---
title: "Spectrum 2 case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Spectrum 2 ($4.79) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 129 items with odds, observed 80.32% over 76 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:29Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Spectrum 2](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Spectrum 2

A case on GGDROP (standard), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=all)

Price · $4.79

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $4.41 from 129 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 80.32% · 76 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.7× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 80.9% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 4 openings · below min

7 days · 72 openings · below min

30 days · 76 openings · below min

since tracking started · 76 openings · below min

-0.5% 112.0% 224.5%

**Small sample.** 76 openings and 10.4 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=24h) | 4 | 44.94% ±179.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=7d) | 72 | 82.70% ±41.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2) | 76 | 80.32% ±40.4 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spectrum2?window=all) | 76 | 80.32% ±40.4 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 129 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 76 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $236 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $187 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $183 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $182 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $131 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $126 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $122 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $120 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,143 | $119 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $117 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $115 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $114 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $114 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 5,263 | $114 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [AK-47 \| The Empress (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-the-empress-well-worn) | 1 in 5,882 | $111 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $110 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $109 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| The Empress (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-the-empress-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $109 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $107 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| See Ya Later (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-see-ya-later-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $104 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 6,250 | $80.24 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 1,124 | $79.04 | 1.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $76.84 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,667 | $69.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $57.74 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $57.34 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Stained (Field-Tested) knife · Immortal](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-stained-field-tested) | 1 in 1,786 | $57.05 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 909 | $56.47 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 5,000 | $40.97 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $28.74 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $23.10 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 213 | $21.41 | 2.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 284 | $19.55 | 1.6% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 1 in 386 | $18.71 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 309 | $18.60 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-leaded-glass-field-tested) | 1 in 221 | $13.27 | 1.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $13.12 | 2.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-minimal-wear) | 1 in 116 | $12.62 | 2.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-minimal-wear) | 1 in 85 | $12.48 | 3.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 100 | $12.45 | 2.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 171 | $11.67 | 1.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 128 | $11.67 | 2.1% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Leaded Glass (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-leaded-glass-well-worn) | 1 in 86 | $11.64 | 3.1% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-field-tested) | 1 in 107 | $11.62 | 2.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $10.99 | 3.9% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 61 | $10.92 | 4.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.60× |
| [StatTrak™ R8 Revolver \| Llama Cannon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-r8-revolver-llama-cannon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $10.43 | 5.7% | 4 | 1.8 | 2.18× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $4.84 | 3.9% | 6 | 2.7 | 2.24× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $4.69 | 4.3% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $4.43 | 4.7% | 1 | 3.6 | 0.28× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $3.82 | 5.4% | 4 | 4.8 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Phantom (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $3.73 | 2.3% | 0 | 2.0 | 0.00× |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-factory-new) | 1 in 36 | $3.44 | 2.1% | 1 | 2.1 | 0.48× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $3.36 | 2.1% | 4 | 2.1 | 1.94× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-factory-new) | 1 in 46 | $3.18 | 1.6% | 4 | 1.7 | 2.41× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $2.55 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.50× |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 40 | $2.45 | 1.4% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.05× |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-factory-new) | 1 in 33 | $2.20 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.44× |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $2.09 | 1.5% | 1 | 2.3 | 0.43× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Hunter (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) | 1 in 59 | $2.07 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.32× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 48 | $2.03 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.6 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 76 | $1.98 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.0 | 2.99× |
| [StatTrak™ SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $1.85 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 100 | $1.84 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-morris-factory-new) | 1 in 75 | $1.66 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-well-worn) | 1 in 76 | $1.64 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 89 | $1.57 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-well-worn) | 1 in 87 | $1.55 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 80 | $1.55 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $1.37 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 79 | $1.33 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) | 1 in 94 | $1.33 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 152 | $1.31 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $1.23 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Well-Worn) weapon · 3](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-well-worn) | 1 in 140 | $1.22 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 239 | $1.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 1 in 243 | $1.22 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $1.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 160 | $1.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-field-tested) | 1 in 188 | $1.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $1.20 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-field-tested) | 1 in 178 | $1.19 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Tacticat (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 249 | $1.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [SG 553 \| Phantom (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $1.18 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Ziggy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-ziggy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 167 | $1.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 201 | $1.18 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Exposure (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-field-tested) | 1 in 166 | $1.18 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [MP9 \| Goo (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-goo-battle-scarred) | 1 in 263 | $1.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 144 | $1.12 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-factory-new) | 1 in 173 | $0.79 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-morris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 65 | $0.75 | 0.3% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 45 | $0.61 | 0.3% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.59× |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-jungle-slipstream-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.53 | 0.3% | 5 | 1.9 | 2.60× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-minimal-wear) | 1 in 118 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-minimal-wear) | 1 in 106 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 196 | $0.45 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-off-world-well-worn) | 1 in 319 | $0.45 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Hunter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 311 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 309 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-minimal-wear) | 1 in 441 | $0.40 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-well-worn) | 1 in 220 | $0.38 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-minimal-wear) | 1 in 649 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Hunter (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-well-worn) | 1 in 360 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mac-10-oceanic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 181 | $0.37 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 267 | $0.35 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-field-tested) | 1 in 935 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-field-tested) | 1 in 331 | $0.34 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-field-tested) | 1 in 362 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-well-worn) | 1 in 1,282 | $0.33 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-field-tested) | 1 in 559 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-morris-field-tested) | 1 in 538 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 559 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-jungle-slipstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,205 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-field-tested) | 1 in 352 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Off World (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-off-world-battle-scarred) | 1 in 357 | $0.32 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-well-worn) | 1 in 613 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-battle-scarred) | 1 in 617 | $0.31 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 645 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Oceanic (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-oceanic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,613 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [Tec-9 \| Cracked Opal (Well-Worn) weapon · 1](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-cracked-opal-well-worn) | 1 in 613 | $0.29 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ SCAR-20 \| Jungle Slipstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-jungle-slipstream-field-tested) | 1 in 1,887 | $0.28 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Sawed-Off \| Morris (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-sawed-off-morris-well-worn) | 1 in 565 | $0.27 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-well-worn) | 1 in 1,266 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [G3SG1 \| Hunter (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-hunter-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| Hunter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,351 | $0.25 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Triqua (Well-Worn) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-triqua-well-worn) | 1 in 1,333 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Sawed-Off \| Morris (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-morris-well-worn) | 1 in 595 | $0.23 | 0.0% | 0 | 0.1 | — |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/spectrum2`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=spectrum2)

[UMP-45 | Exposure (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-exposure-minimal-wear) [kucha5730](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/kucha5730) $4.79 $1.23 0.26x 2026-11-10 23:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-minimal-wear) [Yakoyu Kugura](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Yakoyu%20Kugura) $4.79 $2.03 0.42x 2026-11-10 20:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP9 | Goo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-goo-factory-new) [Nakyrajje](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nakyrajje) $4.79 $3.80 0.79x 2026-11-10 17:09 UTC

[CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-tacticat-minimal-wear) [Nakyrajje](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nakyrajje) $4.79 $1.55 0.32x 2026-11-10 17:09 UTC

[StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Cracked Opal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-tec-9-cracked-opal-well-worn) [Tewiq](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Tewiq) $4.79 $0.37 0.08x 2026-11-09 18:17 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-minimal-wear) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $4.79 $1.34 0.28x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Hunter (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-hunter-factory-new) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $4.79 $2.79 0.58x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-cz75-auto-tacticat-well-worn) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $4.79 $1.34 0.28x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[SG 553 | Phantom (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sg-553-phantom-factory-new) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $4.79 $2.13 0.44x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Triqua (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-triqua-factory-new) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $4.79 $2.45 0.51x 2026-11-09 11:02 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $4.79 | 92.01% | 129 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $4.79 | 92.02% | 129 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $4.79 | 92.08% | 129 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 129 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 129 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $4.79 | 92.06% | 129 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $4.79 | 92.03% | 129 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $4.79 | 91.99% | 129 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 129 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $4.79 | 92.05% | 129 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $4.79 | 92.09% | 129 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $4.79 | 92.02% | 129 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $4.79 | 92.01% | 129 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $4.79 | 92.00% | 129 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 1 0.2% 3 0.7% covert 0.4% covert knife 0.0% Immortal 0.1% classified 9.4% Legendary 1.4% Rare 6.3% pink 1.8% Classified 1.6% restricted 21.6% mil spec 6.2% Mythical 18.9% Restricted 4.9% Mil Spec Grade 6.3% milspec 9.2% violet 5.8% blue 2.4% #8847ff 1.9% #4b69ff 0.8% other 0.2% Mil Spec 0.1% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt