---
title: "Platinum Knife case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Platinum Knife ($359.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.07% from 42 items with odds, observed 94.16% over 503 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife
rendered: 2026-11-11T18:23Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Platinum Knife](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Platinum Knife

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=all)

Price · $359.00

Advertised RTP · 92.07% · EV $330.52 from 42 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 94.16% · 503 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 29 openings · below min

7 days · 99.84% ±10.79 344 openings

30 days · 94.16% ±8.98 503 openings

since tracking started · 94.16% ±8.98 503 openings

32.0% 71.8% 111.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=24h) | 29 | 69.74% ±37.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=7d) | 344 | 99.84% ±10.8 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife) | 503 | 94.16% ±8.98 | +0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/platinum-knife?window=all) | 503 | 94.16% ±8.98 | +0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 42 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 504 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 5,263 | $4,495 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) | 1 in 138 | $2,223 | 4.9% | 2 | 3.7 | 0.55× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-4) | 1 in 105 | $1,532 | 4.4% | 2 | 4.8 | 0.42× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $1,465 | 4.8% | 6 | 5.4 | 1.11× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $1,436 | 3.9% | 1 | 4.6 | 0.22× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-minimal-wear) | 1 in 123 | $1,324 | 3.2% | 5 | 4.1 | 1.22× |
| [★ Butterfly Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 198 | $1,199 | 1.8% | 6 | 2.5 | 2.36× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $1,014 | 3.0% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× |
| [★ Talon Knife \| Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 4) knife · covert · Phase 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/talon-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-4) | 1 in 91 | $952 | 3.2% | 8 | 5.5 | 1.44× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 77 | $822 | 3.2% | 6 | 6.5 | 0.92× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 66 | $653 | 3.0% | 11 | 7.6 | 1.45× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-battle-scarred) | 1 in 63 | $642 | 3.1% | 4 | 8.0 | 0.50× |
| [★ Karambit \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $630 | 3.4% | 11 | 8.9 | 1.23× |
| [★ Karambit \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 59 | $608 | 3.1% | 6 | 8.6 | 0.70× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) | 1 in 90 | $606 | 2.0% | 1 | 5.6 | 0.18× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 75 | $541 | 2.2% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.90× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 56 | $509 | 2.7% | 7 | 9.0 | 0.78× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 59 | $475 | 2.4% | 7 | 8.5 | 0.82× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $454 | 3.1% | 12 | 11.3 | 1.06× |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 45 | $452 | 3.0% | 12 | 11.2 | 1.07× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $391 | 2.7% | 11 | 11.7 | 0.94× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $355 | 2.6% | 17 | 12.4 | 1.37× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $305 | 2.7% | 16 | 14.7 | 1.09× |
| [★ Nomad Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/nomad-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $301 | 3.2% | 20 | 17.5 | 1.14× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 31 | $291 | 2.8% | 16 | 16.0 | 1.00× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) | 1 in 31 | $253 | 2.5% | 11 | 16.3 | 0.68× |
| [★ Skeleton Knife knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/skeleton-knife) | 1 in 36 | $232 | 1.9% | 15 | 14.0 | 1.07× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) | 1 in 29 | $193 | 2.0% | 14 | 17.3 | 0.81× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $192 | 2.1% | 17 | 18.3 | 0.93× |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $189 | 2.0% | 22 | 17.8 | 1.24× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-well-worn) | 1 in 29 | $159 | 1.6% | 27 | 17.3 | 1.56× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-battle-scarred) | 1 in 42 | $153 | 1.1% | 13 | 11.9 | 1.09× |
| [★ Bayonet \| Ultraviolet (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $152 | 1.4% | 11 | 14.9 | 0.74× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $137 | 1.4% | 11 | 17.6 | 0.63× |
| [★ Survival Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $131 | 1.1% | 16 | 13.5 | 1.19× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $123 | 1.1% | 14 | 15.2 | 0.92× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 26 | $106 | 1.2% | 14 | 19.4 | 0.72× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $103 | 1.1% | 14 | 18.3 | 0.76× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $96.78 | 1.1% | 21 | 19.6 | 1.07× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $89.01 | 1.2% | 27 | 22.9 | 1.18× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Well-Worn) knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $74.68 | 1.0% | 20 | 22.3 | 0.90× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Freehand (Field-Tested) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-freehand-field-tested) | 1 in 18 | $67.51 | 1.1% | 23 | 27.6 | 0.83× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/platinum-knife`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-2) [r1stAAAA火影](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/r1stAAAA%E7%81%AB%E5%BD%B1) $359 $4,495 12.52x 2026-11-08 08:09 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [Fetan Eger](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Fetan%20Eger) $359 $2,415 6.73x 2026-11-03 04:27 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new) [%10 BONUS CODE: ASLAN](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%2510%20BONUS%20CODE%3A%20ASLAN) $359 $2,408 6.71x 2026-11-03 22:59 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $359 $2,306 6.42x 2026-11-05 00:27 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 3) knife · covert · Phase 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-doppler-factory-new-phase-3) [Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Retr0) $359 $2,277 6.34x 2026-11-08 18:37 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [r1stAAAA火影](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/r1stAAAA%E7%81%AB%E5%BD%B1) $359 $1,531 4.27x 2026-11-08 13:01 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [luk4](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/luk4) $359 $1,516 4.22x 2026-11-06 16:33 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [kuzzi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/kuzzi) $359 $1,507 4.20x 2026-11-07 16:19 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $1,502 4.18x 2026-11-08 00:18 UTC

[★ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/butterfly-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $1,502 4.18x 2026-11-08 00:14 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=platinum-knife)

[★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $89.08 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $89.08 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler (Minimal Wear) (Phase 1) knife · covert · Phase 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-gamma-doppler-minimal-wear-phase-1) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $252 0.70x 2026-11-11 18:23 UTC

[★ Karambit | Lore (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/karambit-lore-field-tested) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $652 1.82x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $135 0.38x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

[★ Survival Knife | Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/survival-knife-slaughter-field-tested) [Ben İGA](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Ben%20%C4%B0GA) $359 $129 0.36x 2026-11-11 18:20 UTC

[★ Bayonet | Ultraviolet (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bayonet-ultraviolet-well-worn) [Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Retr0) $359 $157 0.44x 2026-11-11 17:42 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) [Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Retr0) $359 $163 0.45x 2026-11-11 17:36 UTC

[★ Flip Knife | Gamma Doppler (Factory New) (Phase 2) knife · covert · Phase 2](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-gamma-doppler-factory-new-phase-2) [Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Retr0) $359 $503 1.40x 2026-11-11 17:35 UTC

[★ Huntsman Knife | Damascus Steel (Field-Tested) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-damascus-steel-field-tested) [Retr0](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Retr0) $359 $89.08 0.25x 2026-11-11 17:32 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $359 | 92.07% | 42 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $359 | 92.09% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $359 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $359 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $359 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $359 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $359 | 92.04% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $359 | 92.09% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $359 | 92.05% | 42 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $359 | 92.09% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $359 | 92.00% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $359 | 92.09% | 42 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $359 | 92.04% | 42 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 60.5% gold 5.0% covert knife 17.1% rare 9.5% epic 3.5% Covert 4.4% best hit $4,495 (12.52x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.07 on average: an expected loss of $7.93 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt