---
title: "Prisma 2 Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Prisma 2 Case ($4.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.06% from 90 items with odds, observed 87.94% over 14 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:27Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Prisma 2 Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Prisma 2 Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 92.06% · EV $4.41 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.94% · 14 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 68.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 10 openings · below min

30 days · 14 openings · below min

since tracking started · 14 openings · below min

-0.5% 116.0% 232.5%

**Small sample.** 14 openings and 2.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=24h) | 5 | 111.86% ±119.9 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=7d) | 10 | 101.94% ±85.7 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case) | 14 | 87.94% ±72.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prisma2case?window=all) | 14 | 87.94% ±72.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 14 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $117 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $86.65 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $76.69 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $66.27 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $65.72 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $65.31 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $64.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 1,087 | $63.60 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $63.17 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $62.42 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-field-tested) | 1 in 1,220 | $60.92 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $60.57 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Player Two (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-player-two-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,128 | $59.30 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $58.52 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Bullet Queen (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-bullet-queen-well-worn) | 1 in 833 | $58.38 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $51.02 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-factory-new) | 1 in 368 | $33.20 | 2.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-factory-new) | 1 in 524 | $22.78 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 139 | $20.13 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $17.76 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-factory-new) | 1 in 121 | $17.20 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $14.62 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $14.28 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [P2000 \| Acid Etched (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-acid-etched-factory-new) | 1 in 140 | $13.97 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 1 in 114 | $12.64 | 2.5% | 2 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 92 | $10.20 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 102 | $9.83 | 2.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $8.81 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 81 | $8.67 | 2.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-minimal-wear) | 1 in 147 | $8.62 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AWP \| Capillary (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 105 | $8.40 | 1.8% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-blue-ply-factory-new) | 1 in 172 | $7.71 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $7.55 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $7.50 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $7.11 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-disco-tech-well-worn) | 1 in 118 | $6.71 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $6.52 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) | 1 in 89 | $6.47 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $6.38 | 1.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $6.34 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 105 | $6.29 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $6.12 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $6.03 | 1.9% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) | 1 in 55 | $5.63 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $5.58 | 2.8% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAG-7 \| Justice (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $5.50 | 3.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $3.86 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $3.49 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $2.71 | 2.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 17 | $2.41 | 3.2% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 25 | $2.26 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 26 | $2.25 | 2.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Capillary (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-capillary-well-worn) | 1 in 44 | $2.20 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $2.18 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) | 1 in 66 | $2.11 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $2.07 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $1.89 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-distressed-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $1.47 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-desert-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1.42 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1.30 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) | 1 in 32 | $1.14 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $1.03 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.97 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-enforcer-well-worn) | 1 in 59 | $0.89 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $0.89 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $0.88 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Acid Etched (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 98 | $0.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-field-tested) | 1 in 122 | $0.70 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Prototype (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-minimal-wear) | 1 in 136 | $0.68 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-field-tested) | 1 in 106 | $0.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 118 | $0.67 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-factory-new) | 1 in 118 | $0.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Darkwing (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-darkwing-well-worn) | 1 in 119 | $0.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Enforcer (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-well-worn) | 1 in 216 | $0.61 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Apocalypto (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-apocalypto-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $0.60 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 140 | $0.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $0.41 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $0.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-desert-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 120 | $0.37 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 389 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) | 1 in 280 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-bone-forged-field-tested) | 1 in 461 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| Prototype (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-prototype-field-tested) | 1 in 435 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Distressed (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-distressed-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Negev \| Prototype (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-prototype-battle-scarred) | 1 in 235 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Bone Forged (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-bone-forged-battle-scarred) | 1 in 469 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [MP5-SD \| Desert Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-desert-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 300 | $0.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 282 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-field-tested) | 1 in 394 | $0.24 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/prisma2case`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=prisma2case)

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-fever-dream-battle-scarred) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $4.79 $2.24 0.47x 2026-11-11 10:26 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) [Dark Knight](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Dark%20Knight) $4.79 $11.77 2.46x 2026-11-10 17:40 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-minimal-wear) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $4.79 $2.23 0.47x 2026-11-10 14:39 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Blue Ply (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-blue-ply-well-worn) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $4.79 $0.36 0.08x 2026-11-10 14:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ SG 553 | Darkwing (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-darkwing-factory-new) [NexXxi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NexXxi) $4.79 $10.19 2.13x 2026-11-10 14:18 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-field-tested) [yumo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yumo) $4.79 $6.45 1.35x 2026-11-09 23:13 UTC

[MAG-7 | Justice (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-justice-battle-scarred) [yumo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yumo) $4.79 $5.50 1.15x 2026-11-09 23:13 UTC

[StatTrak™ P2000 | Acid Etched (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-acid-etched-field-tested) [E.Ş](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/E.%C5%9E) $4.79 $0.96 0.20x 2026-11-06 20:03 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Enforcer (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-enforcer-factory-new) [оце так дав](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%BE%D1%86%D0%B5%20%D1%82%D0%B0%D0%BA%20%D0%B4%D0%B0%D0%B2) $4.79 $3.63 0.76x 2026-11-05 23:30 UTC

[MAC-10 | Disco Tech (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-disco-tech-battle-scarred) [LuBOT](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LuBOT) $4.79 $5.50 1.15x 2026-11-04 17:54 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.79 | 92.06% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.79 | 92.08% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.79 | 92.03% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.79 | 91.99% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.79 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.79 | 91.99% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.79 | 92.06% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 92.08% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.4% 3 1.3% covert 0.5% classified 15.6% Classified 0.7% restricted 39.7% mil spec 7.8% Legendary 2.3% #4b69ff 2.0% pink 1.1% #d32ee6 1.0% Mythical 10.7% Mil Spec Grade 6.6% Restricted 3.3% Rare 0.7% violet 1.7% #8847ff 0.4% milspec 2.6% blue 0.2% Mil Spec 0.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.06 on average: an expected loss of $7.94 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt