---
title: "Spy Tech And Arabesque case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Spy Tech And Arabesque ($7.50) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 33 items with odds, observed 90.26% over 2,330 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque
rendered: 2026-11-11T20:45Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Spy Tech And Arabesque](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Spy Tech And Arabesque

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=all)

Price · $7.50

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $6.90 from 33 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.26% · 2,330 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.4× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 13.4% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 67.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 92.52% ±14.41 465 openings

7 days · 89.40% ±7.46 1,746 openings

30 days · 90.26% ±6.48 2,330 openings

since tracking started · 90.26% ±6.48 2,330 openings

77.5% 92.5% 107.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=24h) | 465 | 92.52% ±14.4 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=7d) | 1,746 | 89.40% ±7.46 | −0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque) | 2,330 | 90.26% ±6.48 | −0.5σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/spy-tech-and-arabesque?window=all) | 2,330 | 90.26% ±6.48 | −0.5σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 33 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,341 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Ghost Protocol (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ghost-protocol-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $153 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| AUTOEXEC (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-autoexec-battle-scarred) | 1 in 446 | $83.86 | 2.7% | 4 | 5.2 | 0.76× |
| [AWP \| Sovereign Flame (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-sovereign-flame-battle-scarred) | 1 in 162 | $78.42 | 7.0% | 16 | 14.5 | 1.10× |
| [AK-47 \| Consequence of the Jinn (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-consequence-of-the-jinn-battle-scarred) | 1 in 105 | $77.53 | 10.7% | 21 | 22.3 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Spiral Glitch (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-spiral-glitch-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $25.35 | 5.8% | 23 | 36.8 | 0.62× |
| [M4A4 \| Falak (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-falak-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $24.95 | 6.0% | 27 | 38.7 | 0.70× |
| [M4A1-S \| Fatal Glitch (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-fatal-glitch-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $21.22 | 8.6% | 60 | 65.5 | 0.92× |
| [P250 \| Lotus Imprint (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $15.61 | 6.6% | 85 | 68.4 | 1.24× |
| [Nova \| Smart Gun (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-smart-gun-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $10.94 | 4.1% | 77 | 60.7 | 1.27× |
| [CZ75-Auto \| Hydraulics (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/cz75-auto-hydraulics-factory-new) | 1 in 24 | $10.40 | 6.4% | 97 | 99.6 | 0.97× |
| [AUG \| Lapis Lazuli (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-minimal-wear) | 1 in 23 | $9.88 | 6.1% | 121 | 100.3 | 1.21× |
| [AWP \| Black Box (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-black-box-minimal-wear) | 1 in 30 | $9.18 | 4.4% | 109 | 77.5 | 1.41× |
| [Glock-18 \| Ifrit Lattice (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-ifrit-lattice-minimal-wear) | 1 in 29 | $9.16 | 4.5% | 90 | 79.8 | 1.13× |
| [M4A4 \| Dark Operative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-operative-factory-new) | 1 in 26 | $8.27 | 4.5% | 88 | 88.8 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Sultan (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sultan-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $6.55 | 4.9% | 123 | 121.9 | 1.01× |
| [MAC-10 \| Arabesque Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-factory-new) | 1 in 18 | $3.53 | 2.9% | 150 | 133.7 | 1.12× |
| [MP9 \| Spy Prototype (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-spy-prototype-factory-new) | 1 in 12 | $2.64 | 3.2% | 176 | 195.2 | 0.90× |
| [FAMAS \| Snake Song (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-snake-song-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $2.59 | 3.4% | 199 | 209.5 | 0.95× |
| [AUG \| Signal Scanner (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-signal-scanner-factory-new) | 1 in 11 | $2.07 | 2.7% | 193 | 213.6 | 0.90× |
| [Sawed-Off \| Lunar Wyrm (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-lunar-wyrm-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $1.94 | 1.4% | 72 | 114.2 | 0.63× |
| [R8 Revolver \| Monarch (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-monarch-factory-new) | 1 in 30 | $1.90 | 0.9% | 101 | 77.1 | 1.31× |
| [MAC-10 \| Video Cam (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-video-cam-factory-new) | 1 in 25 | $1.39 | 0.8% | 61 | 94.1 | 0.65× |
| [FAMAS \| Corp Defense (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-corp-defense-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $0.93 | 0.4% | 76 | 69.6 | 1.09× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Desert Seal (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-desert-seal-factory-new) | 1 in 34 | $0.78 | 0.3% | 76 | 69.6 | 1.09× |
| [MP7 \| Base-2 (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp7-base-2-factory-new) | 1 in 28 | $0.73 | 0.4% | 66 | 83.0 | 0.79× |
| [Tec-9 \| Perimeter (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-perimeter-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $0.71 | 0.3% | 77 | 60.8 | 1.27× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-arctic-camo-panels-factory-new) | 1 in 71 | $0.62 | 0.1% | 37 | 32.8 | 1.13× |
| [XM1014 \| Black Site (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-site-factory-new) | 1 in 204 | $0.59 | 0.0% | 23 | 11.4 | 2.01× |
| [MP9 \| Dune Asp (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-dune-asp-factory-new) | 1 in 134 | $0.57 | 0.1% | 19 | 17.5 | 1.08× |
| [Nova \| Morning Sun (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-morning-sun-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $0.51 | 0.1% | 21 | 23.6 | 0.89× |
| [PP-Bizon \| Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/pp-bizon-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 164 | $0.51 | 0.0% | 21 | 14.3 | 1.47× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Mystic Conjunction (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-mystic-conjunction-factory-new) | 1 in 110 | $0.49 | 0.1% | 15 | 21.3 | 0.70× |
| [SCAR-20 \| Sirocco Script (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-sirocco-script-factory-new) | 1 in 122 | $0.46 | 0.1% | 16 | 19.2 | 0.83× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/spy-tech-and-arabesque`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=spy-tech-and-arabesque)

[Five-SeveN | Desert Seal (Factory New) weapon · Uncommon](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-desert-seal-factory-new) [$BlackKing$](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%24BlackKing%24) $7.50 $0.78 0.10x 2026-11-11 20:43 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Monarch (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-monarch-factory-new) [metsuki sutemi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/metsuki%20sutemi) $7.50 $1.91 0.25x 2026-11-11 20:41 UTC

[FAMAS | Snake Song (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-snake-song-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $2.61 0.35x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC

[AUG | Signal Scanner (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-signal-scanner-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $2.08 0.28x 2026-11-11 20:36 UTC

[P250 | Lotus Imprint (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-lotus-imprint-factory-new) [kucha5730](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/kucha5730) $7.50 $16.51 2.20x 2026-11-11 20:30 UTC

[MAC-10 | Arabesque Mosaic (Factory New) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-arabesque-mosaic-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $3.55 0.47x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC

[M4A4 | Dark Operative (Factory New) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-dark-operative-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $8.11 1.08x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Arctic Camo Panels (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-arctic-camo-panels-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $0.63 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC

[Tec-9 | Sultan (Factory New) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-sultan-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $6.62 0.88x 2026-11-11 20:24 UTC

[XM1014 | Black Site (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-black-site-factory-new) [BezNika](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/BezNika) $7.50 $0.59 0.08x 2026-11-11 20:19 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $7.50 | 92.07% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $7.50 | 92.08% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $7.50 | 92.07% | 33 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $7.50 | 92.00% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $7.50 | 92.02% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $7.50 | 92.05% | 33 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $7.50 | 92.04% | 33 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.0% red 1.8% pink 1.6% #d32ce6 1.7% classified 2.8% restricted 13.1% violet 7.7% blue 3.8% milspec 36.5% #4b69ff 5.7% Rare 3.3% industrial 18.5% Uncommon 3.6% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt