---
title: "The Gamer case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "The Gamer ($29.99) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 35 items with odds, observed 89.64% over 2,906 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer
rendered: 2026-11-11T19:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [The Gamer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · The Gamer

A case on GGDROP (limited), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=all)

Price · $29.99

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $27.59 from 35 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.64% · 2,906 openings, odds method

Variance · 1.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.1% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 69.6% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 85.03% ±9.89 430 openings

7 days · 89.09% ±4.45 2,132 openings

30 days · 89.64% ±3.81 2,906 openings

since tracking started · 89.64% ±3.81 2,906 openings

74.5% 85.0% 95.5%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=24h) | 430 | 85.03% ±9.89 | −1.4σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=7d) | 2,132 | 89.09% ±4.45 | −1.3σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer) | 2,906 | 89.64% ±3.81 | −1.2σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/the-gamer?window=all) | 2,906 | 89.64% ±3.81 | −1.2σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 35 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,910 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [AK-47 \| Case Hardened (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-case-hardened-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,370 | $209 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.1 | 1.41× |
| [★ Classic Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/classic-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 192 | $188 | 3.6% | 11 | 15.2 | 0.73× |
| [★ Bowie Knife \| Marble Fade (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/bowie-knife-marble-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 301 | $174 | 2.1% | 6 | 9.7 | 0.62× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 229 | $166 | 2.6% | 9 | 12.7 | 0.71× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Tiger Tooth (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-tiger-tooth-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $154 | 1.9% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.92× |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Red Racer (Field-Tested) gloves · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-red-racer-field-tested) | 1 in 163 | $151 | 3.4% | 13 | 17.9 | 0.73× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Marble Fade (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-marble-fade-battle-scarred) | 1 in 132 | $111 | 3.0% | 20 | 22.1 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 122 | $107 | 3.2% | 17 | 23.9 | 0.71× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Hand Sweaters (Battle-Scarred) gloves · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-hand-sweaters-battle-scarred) | 1 in 78 | $106 | 5.0% | 29 | 37.4 | 0.78× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 72 | $84.19 | 4.3% | 40 | 40.6 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 88 | $75.29 | 3.1% | 52 | 33.1 | 1.57× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $73.85 | 4.3% | 47 | 46.9 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Eastern Enigma (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-eastern-enigma-factory-new) | 1 in 56 | $60.26 | 3.9% | 55 | 51.7 | 1.06× |
| [★ Broken Fang Gloves \| Unhinged (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/broken-fang-gloves-unhinged-field-tested) | 1 in 52 | $58.07 | 4.0% | 60 | 55.8 | 1.08× |
| [M4A1-S \| Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $50.27 | 4.1% | 71 | 64.9 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Bloodshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) | 1 in 35 | $44.93 | 4.7% | 60 | 83.3 | 0.72× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $38.15 | 3.4% | 89 | 72.4 | 1.23× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Big Iron (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-big-iron-minimal-wear) | 1 in 33 | $38.02 | 4.2% | 78 | 89.2 | 0.87× |
| [FAMAS \| Commemoration (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-commemoration-well-worn) | 1 in 30 | $35.72 | 4.3% | 97 | 96.0 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 29 | $30.17 | 3.7% | 105 | 99.3 | 1.06× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Marina (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-marina-factory-new) | 1 in 32 | $27.28 | 3.1% | 89 | 92.2 | 0.97× |
| [Col. Mangos Dabisi \| Guerrilla Warfare agent · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/col-mangos-dabisi-guerrilla-warfare) | 1 in 25 | $25.31 | 3.7% | 116 | 116.0 | 1.00× |
| [Glock-18 \| Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $21.18 | 3.6% | 142 | 137.5 | 1.03× |
| [AWP \| Crakow! (Well-Worn) weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-crakow-well-worn) | 1 in 23 | $19.90 | 3.2% | 144 | 127.1 | 1.13× |
| [AUG \| Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-factory-new) | 1 in 21 | $18.68 | 3.2% | 133 | 135.8 | 0.98× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 1 in 19 | $15.04 | 2.9% | 180 | 153.6 | 1.17× |
| [StatTrak™ PP-Bizon \| High Roller (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-pp-bizon-high-roller-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $10.85 | 1.9% | 131 | 143.8 | 0.91× |
| [Chem-Haz Specialist \| SWAT agent · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/chem-haz-specialist-swat) | 1 in 17 | $10.23 | 2.2% | 154 | 170.1 | 0.91× |
| [Galil AR \| Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) | 1 in 16 | $9.51 | 2.1% | 175 | 177.2 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 17 | $7.37 | 1.6% | 174 | 172.2 | 1.01× |
| [Nova \| Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite-well-worn) | 1 in 25 | $5.12 | 0.7% | 118 | 115.6 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Ice Coaled (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-ice-coaled-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $4.78 | 0.8% | 133 | 134.8 | 0.99× |
| [M4A1-S \| Control Panel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-control-panel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $4.75 | 0.9% | 144 | 148.8 | 0.97× |
| [Dual Berettas \| Royal Consorts (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-royal-consorts-field-tested) | 1 in 25 | $4.35 | 0.6% | 119 | 118.5 | 1.00× |
| [P250 \| Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-vino-primo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 35 | $3.23 | 0.3% | 87 | 82.9 | 1.05× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/the-gamer`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=the-gamer)

[Glock-18 | Water Elemental (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-water-elemental-field-tested) [Captain Solomaha](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Captain%20Solomaha) $29.99 $21.71 0.72x 2026-11-11 19:47 UTC

[AK-47 | Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) [10](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/10) $29.99 $164 5.46x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC

[Nova | Sobek's Bite (Well-Worn) weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/nova-sobeks-bite-well-worn) [10](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/10) $29.99 $5.09 0.17x 2026-11-11 19:36 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Hemoglobin (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) [𝓕𝓻𝓮𝓮𝓭𝓸𝓶](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B6) $29.99 $14.93 0.50x 2026-11-11 19:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ SSG 08 | Bloodshot (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-bloodshot-well-worn) [𝓕𝓻𝓮𝓮𝓭𝓸𝓶](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B6) $29.99 $45.17 1.51x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[M4A1-S | Vaporwave (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-vaporwave-field-tested) [𝓕𝓻𝓮𝓮𝓭𝓸𝓶](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B6) $29.99 $51.29 1.71x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[AUG | Lapis Lazuli (Factory New) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-lapis-lazuli-factory-new) [𝓕𝓻𝓮𝓮𝓭𝓸𝓶](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%93%95%F0%9D%93%BB%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AE%F0%9D%93%AD%F0%9D%93%B8%F0%9D%93%B6) $29.99 $18.56 0.62x 2026-11-11 19:21 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-printstream-field-tested) [S A 1 K U M](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/S%20A%201%20K%20U%20M) $29.99 $38.21 1.27x 2026-11-11 19:20 UTC

[Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/galil-ar-amber-fade-field-tested) [StickeyTVGames](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StickeyTVGames) $29.99 $9.51 0.32x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) [StickeyTVGames](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/StickeyTVGames) $29.99 $7.40 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:57 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $29.99 | 92.09% | 35 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $29.99 | 92.03% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $29.99 | 92.04% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $29.99 | 92.04% | 35 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $29.99 | 92.03% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $29.99 | 92.10% | 35 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $29.99 | 92.05% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $29.99 | 92.06% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $29.99 | 92.08% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $29.99 | 92.05% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $29.99 | 92.09% | 35 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $29.99 | 92.07% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $29.99 | 92.09% | 35 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $29.99 | 92.05% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $29.99 | 92.05% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $29.99 | 92.00% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $29.99 | 92.09% | 35 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $29.99 | 92.09% | 35 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 16.7% covert 9.1% epic 0.6% extraordinary 2.7% rare 5.7% red 2.2% Classified 10.9% Ancient 2.5% restricted 8.4% violet 12.7% blue 5.8% #4b69ff 6.1% other 4.0% Legendary 4.6% #d32ee6 5.1% #8847ff 2.9% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt