---
title: "Rambo case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Rambo ($11.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 35 items with odds, observed 89.13% over 3,888 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:59Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Rambo](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Rambo

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=all)

Price · $11.79

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $10.85 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.13% · 3,888 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.6% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 63.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 86.89% ±8.52 560 openings

7 days · 88.90% ±3.55 3,140 openings

30 days · 89.13% ±3.18 3,888 openings

since tracking started · 89.13% ±3.18 3,888 openings

77.5% 86.8% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=24h) | 560 | 86.89% ±8.52 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=7d) | 3,140 | 88.90% ±3.55 | −1.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo) | 3,888 | 89.13% ±3.18 | −1.8σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rambo?window=all) | 3,888 | 89.13% ±3.18 | −1.8σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 3,889 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Plum Quill (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-plum-quill-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $105 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $91.67 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $90.45 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,556 | $88.83 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Polygon (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-polygon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 621 | $85.28 | 1.3% | 1 | 6.3 | 0.16× |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $77.53 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Ocean Drive (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-ocean-drive-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $71.91 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Scorched (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-scorched-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,000 | $63.82 | 0.1% | 7 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A4 \| 龍王 (Dragon King) (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dragon-king-factory-new) | 1 in 249 | $62.56 | 2.3% | 27 | 15.6 | 1.73× |
| [Galil AR \| Sugar Rush (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-sugar-rush-well-worn) | 1 in 168 | $55.20 | 3.0% | 19 | 23.1 | 0.82× |
| [M4A4 \| Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) | 1 in 225 | $54.57 | 2.2% | 21 | 17.3 | 1.21× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| POW! (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-pow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 225 | $52.16 | 2.1% | 20 | 17.3 | 1.16× |
| [Glock-18 \| Fully Tuned (Battle-Scarred) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-fully-tuned-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $50.04 | 5.5% | 27 | 46.3 | 0.58× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $49.09 | 5.5% | 31 | 47.1 | 0.66× |
| [MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 64 | $35.54 | 5.1% | 51 | 61.1 | 0.84× |
| [AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $30.46 | 5.0% | 75 | 69.0 | 1.09× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $23.02 | 4.7% | 79 | 87.0 | 0.91× |
| [P90 \| Deathgaze (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-deathgaze-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $21.62 | 6.0% | 111 | 117.4 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 34 | $17.75 | 4.8% | 134 | 115.0 | 1.17× |
| [AWP \| Ice Coaled (Minimal Wear) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-ice-coaled-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $15.38 | 5.0% | 141 | 136.4 | 1.03× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Devourer (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-devourer-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $14.66 | 3.9% | 188 | 113.0 | 1.66× |
| [Charm \| Glitter Bomb charm · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/charm-glitter-bomb) | 1 in 30 | $13.53 | 4.1% | 133 | 127.9 | 1.04× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 34 | $13.31 | 3.6% | 155 | 113.4 | 1.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Midnight Storm (Battle-Scarred) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-midnight-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $13.05 | 4.2% | 128 | 135.0 | 0.95× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $12.58 | 4.8% | 152 | 160.5 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shapewood (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $9.21 | 3.7% | 171 | 170.0 | 1.01× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) | 1 in 17 | $7.53 | 4.0% | 203 | 224.3 | 0.90× |
| [AUG \| Death by Puppy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-death-by-puppy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $5.15 | 3.3% | 284 | 268.7 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $4.84 | 3.7% | 313 | 325.0 | 0.96× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $4.10 | 2.9% | 232 | 294.0 | 0.79× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $3.83 | 2.7% | 279 | 298.6 | 0.93× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 20 | $3.46 | 1.6% | 178 | 196.2 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $3.24 | 1.7% | 222 | 216.3 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) | 1 in 17 | $2.44 | 1.3% | 234 | 224.5 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 15 | $1.72 | 1.1% | 265 | 258.6 | 1.02× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/rambo`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=rambo)

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) [Makiaveli](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Makiaveli) $11.79 $3.24 0.27x 2026-11-11 14:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-factory-new) [MEHAS](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/MEHAS) $11.79 $12.52 1.06x 2026-11-11 14:21 UTC

[StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Osiris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-osiris-minimal-wear) [Itachi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Itachi) $11.79 $3.23 0.27x 2026-11-11 13:58 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Shapewood (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shapewood-well-worn) [НЮХАЙ БЭБРУ](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%9D%D0%AE%D0%A5%D0%90%D0%99%20%D0%91%D0%AD%D0%91%D0%A0%D0%A3) $11.79 $9.17 0.78x 2026-11-11 13:45 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $4.82 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-olympus-factory-new) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $7.50 0.64x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[AWP | PAW (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-paw-battle-scarred) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $2.43 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[M4A4 | Temukau (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-temukau-minimal-wear) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $54.34 4.61x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[AK-47 | Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $17.68 1.50x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Marina (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-field-tested) [Phylong](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Phylong) $11.79 $4.82 0.41x 2026-11-11 13:44 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $11.79 | 92.09% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $11.79 | 92.08% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $11.79 | 92.07% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $11.79 | 92.05% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $11.79 | 92.07% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $11.79 | 92.07% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $11.79 | 92.06% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $11.79 | 92.06% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $11.79 | 92.04% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $11.79 | 92.01% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $11.79 | 92.03% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $11.79 | 92.01% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $11.79 | 92.02% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $11.79 | 92.08% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $11.79 | 92.06% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $11.79 | 92.08% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $11.79 | 92.00% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed rare 1.2% covert 1.7% extraordinary 0.6% red 5.1% covert knife 0.0% classified 30.9% #eb4b4b 1.6% Legendary 3.0% uncommon 3.5% industrial 3.5% pink 4.1% Classified 5.8% restricted 14.1% #d32ee6 7.7% #8847ff 5.0% Mythical 5.6% blue 6.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt