---
title: "Pro League case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Pro League ($1.90) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.03% from 28 items with odds, observed 97.43% over 2,490 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:53Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Pro League](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Pro League

A case on GGDROP (cyber), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=all)

Price · $1.90

Advertised RTP · 92.03% · EV $1.75 from 28 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.43% · 2,490 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 90.14% ±9.84 346 openings

7 days · 97.98% ±3.85 2,304 openings

30 days · 97.43% ±3.71 2,490 openings

since tracking started · 97.43% ±3.71 2,490 openings

79.5% 91.0% 102.5%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.04% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (93.73% – 101.14%, 2,490 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=24h) | 346 | 90.14% ±9.84 | −0.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=7d) | 2,304 | 97.98% ±3.85 | +3.0σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league) | 2,490 | 97.43% ±3.71 | +2.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/pro-league?window=all) | 2,490 | 97.43% ±3.71 | +2.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 28 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,490 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 6,250 | $13.87 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| ['The Doctor' Romanov \| Sabre agent · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/the-doctor-romanov-sabre) | 1 in 758 | $10.88 | 0.8% | 6 | 3.3 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 242 | $10.54 | 2.5% | 5 | 10.3 | 0.49× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 448 | $9.45 | 1.2% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.44× |
| [P90 \| Shapewood (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shapewood-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $8.72 | 4.1% | 11 | 20.7 | 0.53× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-field-tested) | 1 in 124 | $7.18 | 3.3% | 17 | 20.0 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nightmare (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nightmare-battle-scarred) | 1 in 85 | $7.12 | 4.8% | 13 | 29.3 | 0.44× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 151 | $5.93 | 2.2% | 37 | 16.5 | 2.25× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Well-Worn) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-well-worn) | 1 in 94 | $5.79 | 3.5% | 32 | 26.4 | 1.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $5.56 | 3.6% | 36 | 28.1 | 1.28× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $4.70 | 4.9% | 58 | 45.4 | 1.28× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 50 | $4.35 | 5.0% | 45 | 50.2 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Eye of Zapems (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-eye-of-zapems-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $3.63 | 4.4% | 65 | 52.8 | 1.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 32 | $3.32 | 6.0% | 82 | 78.5 | 1.04× |
| [Charm \| Die-cast AK charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-die-cast-ak) | 1 in 33 | $2.79 | 4.9% | 96 | 75.8 | 1.27× |
| [StatTrak™ Music Kit \| DRYDEN, Feel The Power music kit](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-dryden-feel-the-power) | 1 in 26 | $2.64 | 5.7% | 115 | 94.1 | 1.22× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) | 1 in 24 | $1.95 | 4.7% | 125 | 104.1 | 1.20× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.89 | 5.0% | 114 | 116.0 | 0.98× |
| [Music Kit \| Tim Huling, Devil's Paintbrush music kit · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-tim-huling-devils-paintbrush) | 1 in 19 | $1.58 | 4.8% | 140 | 131.5 | 1.06× |
| [MP9 \| Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 16 | $1.44 | 5.1% | 142 | 153.6 | 0.92× |
| [UMP-45 \| Grand Prix (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-grand-prix-field-tested) | 1 in 19 | $1.39 | 4.1% | 143 | 128.7 | 1.11× |
| [MAG-7 \| SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $1.06 | 3.7% | 172 | 151.0 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Scavenger (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-scavenger-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $0.99 | 3.7% | 177 | 161.4 | 1.10× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 15 | $0.75 | 2.9% | 169 | 169.1 | 1.00× |
| [Charm \| Dr. Brian charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-dr-brian) | 1 in 12 | $0.66 | 3.1% | 218 | 201.7 | 1.08× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.63 | 2.6% | 232 | 180.9 | 1.28× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sultan (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sultan-well-worn) | 1 in 11 | $0.41 | 2.1% | 231 | 220.9 | 1.05× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Flame Test (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-flame-test-minimal-wear) | 1 in 12 | $0.25 | 1.2% | 0 | 213.8 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/pro-league`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=pro-league)

[AK-47 | Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) [ONETAP\[ARIZA\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ONETAP%5BARIZA%5D) $1.90 $3.30 1.74x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-ruby-poison-dart-well-worn) [ONETAP\[ARIZA\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ONETAP%5BARIZA%5D) $1.90 $1.45 0.76x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Charm | Dr. Brian charm · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-dr-brian) [ONETAP\[ARIZA\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ONETAP%5BARIZA%5D) $1.90 $0.62 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[MAG-7 | SWAG-7 (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-swag-7-minimal-wear) [ONETAP\[ARIZA\]](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/ONETAP%5BARIZA%5D) $1.90 $1.06 0.56x 2026-11-11 13:46 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $1.90 $0.63 0.33x 2026-11-11 13:20 UTC

[Music Kit | Tim Huling, Devil's Paintbrush music kit · 7](https://gambatracker.com/items/music-kit-tim-huling-devils-paintbrush) [JOCCI](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/JOCCI) $1.90 $1.56 0.82x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sultan (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sultan-well-worn) [mekthereal](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mekthereal) $1.90 $0.42 0.22x 2026-11-11 12:38 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-sweet-little-angels-field-tested) [pilogo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/pilogo) $1.90 $1.87 0.98x 2026-11-11 12:32 UTC

[StatTrak™ Music Kit | DRYDEN, Feel The Power music kit](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-music-kit-dryden-feel-the-power) [༺ 𝒮𝒽𝒶𝒹ℴ𝓌 ༻](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E0%BC%BA%20%F0%9D%92%AE%F0%9D%92%BD%F0%9D%92%B6%F0%9D%92%B9%E2%84%B4%F0%9D%93%8C%20%E0%BC%BB) $1.90 $2.68 1.41x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [༺ 𝒮𝒽𝒶𝒹ℴ𝓌 ༻](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E0%BC%BA%20%F0%9D%92%AE%F0%9D%92%BD%F0%9D%92%B6%F0%9D%92%B9%E2%84%B4%F0%9D%93%8C%20%E0%BC%BB) $1.90 $0.77 0.41x 2026-11-11 12:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $1.90 | 92.03% | 28 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $1.90 | 92.03% | 28 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $1.90 | 92.01% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $1.90 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $1.90 | 92.10% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $1.90 | 92.08% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $1.90 | 92.08% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $1.90 | 92.04% | 28 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $1.90 | 92.03% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $1.90 | 92.05% | 28 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $1.90 | 92.05% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $1.90 | 92.05% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $1.90 | 92.09% | 28 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $1.90 | 92.00% | 28 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 7 5.3% classified 4.2% red 0.1% Classified 2.4% Legendary 0.7% uncommon 5.2% restricted 8.6% Mythical 2.1% milspec 20.6% #8847ff 17.2% other 3.8% violet 23.3% Restricted 6.5% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt