | $2.67 | 2.5% | 31 | 27.8 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $2.60 | 2.8% | 28 | 31.3 | 0.89× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Plastique (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $2.45 | 1.3% | 24 | 16.1 | 1.49× |
| [P2000 \| Obsidian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $2.25 | 1.0% | 16 | 13.5 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $1.99 | 1.4% | 17 | 21.2 | 0.80× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.99 | 1.3% | 19 | 18.6 | 1.02× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $1.91 | 1.2% | 21 | 18.0 | 1.17× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-battle-scarred) | 1 in 37 | $1.89 | 1.3% | 18 | 20.1 | 0.90× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Embargo (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-embargo-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $1.86 | 1.1% | 13 | 17.0 | 0.76× |
| [AUG \| Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-arctic-wolf-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $1.81 | 0.9% | 16 | 15.2 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $1.68 | 1.0% | 13 | 16.9 | 0.77× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1.50 | 1.1% | 19 | 20.7 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $1.23 | 1.1% | 28 | 26.8 | 1.04× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 25 | $1.19 | 1.2% | 25 | 29.5 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.12 | 1.2% | 37 | 32.0 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $0.73 | 0.8% | 47 | 31.9 | 1.47× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $0.73 | 0.8% | 29 | 32.3 | 0.90× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 27 | $0.69 | 0.7% | 30 | 27.7 | 1.08× |
| [UMP-45 \| Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $0.55 | 0.6% | 46 | 32.9 | 1.40× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/сollection2019`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=ollection2019)

[AK-47 | Rat Rod (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-rat-rod-well-worn) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $4.13 0.97x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $4.52 1.06x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Plastique (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-plastique-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $2.43 0.57x 2026-11-11 13:26 UTC

[P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $0.70 0.16x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[P90 | Nostalgia (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-nostalgia-field-tested) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $4.15 0.98x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $0.54 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $2.90 0.68x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $1.13 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[P2000 | Obsidian (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-obsidian-field-tested) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $2.60 0.61x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

[UMP-45 | Plastique (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-plastique-well-worn) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $4.25 $0.54 0.13x 2026-11-11 13:25 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.25 | 92.08% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.25 | 92.10% | 70 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.25 | 92.02% | 70 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.25 | 92.09% | 70 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.25 | 92.06% | 70 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.25 | 92.07% | 70 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.25 | 92.05% | 70 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.25 | 92.00% | 70 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert knife 0.1% covert 0.4% classified 8.2% #eb4b4b 0.0% gold 0.0% red 0.0% restricted 63.6% Mythical 2.3% Restricted 14.0% Legendary 2.3% violet 6.7% #8847ff 2.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

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How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt