---
title: "Scream case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Scream ($2.69) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.08% from 36 items with odds, observed 91.91% over 9,917 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:28Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Scream](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Scream

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=all)

Price · $2.69

Advertised RTP · 92.08% · EV $2.48 from 36 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.91% · 9,917 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 19.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 89.81% ±5.38 1,353 openings

7 days · 91.90% ±2.12 8,714 openings

30 days · 91.91% ±1.98 9,917 openings

since tracking started · 91.91% ±1.98 9,917 openings

84.0% 90.0% 96.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=24h) | 1,353 | 89.81% ±5.38 | −0.8σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=7d) | 8,714 | 91.90% ±2.12 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream) | 9,917 | 91.91% ±1.98 | −0.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/scream?window=all) | 9,917 | 91.91% ±1.98 | −0.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 36 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 9,918 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $35.18 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $31.62 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.68× |
| [M4A4 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $30.65 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Head Shot (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-head-shot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $26.20 | 0.2% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $22.78 | 0.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $22.37 | 0.1% | 5 | 1.6 | 3.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-battle-scarred) | 1 in 667 | $20.69 | 1.3% | 6 | 14.9 | 0.40× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $14.50 | 0.1% | 20 | 1.6 | 12.60× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 163 | $14.17 | 3.5% | 17 | 60.9 | 0.28× |
| [Tec-9 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 177 | $12.94 | 3.0% | 51 | 56.1 | 0.91× |
| [AWP \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 189 | $9.94 | 2.1% | 76 | 52.4 | 1.45× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-well-worn) | 1 in 215 | $9.58 | 1.8% | 84 | 46.2 | 1.82× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 163 | $9.33 | 2.3% | 119 | 60.9 | 1.95× |
| [SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-big-iron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $9.14 | 4.7% | 103 | 126.0 | 0.82× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 77 | $8.67 | 4.6% | 108 | 129.5 | 0.83× |
| [Zeus x27 \| Dragon Snore (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/zeus-x27-dragon-snore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $7.42 | 4.1% | 142 | 135.4 | 1.05× |
| [MP7 \| Abyssal Apparition (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-abyssal-apparition-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $6.52 | 5.2% | 160 | 197.3 | 0.81× |
| [UMP-45 \| Momentum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-momentum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 51 | $5.38 | 4.2% | 193 | 192.6 | 1.00× |
| [MP5-SD \| Phosphor (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp5-sd-phosphor-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $5.23 | 5.8% | 260 | 273.8 | 0.95× |
| [P250 \| Epicenter (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-epicenter-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $4.81 | 5.5% | 265 | 279.6 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Tooth Fairy (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-tooth-fairy-field-tested) | 1 in 31 | $4.09 | 5.4% | 310 | 324.6 | 0.95× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-well-worn) | 1 in 31 | $3.33 | 4.4% | 338 | 324.0 | 1.04× |
| [SG 553 \| Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) | 1 in 23 | $2.71 | 4.7% | 437 | 425.8 | 1.03× |
| [MAC-10 \| Heat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-heat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $2.67 | 5.0% | 491 | 461.8 | 1.06× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Osiris (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-osiris-battle-scarred) | 1 in 21 | $2.62 | 5.1% | 445 | 476.4 | 0.93× |
| [Galil AR \| Firefight (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-firefight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $2.34 | 4.6% | 451 | 487.9 | 0.92× |
| [MP7 \| Amberline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-amberline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.89 | 3.4% | 459 | 440.7 | 1.04× |
| [MAC-10 \| Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $1.48 | 3.3% | 523 | 555.7 | 0.94× |
| [FAMAS \| Neural Net (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-neural-net-well-worn) | 1 in 14 | $1.06 | 3.0% | 670 | 698.3 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) | 1 in 13 | $0.85 | 2.7% | 747 | 792.7 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 13 | $0.75 | 2.4% | 653 | 772.6 | 0.85× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Cobalt Quartz (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-cobalt-quartz-factory-new) | 1 in 15 | $0.73 | 2.0% | 640 | 658.3 | 0.97× |
| [M4A1-S \| Night Terror (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-night-terror-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $0.72 | 1.5% | 680 | 511.5 | 1.33× |
| [Negev \| Lionfish (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-lionfish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 24 | $0.68 | 1.2% | 532 | 417.6 | 1.27× |
| [Glock-18 \| Glockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-battle-scarred) | 1 in 23 | $0.60 | 1.0% | 457 | 422.1 | 1.08× |
| [MAC-10 \| Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $0.58 | 1.2% | 469 | 513.0 | 0.91× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/scream`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=scream)

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) [BAR1NABA1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BAR1NABA1) $2.69 $0.87 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [BAR1NABA1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BAR1NABA1) $2.69 $2.65 0.99x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [BAR1NABA1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BAR1NABA1) $2.69 $2.65 0.99x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) [BAR1NABA1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BAR1NABA1) $2.69 $0.87 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Firebreathing (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-firebreathing-battle-scarred) [BAR1NABA1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BAR1NABA1) $2.69 $0.87 0.32x 2026-11-11 13:23 UTC

[Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-glockingbird-battle-scarred) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $2.69 $0.60 0.22x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[SG 553 | Pulse (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-pulse-field-tested) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $2.69 $2.65 0.99x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[MAC-10 | Cat Fight (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-cat-fight-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $2.69 $1.46 0.54x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-calf-skin-factory-new) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $2.69 $0.57 0.21x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) [NOT ASL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/NOT%20ASL) $2.69 $0.77 0.29x 2026-11-11 13:11 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.69 | 92.08% | 36 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.69 | 92.03% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.69 | 92.06% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.69 | 92.05% | 36 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.69 | 92.08% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.69 | 92.09% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.69 | 92.05% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.69 | 92.04% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.69 | 92.03% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $2.69 | 92.00% | 36 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed Ancient 0.0% red 0.0% covert 0.0% #eb4b4b 0.0% pink 8.1% Legendary 4.6% classified 7.0% Classified 0.5% #d32ce6 2.8% #8847ff 12.8% restricted 38.9% Mythical 4.9% violet 15.2% Uncommon 5.2% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.08 on average: an expected loss of $7.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt