---
title: "Spectrum Case case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spectrum Case ($3.61) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.09% from 124 items with odds, observed 76.41% over 104 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:24Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Spectrum Case](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Spectrum Case

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=all)

Price · $3.61

Advertised RTP · 92.09% · EV $3.32 from 124 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 76.41% · 104 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.2× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 16.3% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 75.2% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 34 openings · below min

7 days · 96 openings · below min

30 days · 76.41% ±35.59 104 openings

since tracking started · 76.41% ±35.59 104 openings

10.0% 72.3% 134.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=24h) | 34 | 72.37% ±61.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=7d) | 96 | 75.65% ±37.1 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum) | 104 | 76.41% ±35.6 | −0.9σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum?window=all) | 104 | 76.41% ±35.6 | −0.9σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 124 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 104 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $167 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $149 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $141 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $133 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $129 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $129 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $120 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $117 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $116 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $115 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,882 | $115 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $108 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 2,326 | $92.11 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $48.14 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $42.62 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $38.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $35.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $34.27 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $28.25 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $27.64 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,222 | $27.39 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $26.96 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $26.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $22.39 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-factory-new) | 1 in 901 | $22.05 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,381 | $21.90 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,667 | $21.88 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $21.27 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $21.03 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $20.48 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-factory-new) | 1 in 5,556 | $17.23 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-factory-new) | 1 in 342 | $14.79 | 1.3% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 395 | $14.61 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-minimal-wear) | 1 in 306 | $14.52 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-well-worn) | 1 in 258 | $14.35 | 1.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 518 | $14.13 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-well-worn) | 1 in 7,692 | $14.02 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.0 | — |
| [AWP \| Fever Dream (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-fever-dream-field-tested) | 1 in 307 | $13.91 | 1.4% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 319 | $13.87 | 1.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-well-worn) | 1 in 160 | $13.74 | 2.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-battle-scarred) | 1 in 131 | $13.44 | 3.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $13.42 | 3.8% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Xiangliu (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-xiangliu-field-tested) | 1 in 85 | $13.25 | 4.7% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.82× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $8.73 | 4.4% | 0 | 1.8 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $7.57 | 4.8% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $4.76 | 4.0% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.35× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $4.52 | 4.3% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-well-worn) | 1 in 34 | $4.35 | 3.8% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $4.34 | 3.9% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $4.32 | 1.6% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $3.68 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-scaffold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $3.59 | 1.4% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-battle-scarred) | 1 in 73 | $3.53 | 1.5% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $3.48 | 2.0% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-well-worn) | 1 in 133 | $3.41 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $3.14 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.87× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-factory-new) | 1 in 91 | $3.08 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $3.08 | 1.2% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.25× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) | 1 in 82 | $2.94 | 1.1% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.35× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #8847FF](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $2.75 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-well-worn) | 1 in 99 | $2.73 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $2.64 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.33× |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-minimal-wear) | 1 in 96 | $2.63 | 0.8% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) | 1 in 110 | $2.59 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 114 | $2.47 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $2.43 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.1 | 2.79× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 80 | $2.42 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $2.35 | 0.9% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-factory-new) | 1 in 76 | $2.23 | 0.9% | 3 | 1.4 | 2.19× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-minimal-wear) | 1 in 67 | $2.19 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.65× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-factory-new) | 1 in 54 | $1.95 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.52× |
| [Galil AR \| Crimson Tsunami (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-crimson-tsunami-field-tested) | 1 in 48 | $1.91 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.2 | 1.38× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $1.65 | 1.1% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.78× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 40 | $1.60 | 1.2% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 56 | $1.58 | 0.8% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.08× |
| [M249 \| Emerald Poison Dart (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m249-emerald-poison-dart-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.56 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $1.55 | 0.4% | 4 | 0.9 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $1.48 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) | 1 in 84 | $1.46 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.2 | 1.61× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Field-Tested) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) | 1 in 71 | $1.45 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [UMP-45 \| Scaffold (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-scaffold-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $1.41 | 0.8% | 1 | 1.9 | 0.54× |
| [MAC-10 \| Last Dive (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $1.38 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.67× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-factory-new) | 1 in 50 | $1.08 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.45× |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $0.98 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.4 | 0.41× |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $0.95 | 0.8% | 0 | 2.9 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Zander (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-minimal-wear) | 1 in 31 | $0.89 | 0.9% | 4 | 3.3 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 58 | $0.82 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $0.79 | 0.3% | 4 | 1.3 | 3.08× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 71 | $0.77 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.36× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 3 | 1.2 | 2.41× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $0.71 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $0.64 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 109 | $0.60 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Minimal Wear) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-minimal-wear) | 1 in 104 | $0.58 | 0.2% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 109 | $0.55 | 0.2% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $0.54 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-battle-scarred) | 1 in 271 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-well-worn) | 1 in 211 | $0.53 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 300 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 313 | $0.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $0.51 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 311 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) | 1 in 439 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Oxide Blaze (Field-Tested) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-oxide-blaze-field-tested) | 1 in 439 | $0.50 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [P250 \| Ripple (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-ripple-field-tested) | 1 in 319 | $0.49 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) | 1 in 306 | $0.47 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 429 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| Jungle Slipstream (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-jungle-slipstream-well-worn) | 1 in 299 | $0.46 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 332 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 198 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP7 \| Akoben (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-akoben-battle-scarred) | 1 in 330 | $0.43 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-field-tested) | 1 in 383 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Akoben (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-akoben-field-tested) | 1 in 379 | $0.42 | 0.0% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $0.40 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Five-SeveN \| Capillary (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-capillary-battle-scarred) | 1 in 211 | $0.38 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Zander (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) | 1 in 223 | $0.36 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Zander (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) | 1 in 153 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Zander (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $0.36 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Ripple (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-ripple-well-worn) | 1 in 153 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $0.34 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Zander (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-zander-well-worn) | 1 in 175 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.6 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/spectrum`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=spectrum)

[XM1014 | Seasons (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $1.41 0.39x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Zander (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-zander-battle-scarred) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.35 0.10x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Last Dive (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-last-dive-field-tested) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $2.57 0.71x 2026-11-11 09:38 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.54 0.15x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Blueprint (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-blueprint-well-worn) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.70 0.19x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Akoben (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-akoben-minimal-wear) [LOM](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/LOM) $3.61 $0.78 0.22x 2026-11-11 09:37 UTC

[XM1014 | Seasons (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-seasons-battle-scarred) [Limasnkiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Limasnkiy) $3.61 $1.65 0.46x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Scaffold (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-scaffold-field-tested) [Limasnkiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Limasnkiy) $3.61 $2.87 0.80x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) [Limasnkiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Limasnkiy) $3.61 $0.84 0.23x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Capillary (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-five-seven-capillary-minimal-wear) [Limasnkiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Limasnkiy) $3.61 $0.84 0.23x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $3.61 | 92.09% | 124 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $3.61 | 92.05% | 124 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $3.61 | 92.01% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 124 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $3.61 | 92.03% | 124 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $3.61 | 92.06% | 124 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $3.61 | 91.99% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $3.61 | 92.09% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $3.61 | 92.00% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $3.61 | 92.07% | 124 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $3.61 | 92.09% | 124 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 1.2% 3 1.4% covert 0.1% Ancient 0.0% classified 3.7% #d32ee6 0.0% Classified 0.1% restricted 23.6% pink 0.4% #d32ce6 0.8% Legendary 1.2% Restricted 14.3% #8847ff 4.9% Mythical 5.7% #8847FF 1.2% mil spec 11.4% violet 3.4% Mil Spec Grade 6.2% milspec 14.9% Rare 1.9% #4b69ff 2.8% blue 0.8% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.09 on average: an expected loss of $7.91 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt