---
title: "RUSH B case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "RUSH B ($0.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 34 items with odds, observed 132.13% over 894 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:31Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [RUSH B](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · RUSH B

A case on GGDROP (bum), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=all)

Price · $0.79

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $0.73 from 34 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 132.13% · 894 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 76 openings · below min

7 days · 126.03% ±10.12 691 openings

30 days · 132.13% ±9.04 894 openings

since tracking started · 132.13% ±9.04 894 openings

91.5% 125.8% 160.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.01% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (123.09% – 141.17%, 894 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=24h) | 76 | 126.83% ±32.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=7d) | 691 | 126.03% ±10.1 | +6.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b) | 894 | 132.13% ±9.04 | +8.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/rus-b?window=all) | 894 | 132.13% ±9.04 | +8.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 34 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 894 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $28.66 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $17.77 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 1,111 | $13.80 | 1.7% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [P250 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $12.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-factory-new) | 1 in 222 | $11.53 | 7.2% | 7 | 4.0 | 1.74× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 201 | $7.81 | 5.3% | 6 | 4.4 | 1.35× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 106 | $3.75 | 4.9% | 13 | 8.4 | 1.54× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-minimal-wear) | 1 in 108 | $2.16 | 2.7% | 22 | 8.3 | 2.66× |
| [StatTrak™ MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mag-7-monster-call-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $2.00 | 3.7% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $1.72 | 5.9% | 29 | 22.4 | 1.30× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $1.38 | 4.2% | 30 | 19.6 | 1.53× |
| [AUG \| Aristocrat (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-aristocrat-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $1.33 | 3.8% | 38 | 18.8 | 2.02× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-well-worn) | 1 in 41 | $1.20 | 4.0% | 20 | 21.6 | 0.93× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $1.20 | 4.1% | 31 | 21.9 | 1.41× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $1.18 | 3.7% | 33 | 20.6 | 1.60× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $0.84 | 2.5% | 37 | 19.3 | 1.91× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-space-cat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $0.82 | 3.2% | 45 | 25.3 | 1.78× |
| [Souvenir MAC-10 \| Calf Skin (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-calf-skin-well-worn) | 1 in 40 | $0.82 | 2.8% | 37 | 22.5 | 1.65× |
| [Galil AR \| Vandal (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $0.77 | 3.2% | 32 | 26.8 | 1.19× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Space Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-space-cat-well-worn) | 1 in 28 | $0.63 | 3.1% | 44 | 32.0 | 1.37× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $0.63 | 3.1% | 38 | 31.9 | 1.19× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $0.58 | 2.2% | 40 | 24.7 | 1.62× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Necropos (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 31 | $0.54 | 2.4% | 37 | 28.4 | 1.30× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-battle-scarred) | 1 in 29 | $0.53 | 2.5% | 45 | 31.0 | 1.45× |
| [M4A1-S \| Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) | 1 in 30 | $0.52 | 2.4% | 60 | 30.2 | 1.99× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-well-worn) | 1 in 27 | $0.52 | 2.6% | 40 | 32.8 | 1.22× |
| [SSG 08 \| Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $0.49 | 2.4% | 56 | 32.0 | 1.75× |
| [MAG-7 \| Monster Call (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mag-7-monster-call-well-worn) | 1 in 26 | $0.42 | 2.2% | 44 | 34.3 | 1.28× |
| [AUG \| Tom Cat (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-tom-cat-well-worn) | 1 in 24 | $0.35 | 2.0% | 43 | 37.2 | 1.15× |
| [SG 553 \| Danger Close (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-minimal-wear) | 1 in 16 | $0.29 | 2.5% | 51 | 56.2 | 0.91× |
| [MP7 \| Mischief (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-mischief-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.25 | 2.5% | 0 | 66.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Tom Cat (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-tom-cat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 14 | $0.24 | 2.4% | 0 | 65.9 | 0.00× |
| [MAC-10 \| Calf Skin (Minimal Wear) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.18 | 1.8% | 0 | 65.4 | 0.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Necro Jr. (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-field-tested) | 1 in 13 | $0.14 | 1.5% | 0 | 68.4 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/rus-b`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=rus-b)

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-minimal-wear) [defusen677](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/defusen677) $0.79 $1.21 1.53x 2026-11-11 13:13 UTC

[MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-necro-jr-factory-new) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $0.79 $0.58 0.73x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC

[Galil AR | Vandal (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-vandal-well-worn) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $0.79 $0.77 0.97x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [Шуврентий Палыч](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%A8%D1%83%D0%B2%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D1%82%D0%B8%D0%B9%20%D0%9F%D0%B0%D0%BB%D1%8B%D1%87) $0.79 $0.52 0.66x 2026-11-11 08:55 UTC

[Souvenir MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Well-Worn) Souvenir · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/souvenir-mac-10-calf-skin-well-worn) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.82 1.04x 2026-11-11 06:05 UTC

[SSG 08 | Necropos (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-necropos-battle-scarred) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.49 0.62x 2026-11-11 06:05 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.52 0.66x 2026-11-11 06:05 UTC

[SG 553 | Danger Close (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-danger-close-factory-new) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.65 0.82x 2026-11-11 06:05 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.52 0.66x 2026-11-11 06:04 UTC

[M4A1-S | Nitro (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-nitro-field-tested) [nazarenkos591](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nazarenkos591) $0.79 $0.51 0.65x 2026-11-11 06:04 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $0.79 | 92.09% | 34 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $0.79 | 92.09% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $0.79 | 92.05% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $0.79 | 92.01% | 34 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $0.79 | 92.03% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $0.79 | 92.00% | 34 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $0.79 | 92.09% | 34 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Covert 0.0% classified 0.0% Legendary 1.5% blue 6.5% mil spec 14.4% #8847ff 5.2% restricted 11.1% violet 8.3% #4b69ff 9.3% Restricted 2.8% other 2.5% Rare 9.1% milspec 21.9% Uncommon 7.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt