---
title: "P250 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "P250 ($1.96) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 150 items with odds, observed 100.91% over 555 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:51Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [P250](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · P250

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=all)

Price · $1.96

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $1.80 from 150 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 100.91% · 555 openings, odds method

Variance · 4.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 19 openings · below min

7 days · 97.64% ±19.85 415 openings

30 days · 100.91% ±17.06 555 openings

since tracking started · 100.91% ±17.06 555 openings

-0.5% 89.5% 179.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=24h) | 19 | 87.16% ±91.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=7d) | 415 | 97.64% ±19.9 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250) | 555 | 100.91% ±17.1 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/p250?window=all) | 555 | 100.91% ±17.1 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 150 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 555 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $122 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $115 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $114 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $114 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $104 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Modern Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-modern-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $66.53 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $56.93 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $52.44 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Undertow (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-undertow-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $46.75 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Nuclear Threat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nuclear-threat-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $43.51 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Whiteout (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-whiteout-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $37.50 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $32.95 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $29.99 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $29.21 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Red Rock (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-red-rock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $24.27 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $23.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $22.45 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $21.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $19.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $18.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Splash (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-splash-minimal-wear) | 1 in 3,704 | $18.45 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $18.01 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $17.35 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $16.98 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Mehndi (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-mehndi-well-worn) | 1 in 2,326 | $16.85 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $15.91 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Bengal Tiger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-bengal-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $15.70 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $15.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,041 | $14.86 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,326 | $14.16 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-well-worn) | 1 in 917 | $13.98 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.82 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $13.80 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $13.55 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $12.97 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-factory-new) | 1 in 1,124 | $12.86 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 704 | $12.37 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $12.36 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,128 | $12.23 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Crimson Kimono (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-crimson-kimono-field-tested) | 1 in 410 | $11.79 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 549 | $11.33 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [P250 \| Cartel (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cartel-field-tested) | 1 in 389 | $10.69 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Well-Worn) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-well-worn) | 1 in 270 | $7.47 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.46× |
| [P250 \| Steel Disruption (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-factory-new) | 1 in 260 | $6.47 | 1.4% | 7 | 2.1 | 3.28× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 198 | $5.97 | 1.7% | 5 | 2.8 | 1.79× |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $5.72 | 2.7% | 7 | 4.7 | 1.49× |
| [P250 \| Contamination (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contamination-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $5.53 | 1.8% | 6 | 3.2 | 1.88× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-well-worn) | 1 in 245 | $4.96 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.32× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-battle-scarred) | 1 in 204 | $4.88 | 1.3% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.47× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 218 | $4.81 | 1.2% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.39× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-factory-new) | 1 in 353 | $4.79 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.6 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 559 | $4.60 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Dark Filigree (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-dark-filigree-field-tested) | 1 in 334 | $4.57 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-factory-new) | 1 in 442 | $4.49 | 0.6% | 6 | 1.3 | 4.78× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 168 | $4.41 | 1.5% | 2 | 3.3 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 283 | $4.27 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.51× |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) | 1 in 459 | $4.16 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-factory-new) | 1 in 212 | $4.12 | 1.1% | 6 | 2.6 | 2.30× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 245 | $3.91 | 0.9% | 6 | 2.3 | 2.65× |
| [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-minimal-wear) | 1 in 244 | $3.76 | 0.9% | 3 | 2.3 | 1.32× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $3.67 | 1.5% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 159 | $3.63 | 1.3% | 7 | 3.5 | 2.01× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-well-worn) | 1 in 179 | $3.47 | 1.1% | 6 | 3.1 | 1.93× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Steel Disruption (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-steel-disruption-minimal-wear) | 1 in 364 | $3.47 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 1.97× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 231 | $3.21 | 0.8% | 3 | 2.4 | 1.25× |
| [P250 \| Hive (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-hive-field-tested) | 1 in 165 | $3.13 | 1.1% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $3.11 | 1.1% | 8 | 3.4 | 2.32× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $3.03 | 1.2% | 5 | 3.8 | 1.30× |
| [P250 \| Hive (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-hive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 145 | $3.03 | 1.2% | 4 | 3.8 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 251 | $2.99 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.35× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $2.92 | 0.8% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.38× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 1 in 175 | $2.77 | 0.9% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 129 | $2.71 | 1.2% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.17× |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $2.70 | 1.1% | 3 | 4.2 | 0.71× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-factory-new) | 1 in 116 | $2.69 | 1.3% | 9 | 4.8 | 1.87× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Contaminant (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $2.67 | 1.0% | 6 | 3.7 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $2.55 | 0.8% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $2.54 | 1.2% | 6 | 4.7 | 1.27× |
| [P250 \| Supernova (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $2.47 | 1.3% | 3 | 5.2 | 0.58× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $2.25 | 1.6% | 9 | 7.0 | 1.28× |
| [P250 \| Gunsmoke (Field-Tested) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-gunsmoke-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $2.10 | 1.4% | 4 | 6.5 | 0.61× |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $1.99 | 1.7% | 12 | 8.8 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $1.97 | 2.2% | 4 | 11.0 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-well-worn) | 1 in 66 | $1.88 | 1.6% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $1.81 | 1.1% | 7 | 6.3 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) | 1 in 81 | $1.68 | 1.1% | 11 | 6.8 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $1.68 | 1.1% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Contaminant (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $1.59 | 1.1% | 3 | 6.8 | 0.44× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $1.58 | 1.3% | 6 | 8.2 | 0.73× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $1.53 | 1.2% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| [P250 \| Franklin (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-franklin-field-tested) | 1 in 67 | $1.51 | 1.3% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $1.50 | 1.1% | 7 | 7.3 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $1.49 | 1.3% | 10 | 8.7 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $1.23 | 1.2% | 6 | 9.5 | 0.63× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $1.16 | 1.2% | 15 | 10.0 | 1.50× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Contaminant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $1.15 | 1.5% | 14 | 12.8 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-battle-scarred) | 1 in 35 | $1.08 | 1.7% | 19 | 15.7 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-field-tested) | 1 in 59 | $1.06 | 1.0% | 10 | 9.4 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Nevermore (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-nevermore-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $1.01 | 0.9% | 10 | 8.5 | 1.18× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $0.98 | 0.9% | 15 | 9.4 | 1.59× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $0.89 | 0.7% | 6 | 8.4 | 0.72× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $0.85 | 0.8% | 14 | 8.9 | 1.57× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $0.84 | 0.8% | 8 | 9.0 | 0.88× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $0.78 | 0.8% | 13 | 10.1 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-factory-new) | 1 in 82 | $0.76 | 0.5% | 6 | 6.8 | 0.88× |
| [P250 \| Contaminant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $0.75 | 0.4% | 10 | 6.0 | 1.67× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Contaminant (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $0.73 | 0.5% | 4 | 7.4 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $0.69 | 0.4% | 8 | 6.2 | 1.29× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-factory-new) | 1 in 139 | $0.69 | 0.3% | 8 | 4.0 | 2.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-well-worn) | 1 in 111 | $0.66 | 0.3% | 2 | 5.0 | 0.40× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $0.66 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.4 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $0.64 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.06× |
| [P250 \| Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $0.62 | 0.4% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-factory-new) | 1 in 121 | $0.62 | 0.3% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 134 | $0.60 | 0.2% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.93× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-battle-scarred) | 1 in 121 | $0.59 | 0.3% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.66× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $0.58 | 0.3% | 3 | 4.7 | 0.63× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 126 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.4 | 0.45× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 166 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-well-worn) | 1 in 137 | $0.53 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.23× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-battle-scarred) | 1 in 159 | $0.53 | 0.2% | 6 | 3.5 | 1.72× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $0.51 | 0.2% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 115 | $0.50 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.8 | 0.62× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $0.49 | 0.2% | 3 | 4.0 | 0.74× |
| [P250 \| X-Ray (Minimal Wear) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-x-ray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $0.46 | 0.3% | 1 | 5.5 | 0.18× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-field-tested) | 1 in 141 | $0.45 | 0.2% | 6 | 3.9 | 1.52× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 126 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 7 | 4.4 | 1.58× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 136 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [P250 \| Iron Clad (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-iron-clad-well-worn) | 1 in 136 | $0.43 | 0.2% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-battle-scarred) | 1 in 129 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 4 | 4.3 | 0.93× |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $0.38 | 0.2% | 12 | 4.3 | 2.82× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-field-tested) | 1 in 161 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 2 | 3.5 | 0.58× |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-field-tested) | 1 in 159 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-well-worn) | 1 in 158 | $0.35 | 0.1% | 1 | 3.5 | 0.29× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Iron Clad (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-iron-clad-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 2 | 5.2 | 0.39× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 9 | 4.0 | 2.23× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 120 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 5 | 4.6 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-well-worn) | 1 in 180 | $0.32 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.1 | 0.97× |
| [P250 \| Valence (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-valence-battle-scarred) | 1 in 146 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 1 | 3.8 | 0.26× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-minimal-wear) | 1 in 188 | $0.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.0 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.8 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Exchanger (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-exchanger-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $0.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.3 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 7.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-battle-scarred) | 1 in 91 | $0.17 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.1 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Metallic DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-metallic-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $0.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 6.6 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Cassette (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cassette (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cassette-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $0.15 | 0.1% | 0 | 5.5 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/p250`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=p250)

[StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-well-worn) [VØID](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/V%C3%98ID) $1.96 $1.86 0.95x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[P250 | Wingshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-wingshot-battle-scarred) [VØID](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/V%C3%98ID) $1.96 $1.46 0.74x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Contaminant (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-contaminant-well-worn) [VØID](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/V%C3%98ID) $1.96 $1.15 0.59x 2026-11-11 11:55 UTC

[P250 | Contaminant (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-battle-scarred) [Дядя-Вася)](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D1%8F%D0%B4%D1%8F-%D0%92%D0%B0%D1%81%D1%8F%29) $1.96 $0.73 0.37x 2026-11-10 21:05 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | X-Ray (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-x-ray-field-tested) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $1.96 $1.72 0.88x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Ripple (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-well-worn) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $1.96 $0.34 0.17x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

[P250 | Inferno (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-inferno-field-tested) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $1.96 $0.59 0.30x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $1.96 $0.71 0.36x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Inferno (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-inferno-well-worn) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $1.96 $1.89 0.96x 2026-11-10 20:28 UTC

[P250 | Contaminant (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-contaminant-well-worn) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $1.96 $0.78 0.40x 2026-11-10 16:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1.96 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $1.96 | 92.05% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.96 | 92.02% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $1.96 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1.96 | 92.06% | 150 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.96 | 92.10% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $1.96 | 92.02% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $1.96 | 92.02% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $1.96 | 92.05% | 150 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $1.96 | 92.03% | 150 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $1.96 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.96 | 92.06% | 150 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.96 | 92.03% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.96 | 92.07% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.96 | 92.09% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.96 | 92.03% | 150 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $1.96 | 92.05% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $1.96 | 92.00% | 150 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $1.96 | 92.07% | 150 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 2.2% covert 0.1% mil spec 6.6% classified 2.6% Legendary 1.5% Mythical 4.7% milspec 22.1% #d32ee6 0.6% restricted 25.7% industrial 3.6% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% Rare 2.1% #4b69ff 5.9% #d32ce6 0.6% #8847ff 5.3% Industrial Grade 0.4% pink 0.9% Restricted 4.0% Uncommon 1.2% blue 7.1% violet 2.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt