---
title: "Snakebite Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Snakebite Case ($4.81) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.08% from 98 items with odds, observed 87.58% over 83 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:26Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Snakebite Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Snakebite Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=all)

Price · $4.81

Advertised RTP · 92.08% · EV $4.43 from 98 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 87.58% · 83 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.6× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 14.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 2 openings · below min

7 days · 80 openings · below min

30 days · 83 openings · below min

since tracking started · 83 openings · below min

-0.5% 127.5% 255.5%

**Small sample.** 83 openings and 13.1 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=24h) | 2 | 80.98% ±173.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=7d) | 80 | 89.98% ±27.3 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite) | 83 | 87.58% ±26.8 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/snakebite?window=all) | 83 | 87.58% ±26.8 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 98 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 83 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $101 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $93.00 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $85.35 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $58.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $49.32 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 1,695 | $45.75 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $44.27 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $41.57 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Well-Worn) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-well-worn) | 1 in 870 | $41.34 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $37.52 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 1,136 | $37.45 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Field-Tested) gloves · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $37.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Hydra Gloves \| Emerald (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/hydra-gloves-emerald-battle-scarred) | 1 in 833 | $36.77 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 787 | $35.30 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 1,754 | $35.24 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 529 | $35.09 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $34.68 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 362 | $33.71 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 292 | $33.05 | 2.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 307 | $31.62 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 168 | $22.87 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 159 | $17.39 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $15.89 | 3.3% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $15.84 | 3.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $14.92 | 3.9% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $14.20 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $11.35 | 2.7% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 82 | $11.05 | 3.1% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.97× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| XOXO (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-xoxo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 59 | $9.15 | 3.5% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.41× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) | 1 in 49 | $7.81 | 3.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $7.39 | 2.9% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.69× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $7.21 | 3.6% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.62× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $6.68 | 3.0% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 79 | $6.50 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $6.05 | 2.3% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.46× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 55 | $5.92 | 2.4% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $5.25 | 2.2% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.66× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $4.59 | 2.3% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.21× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-field-tested) | 1 in 41 | $4.21 | 2.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) | 1 in 36 | $4.02 | 2.5% | 5 | 2.3 | 2.15× |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $3.91 | 2.2% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-well-worn) | 1 in 53 | $3.90 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $3.75 | 1.4% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.24× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $3.68 | 1.3% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.74× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 51 | $3.65 | 1.6% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [XM1014 \| XOXO (Well-Worn) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $3.64 | 1.9% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.51× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $3.29 | 1.8% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $2.76 | 2.1% | 2 | 2.7 | 0.73× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $1.89 | 1.8% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.68× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $1.86 | 2.2% | 5 | 4.3 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 18 | $1.58 | 2.0% | 4 | 4.6 | 0.86× |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| dev\_texture (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-minimal-wear) | 1 in 19 | $1.45 | 1.7% | 2 | 4.3 | 0.46× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $1.41 | 0.8% | 8 | 2.0 | 3.97× |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Windblown (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-windblown-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $1.18 | 0.8% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.81× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $1.06 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $1.03 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.56× |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $0.98 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.8 | 0.54× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $0.94 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.45× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-field-tested) | 1 in 92 | $0.84 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 94 | $0.80 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $0.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Cyber Shell (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-well-worn) | 1 in 97 | $0.66 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Negev \| dev\_texture (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-field-tested) | 1 in 94 | $0.63 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Trigger Discipline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $0.63 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 169 | $0.59 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-button-masher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 222 | $0.57 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 252 | $0.55 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-well-worn) | 1 in 189 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-field-tested) | 1 in 315 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-battle-scarred) | 1 in 351 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-field-tested) | 1 in 261 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-factory-new) | 1 in 538 | $0.44 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Button Masher (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-button-masher-well-worn) | 1 in 279 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Negev \| dev\_texture (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-dev-texture-field-tested) | 1 in 273 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 617 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [P250 \| Cyber Shell (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-field-tested) | 1 in 217 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-junk-yard-field-tested) | 1 in 221 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Heavy Metal (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-heavy-metal-field-tested) | 1 in 282 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Nova \| Windblown (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-nova-windblown-field-tested) | 1 in 862 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-oscillator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 461 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-well-worn) | 1 in 855 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 662 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 1 in 667 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-minimal-wear) | 1 in 424 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-minimal-wear) | 1 in 735 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-junk-yard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Clear Polymer (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-clear-polymer-battle-scarred) | 1 in 877 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Junk Yard (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-junk-yard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 862 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-field-tested) | 1 in 826 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-field-tested) | 1 in 787 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M249 \| O.S.I.P.R. (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-o-s-i-p-r-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Battle-Scarred) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-battle-scarred) | 1 in 273 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Nova \| Windblown (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-windblown-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Oscillator (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-oscillator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 493 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Circaetus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-circaetus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 324 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/snakebite`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=snakebite)

[XM1014 | XOXO (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-xoxo-field-tested) [CRYSTAL](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CRYSTAL) $4.81 $4.03 0.84x 2026-11-10 19:01 UTC

[Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-battle-scarred) [sanshas](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sanshas) $4.81 $3.76 0.78x 2026-11-10 16:49 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Trigger Discipline (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-trigger-discipline-minimal-wear) [yumo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yumo) $4.81 $1.90 0.40x 2026-11-09 23:15 UTC

[StatTrak™ Negev | dev\_texture (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-negev-dev-texture-minimal-wear) [yumo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/yumo) $4.81 $1.42 0.30x 2026-11-09 23:15 UTC

[P250 | Cyber Shell (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cyber-shell-factory-new) [nCaw | ..Mede](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nCaw%20%7C%20..Mede) $4.81 $3.72 0.77x 2026-11-09 14:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Chromatic Aberration (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-chromatic-aberration-minimal-wear) [nCaw | ..Mede](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nCaw%20%7C%20..Mede) $4.81 $16.07 3.34x 2026-11-09 14:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) [nCaw | ..Mede](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nCaw%20%7C%20..Mede) $4.81 $16.02 3.33x 2026-11-09 14:38 UTC

[MP9 | Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) [SKYWAVE](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/SKYWAVE) $4.81 $7.32 1.52x 2026-11-09 08:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Clear Polymer (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-clear-polymer-minimal-wear) [1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/1) $4.81 $1.87 0.39x 2026-11-08 22:56 UTC

[StatTrak™ P250 | Cyber Shell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-cyber-shell-minimal-wear) [1](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/1) $4.81 $1.62 0.34x 2026-11-08 22:56 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.81 | 92.08% | 98 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.81 | 92.04% | 98 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.81 | 92.02% | 98 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.81 | 92.09% | 98 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.81 | 92.04% | 98 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.81 | 92.05% | 98 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.81 | 92.04% | 98 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.81 | 92.00% | 98 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.4% Ancient 0.1% #eb4b4b 0.0% covert 0.5% restricted 11.7% Legendary 10.7% Extraordinary 0.1% classified 10.2% red 0.6% gold 0.0% sunny 0.1% pink 8.7% #d32ee6 3.6% Mythical 3.3% #8847ff 6.1% violet 12.5% milspec 13.0% Restricted 10.8% Rare 3.6% #4b69ff 2.6% blue 0.8% Mil Spec 0.7% Mil Spec Grade 0.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.08 on average: an expected loss of $7.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt