---
title: "Prisma Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Prisma Case ($2.39) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 90 items with odds, observed 97.66% over 350 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:18Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Prisma Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Prisma Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=all)

Price · $2.39

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $2.20 from 90 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.66% · 350 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.2% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 70.0% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 61 openings · below min

7 days · 99.74% ±24.89 163 openings

30 days · 97.66% ±17.49 350 openings

since tracking started · 97.66% ±17.49 350 openings

74.0% 116.5% 159.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=24h) | 61 | 118.94% ±39.4 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=7d) | 163 | 99.74% ±24.9 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase) | 350 | 97.66% ±17.5 | +0.6σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/prismacase?window=all) | 350 | 97.66% ±17.5 | +0.6σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 90 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 350 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $80.47 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $77.83 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $67.90 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $66.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $65.83 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $63.16 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $61.28 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $61.16 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $61.01 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $60.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-angry-mob-field-tested) | 1 in 5,263 | $58.91 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| The Emperor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-the-emperor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $58.85 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Angry Mob (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-angry-mob-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $57.05 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $37.83 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.1 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $32.86 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-factory-new) | 1 in 826 | $31.63 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $23.87 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 769 | $18.85 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $18.54 | 2.3% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 474 | $16.77 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 317 | $13.04 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $8.35 | 1.8% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 243 | $7.91 | 1.5% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.08× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 161 | $7.67 | 2.2% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.38× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 135 | $7.47 | 2.5% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Incinegator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-incinegator-field-tested) | 1 in 286 | $7.30 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-field-tested) | 1 in 395 | $7.19 | 0.8% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 405 | $6.85 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-factory-new) | 1 in 364 | $6.47 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-field-tested) | 1 in 172 | $6.44 | 1.7% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 353 | $6.25 | 0.8% | 5 | 1.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Incinegator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-well-worn) | 1 in 209 | $6.17 | 1.3% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.39× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 183 | $5.93 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-well-worn) | 1 in 714 | $5.93 | 0.4% | 3 | 0.5 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-well-worn) | 1 in 203 | $5.81 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 210 | $5.80 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [AUG \| Momentum (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-momentum-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $5.56 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Skull Crusher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-skull-crusher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $5.46 | 2.3% | 1 | 3.3 | 0.31× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-uncharted-factory-new) | 1 in 129 | $5.06 | 1.8% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $4.60 | 2.7% | 2 | 4.5 | 0.44× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $3.96 | 2.4% | 5 | 4.7 | 1.05× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 62 | $3.90 | 2.9% | 7 | 5.7 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Atheris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $3.83 | 3.0% | 2 | 6.1 | 0.33× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $3.79 | 2.7% | 10 | 5.5 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-whitefish-factory-new) | 1 in 63 | $3.60 | 2.6% | 9 | 5.5 | 1.63× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-factory-new) | 1 in 51 | $2.81 | 2.5% | 6 | 6.9 | 0.87× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-minimal-wear) | 1 in 42 | $2.67 | 2.9% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.60 | 3.5% | 19 | 10.5 | 1.81× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $2.47 | 3.8% | 11 | 11.7 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Uncharted (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-uncharted-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $2.25 | 2.6% | 10 | 9.0 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-off-world-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $1.90 | 2.4% | 10 | 9.6 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-crypsis-factory-new) | 1 in 29 | $1.63 | 2.6% | 13 | 12.2 | 1.07× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $1.50 | 2.4% | 11 | 12.5 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $1.44 | 2.4% | 16 | 12.7 | 1.26× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $1.30 | 1.7% | 9 | 10.3 | 0.87× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $1.29 | 1.3% | 12 | 7.5 | 1.60× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) | 1 in 54 | $1.23 | 1.0% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.23× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) | 1 in 53 | $1.19 | 1.0% | 6 | 6.7 | 0.90× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $1.15 | 0.8% | 5 | 5.4 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $1.12 | 0.8% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-battle-scarred) | 1 in 70 | $1.04 | 0.7% | 4 | 5.0 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) | 1 in 69 | $1.04 | 0.7% | 4 | 5.1 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $0.94 | 0.7% | 10 | 5.6 | 1.78× |
| [StatTrak™ MP5-SD \| Gauss (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) | 1 in 53 | $0.81 | 0.7% | 11 | 6.6 | 1.67× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $0.73 | 0.6% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.94× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $0.73 | 0.6% | 5 | 6.1 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Crypsis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-crypsis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $0.73 | 0.6% | 6 | 6.3 | 0.95× |
| [UMP-45 \| Moonrise (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-moonrise-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $0.66 | 0.6% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.56× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.66 | 0.6% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.04× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) | 1 in 61 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 4 | 5.7 | 0.70× |
| [Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-bamboozle-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Mischief (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-mischief-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $0.64 | 0.5% | 5 | 6.3 | 0.79× |
| [MP5-SD \| Gauss (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-well-worn) | 1 in 83 | $0.60 | 0.3% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $0.59 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Off World (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-off-world-well-worn) | 1 in 91 | $0.46 | 0.2% | 4 | 3.9 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 91 | $0.46 | 0.2% | 10 | 3.8 | 2.60× |
| [MAC-10 \| Whitefish (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-whitefish-well-worn) | 1 in 60 | $0.45 | 0.3% | 1 | 5.8 | 0.17× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $0.42 | 0.3% | 7 | 5.2 | 1.34× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 58 | $0.36 | 0.3% | 3 | 6.1 | 0.50× |
| [P250 \| Verdigris (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-verdigris-field-tested) | 1 in 100 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 5 | 3.5 | 1.42× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Verdigris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-well-worn) | 1 in 98 | $0.35 | 0.2% | 10 | 3.6 | 2.81× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-field-tested) | 1 in 102 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-well-worn) | 1 in 102 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-battle-scarred) | 1 in 102 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 3.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Akoben (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $0.34 | 0.2% | 1 | 4.5 | 0.22× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.2 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $0.31 | 0.1% | 3 | 3.6 | 0.84× |
| [FAMAS \| Crypsis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-crypsis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $0.28 | 0.1% | 5 | 2.9 | 1.75× |
| [P90 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 107 | $0.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 3.3 | 0.00× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $0.25 | 0.2% | 0 | 5.3 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/prismacase`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=prismacase)

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-akoben-minimal-wear) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $0.94 0.39x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-light-rail-well-worn) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $3.89 1.63x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-field-tested) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $0.73 0.31x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-moonrise-factory-new) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $2.60 1.09x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[XM1014 | Incinegator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-incinegator-battle-scarred) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $6.22 2.60x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Verdigris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-verdigris-minimal-wear) [poizn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/poizn) $2.39 $0.66 0.28x 2026-11-11 01:04 UTC

[AWP | Atheris (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-atheris-factory-new) [Worek](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Worek) $2.39 $36.64 15.33x 2026-11-10 23:51 UTC

[MP5-SD | Gauss (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-gauss-field-tested) [PesDiuk](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/PesDiuk) $2.39 $0.66 0.28x 2026-11-10 19:51 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Light Rail (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-light-rail-battle-scarred) [PesDiuk](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/PesDiuk) $2.39 $1.19 0.50x 2026-11-10 19:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Bamboozle (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-field-tested) [PesDiuk](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/PesDiuk) $2.39 $1.05 0.44x 2026-11-10 19:51 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.39 | 92.07% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.39 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.39 | 92.02% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.39 | 92.03% | 90 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.39 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.39 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.39 | 92.01% | 90 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.39 | 92.08% | 90 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.39 | 92.05% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.39 | 92.04% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.39 | 92.00% | 90 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $2.39 | 92.07% | 90 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.2% Covert 0.0% restricted 38.5% classified 5.7% Classified 0.8% Mythical 4.1% mil spec 14.3% #8847ff 3.8% milspec 24.2% Restricted 5.1% violet 1.6% #4b69ff 1.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt