---
title: "Solar Safari case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Solar Safari ($6.99) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.03% from 66 items with odds, observed 91.10% over 307 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari
rendered: 2026-11-11T23:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Solar Safari](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Solar Safari

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=all)

Price · $6.99

Advertised RTP · 92.03% · EV $6.43 from 66 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 91.10% · 307 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.8% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

30 days · 91.10% ±11.74 307 openings

since tracking started · 91.10% ±11.74 307 openings

78.5% 91.0% 103.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=24h) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=7d) | 0 | — | — | — |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari) | 307 | 91.10% ±11.7 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/solar-safari?window=all) | 307 | 91.10% ±11.7 | −0.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 66 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 307 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $66.56 | 2.2% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-well-worn) | 1 in 266 | $38.26 | 2.2% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.73× |
| [AK-47 \| Legion of Anubis (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-legion-of-anubis-field-tested) | 1 in 294 | $38.15 | 2.0% | 2 | 1.0 | 1.92× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-well-worn) | 1 in 296 | $35.53 | 1.9% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-field-tested) | 1 in 298 | $32.74 | 1.7% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-desolate-space-battle-scarred) | 1 in 556 | $31.84 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 448 | $30.69 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $30.43 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| In Living Color (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-in-living-color-battle-scarred) | 1 in 518 | $30.14 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 820 | $28.23 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-factory-new) | 1 in 426 | $26.00 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 357 | $25.84 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-minimal-wear) | 1 in 282 | $22.43 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-minimal-wear) | 1 in 289 | $22.17 | 1.2% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-minimal-wear) | 1 in 495 | $22.02 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-field-tested) | 1 in 270 | $21.42 | 1.2% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Conspiracy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-conspiracy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 532 | $21.12 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-battle-scarred) | 1 in 490 | $20.88 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-minimal-wear) | 1 in 420 | $20.77 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-bloodshot-field-tested) | 1 in 295 | $20.67 | 1.1% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.88× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-fowl-play-battle-scarred) | 1 in 380 | $20.44 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 318 | $19.64 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 268 | $19.47 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Battle-Scarred) weapon · uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-battle-scarred) | 1 in 220 | $18.69 | 1.3% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [SG 553 \| Colony IV (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-colony-iv-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $18.26 | 1.5% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Colony IV (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-colony-iv-field-tested) | 1 in 173 | $18.11 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.26× |
| [SG 553 \| Integrale (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-integrale-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $18.07 | 2.0% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.41× |
| [AK-47 \| Point Disarray (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-point-disarray-well-worn) | 1 in 134 | $18.06 | 2.1% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-field-tested) | 1 in 130 | $17.33 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.4 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Frontside Misty (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-frontside-misty-battle-scarred) | 1 in 93 | $16.74 | 2.8% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.21× |
| [Tec-9 \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 75 | $16.64 | 3.4% | 4 | 4.1 | 0.98× |
| [M4A4 \| Desolate Space (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-desolate-space-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $14.48 | 3.9% | 3 | 5.3 | 0.57× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $9.09 | 3.1% | 9 | 6.7 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 38 | $8.98 | 3.7% | 12 | 8.0 | 1.49× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $8.67 | 4.4% | 5 | 9.9 | 0.50× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $8.46 | 4.5% | 9 | 10.5 | 0.85× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Cardiac (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-cardiac-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $8.26 | 2.0% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.04× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-well-worn) | 1 in 50 | $6.31 | 1.9% | 8 | 6.1 | 1.32× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 45 | $6.26 | 2.2% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $6.15 | 2.5% | 2 | 7.9 | 0.25× |
| [AK-47 \| Phantom Disruptor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-phantom-disruptor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $5.77 | 2.7% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $5.63 | 1.3% | 2 | 4.6 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-zx-spectron-battle-scarred) | 1 in 55 | $5.41 | 1.5% | 5 | 5.6 | 0.89× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-minimal-wear) | 1 in 46 | $4.85 | 1.6% | 8 | 6.6 | 1.20× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $4.83 | 1.6% | 6 | 6.4 | 0.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $4.40 | 1.7% | 8 | 7.5 | 1.07× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $3.91 | 1.6% | 7 | 8.3 | 0.84× |
| [P250 \| Visions (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-visions-battle-scarred) | 1 in 43 | $3.65 | 1.3% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [FAMAS \| ZX Spectron (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-zx-spectron-field-tested) | 1 in 44 | $3.65 | 1.3% | 8 | 7.1 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 37 | $3.59 | 1.5% | 6 | 8.3 | 0.72× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $3.54 | 1.4% | 8 | 7.7 | 1.04× |
| [UMP-45 \| Wild Child (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-wild-child-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $3.11 | 1.0% | 3 | 6.4 | 0.47× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-minimal-wear) | 1 in 38 | $2.52 | 1.0% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.24× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-well-worn) | 1 in 33 | $2.44 | 1.1% | 15 | 9.2 | 1.63× |
| [SSG 08 \| Parallax (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-parallax-battle-scarred) | 1 in 28 | $2.40 | 1.3% | 11 | 11.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $2.11 | 1.1% | 5 | 10.2 | 0.49× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $2.10 | 0.6% | 4 | 5.9 | 0.67× |
| [AK-47 \| Emerald Pinstripe (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-emerald-pinstripe-battle-scarred) | 1 in 47 | $2.09 | 0.7% | 11 | 6.5 | 1.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $1.71 | 0.7% | 6 | 8.0 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Bamboozle (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-bamboozle-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $1.54 | 0.5% | 8 | 6.5 | 1.24× |
| [P90 \| Chopper (Well-Worn) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-chopper-well-worn) | 1 in 38 | $1.41 | 0.6% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [M4A1-S \| Solitude (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-solitude-battle-scarred) | 1 in 30 | $1.31 | 0.7% | 10 | 10.1 | 0.99× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-well-worn) | 1 in 37 | $0.79 | 0.3% | 15 | 8.3 | 1.81× |
| [M4A4 \| Sheet Lightning (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-sheet-lightning-field-tested) | 1 in 38 | $0.72 | 0.3% | 4 | 8.1 | 0.50× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $0.61 | 0.3% | 12 | 8.5 | 1.42× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Guard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-guard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 33 | $0.51 | 0.2% | 13 | 9.3 | 1.39× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/solar-safari`, 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=solar-safari)

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $6.99 | 92.03% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $6.99 | 92.03% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $6.99 | 92.02% | 66 |
| 4 Nov, 04:46 UTC | $6.99 | 91.94% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 22:42 UTC | $6.99 | 92.01% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 15:56 UTC | $6.99 | 92.05% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 09:34 UTC | $6.99 | 92.00% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 07:28 UTC | $6.99 | 92.00% | 66 |
| 3 Nov, 04:27 UTC | $6.99 | 91.90% | 66 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 30.7% red 0.4% covert 0.7% Covert 0.3% #eb4b4b 0.2% Legendary 3.6% rare 0.3% uncommon 0.5% pink 18.4% #d32ee6 2.6% Mythical 4.5% Classified 2.4% #8847ff 7.6% violet 6.6% restricted 13.2% Restricted 4.8% #d32ce6 3.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.03 on average: an expected loss of $7.97 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt