---
title: "Usp-s case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Usp-s ($2.51) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.04% from 133 items with odds, observed 101.78% over 2,151 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:49Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Usp-s](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Usp-s

A case on GGDROP (bundles), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=all)

Price · $2.51

Advertised RTP · 92.04% · EV $2.31 from 133 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 101.78% · 2,151 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.8× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 15.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.7% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 93.15% ±22.16 294 openings

7 days · 99.71% ±9.19 1,757 openings

30 days · 101.78% ±8.28 2,151 openings

since tracking started · 101.78% ±8.28 2,151 openings

70.5% 93.2% 116.0%

**Outside band, 30 days.** Advertised 92.04% sits outside the 95% band of the observed openings (93.50% – 110.07%, 2,151 openings, 30 days). The band comes from the site's own odds and values; the figure is a fact about these openings, not a verdict on the case.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=24h) | 294 | 93.15% ±22.2 | +0.1σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=7d) | 1,757 | 99.71% ±9.19 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp) | 2,151 | 101.78% ±8.28 | +2.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/usp?window=all) | 2,151 | 101.78% ±8.28 | +2.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 133 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 2,151 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $120 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,143 | $117 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 10,000 | $116 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 5,000 | $115 | 1.0% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $115 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-factory-new) | 1 in 10,000 | $108 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $67.69 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,250 | $67.55 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-factory-new) | 1 in 6,667 | $66.41 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-field-tested) | 1 in 8,333 | $57.58 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Serum (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-serum-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $57.55 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,000 | $54.35 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-minimal-wear) | 1 in 8,333 | $48.24 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $47.96 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orion (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orion-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $47.92 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $45.29 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $43.88 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-factory-new) | 1 in 8,333 | $43.22 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $42.09 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Overgrowth (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-overgrowth-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $38.69 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $38.33 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 5,882 | $37.45 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $35.75 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 6,667 | $35.09 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 6,667 | $33.71 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $33.41 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $32.09 | 0.2% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Road Rash (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-road-rash-well-worn) | 1 in 7,143 | $32.05 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $31.98 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 10,000 | $31.54 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Business Class (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-business-class-well-worn) | 1 in 5,263 | $30.08 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Ancient Visions (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ancient-visions-field-tested) | 1 in 5,000 | $27.91 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Stainless (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-stainless-well-worn) | 1 in 8,333 | $27.74 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $26.72 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Orange Anolis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-orange-anolis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $26.40 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Caiman (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-caiman-field-tested) | 1 in 7,143 | $25.62 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $23.32 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Overgrowth (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-overgrowth-well-worn) | 1 in 5,556 | $22.49 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-well-worn) | 1 in 1,562 | $22.37 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.73× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-factory-new) | 1 in 5,882 | $21.38 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [USP-S \| Monster Mashup (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-monster-mashup-battle-scarred) | 1 in 7,692 | $21.32 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $17.50 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-minimal-wear) | 1 in 685 | $16.44 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.1 | 0.64× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-minimal-wear) | 1 in 9,091 | $14.05 | 0.1% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 877 | $13.70 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.41× |
| [USP-S \| Pathfinder (Field-Tested) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-pathfinder-field-tested) | 1 in 6,667 | $13.30 | 0.1% | 3 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 781 | $13.15 | 0.7% | 3 | 2.8 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-factory-new) | 1 in 510 | $11.25 | 1.0% | 1 | 4.2 | 0.24× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-well-worn) | 1 in 787 | $11.10 | 0.6% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 625 | $9.45 | 0.7% | 6 | 3.4 | 1.74× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blueprint (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blueprint-battle-scarred) | 1 in 457 | $9.44 | 0.9% | 2 | 4.7 | 0.42× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 2,703 | $9.42 | 0.2% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 257 | $9.18 | 1.5% | 5 | 8.4 | 0.60× |
| [USP-S \| Para Green (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-para-green-minimal-wear) | 1 in 7,692 | $9.15 | 0.1% | 4 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 6,250 | $8.96 | 0.1% | 5 | 0.3 | — |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Well-Worn) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-well-worn) | 1 in 526 | $8.88 | 0.7% | 8 | 4.1 | 1.96× |
| [USP-S \| Royal Blue (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-royal-blue-field-tested) | 1 in 459 | $8.70 | 0.8% | 8 | 4.7 | 1.71× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $8.38 | 0.5% | 7 | 2.8 | 2.50× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-minimal-wear) | 1 in 389 | $8.31 | 0.9% | 1 | 5.5 | 0.18× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 324 | $7.94 | 1.1% | 4 | 6.6 | 0.60× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-field-tested) | 1 in 719 | $7.70 | 0.5% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.67× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 565 | $7.45 | 0.6% | 7 | 3.8 | 1.84× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 246 | $7.10 | 1.2% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.57× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Factory New) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-factory-new) | 1 in 227 | $7.10 | 1.4% | 17 | 9.5 | 1.80× |
| [USP-S \| Stainless (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-stainless-battle-scarred) | 1 in 422 | $6.87 | 0.7% | 10 | 5.1 | 1.96× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-factory-new) | 1 in 380 | $6.61 | 0.8% | 13 | 5.7 | 2.30× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-minimal-wear) | 1 in 222 | $6.47 | 1.3% | 10 | 9.7 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 194 | $6.20 | 1.4% | 14 | 11.1 | 1.26× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 126 | $5.84 | 2.0% | 12 | 17.1 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 131 | $5.12 | 1.7% | 13 | 16.5 | 0.79× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $5.11 | 2.0% | 25 | 19.2 | 1.30× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 93 | $4.92 | 2.3% | 20 | 23.2 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $4.79 | 2.1% | 26 | 21.8 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| Purple DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-purple-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 134 | $4.10 | 1.3% | 17 | 16.1 | 1.06× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 139 | $4.08 | 1.3% | 25 | 15.5 | 1.61× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 146 | $3.93 | 1.2% | 27 | 14.8 | 1.83× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 98 | $3.89 | 1.7% | 22 | 22.0 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 176 | $3.79 | 0.9% | 18 | 12.2 | 1.47× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 148 | $3.72 | 1.1% | 17 | 14.5 | 1.17× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 159 | $3.66 | 1.0% | 10 | 13.5 | 0.74× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 138 | $3.57 | 1.1% | 12 | 15.6 | 0.77× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 132 | $3.49 | 1.1% | 16 | 16.3 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) | 1 in 107 | $3.36 | 1.4% | 21 | 20.1 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) | 1 in 133 | $3.12 | 1.0% | 20 | 16.2 | 1.24× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 91 | $3.07 | 1.5% | 22 | 23.7 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $3.07 | 1.4% | 20 | 22.1 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 100 | $3.05 | 1.3% | 21 | 21.6 | 0.97× |
| [USP-S \| Guardian (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-guardian-field-tested) | 1 in 65 | $2.93 | 1.9% | 23 | 32.9 | 0.70× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 120 | $2.89 | 1.0% | 28 | 18.0 | 1.56× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-well-worn) | 1 in 71 | $2.64 | 1.6% | 23 | 30.2 | 0.76× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-lead-conduit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 60 | $2.63 | 1.9% | 37 | 36.1 | 1.02× |
| [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $2.31 | 1.9% | 51 | 41.0 | 1.24× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) | 1 in 49 | $2.26 | 2.0% | 50 | 43.6 | 1.15× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $2.14 | 1.7% | 65 | 39.0 | 1.66× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $2.12 | 2.1% | 61 | 50.1 | 1.22× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Factory New) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-factory-new) | 1 in 64 | $2.05 | 1.4% | 32 | 33.5 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 53 | $1.90 | 1.6% | 46 | 40.9 | 1.12× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 50 | $1.80 | 1.6% | 57 | 42.9 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $1.66 | 1.7% | 49 | 49.8 | 0.98× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-battle-scarred) | 1 in 40 | $1.48 | 1.6% | 44 | 54.4 | 0.81× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Factory New) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-factory-new) | 1 in 39 | $1.40 | 1.5% | 63 | 54.7 | 1.15× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) | 1 in 38 | $1.38 | 1.6% | 60 | 56.6 | 1.06× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 40 | $1.30 | 1.4% | 55 | 53.6 | 1.03× |
| [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-field-tested) | 1 in 55 | $1.16 | 0.9% | 60 | 38.8 | 1.55× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-field-tested) | 1 in 49 | $1.07 | 0.9% | 46 | 43.7 | 1.05× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-minimal-wear) | 1 in 47 | $1.07 | 1.0% | 49 | 45.9 | 1.07× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) | 1 in 43 | $0.94 | 1.0% | 43 | 50.2 | 0.86× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-battle-scarred) | 1 in 46 | $0.87 | 0.8% | 57 | 47.3 | 1.21× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-well-worn) | 1 in 58 | $0.81 | 0.6% | 29 | 37.1 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 25 | 37.6 | 0.67× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $0.80 | 0.6% | 39 | 37.7 | 1.04× |
| [USP-S \| Lead Conduit (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-battle-scarred) | 1 in 83 | $0.77 | 0.4% | 26 | 25.8 | 1.01× |
| [USP-S \| Torque (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-torque-field-tested) | 1 in 90 | $0.77 | 0.4% | 16 | 23.8 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 111 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 22 | 19.3 | 1.14× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-minimal-wear) | 1 in 99 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 22 | 21.8 | 1.01× |
| [USP-S \| Black Lotus (Battle-Scarred) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-black-lotus-battle-scarred) | 1 in 98 | $0.76 | 0.3% | 22 | 21.9 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $0.75 | 0.2% | 14 | 12.7 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $0.72 | 0.3% | 31 | 19.4 | 1.60× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) | 1 in 121 | $0.70 | 0.2% | 35 | 17.7 | 1.97× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $0.68 | 0.3% | 31 | 24.8 | 1.25× |
| [USP-S \| Ticket to Hell (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-well-worn) | 1 in 65 | $0.67 | 0.4% | 13 | 33.0 | 0.39× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-well-worn) | 1 in 74 | $0.61 | 0.4% | 37 | 29.1 | 1.27× |
| [USP-S \| Flashback (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $0.57 | 0.4% | 30 | 36.1 | 0.83× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $0.53 | 0.4% | 47 | 35.4 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.50 | 0.5% | 39 | 46.2 | 0.84× |
| [USP-S \| Check Engine (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-check-engine-battle-scarred) | 1 in 54 | $0.46 | 0.4% | 52 | 39.9 | 1.30× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $0.36 | 0.3% | 29 | 38.4 | 0.75× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-minimal-wear) | 1 in 55 | $0.35 | 0.3% | 63 | 39.2 | 1.61× |
| [USP-S \| Night Ops (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-field-tested) | 1 in 47 | $0.21 | 0.2% | 0 | 46.1 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-minimal-wear) | 1 in 52 | $0.20 | 0.2% | 0 | 41.2 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Well-Worn) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-well-worn) | 1 in 78 | $0.16 | 0.1% | 0 | 27.6 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #87c7ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-battle-scarred) | 1 in 69 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 31.0 | 0.00× |
| [USP-S \| Forest Leaves (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-forest-leaves-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $0.14 | 0.1% | 0 | 34.0 | 0.00× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/usp`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=usp)

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Torque (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-torque-well-worn) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $2.27 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[USP-S | Lead Conduit (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-lead-conduit-minimal-wear) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $2.27 0.90x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-ticket-to-hell-field-tested) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $0.76 0.30x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[USP-S | Blueprint (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blueprint-field-tested) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $4.78 1.90x 2026-11-11 12:18 UTC

[USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-flashback-factory-new) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $5.10 2.03x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[USP-S | Blood Tiger (Minimal Wear) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-blood-tiger-minimal-wear) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $3.11 1.24x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-flashback-factory-new) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $3.36 1.34x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[USP-S | Night Ops (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-night-ops-factory-new) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $1.38 0.55x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[USP-S | Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $3.70 1.47x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

[USP-S | Ticket to Hell (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-ticket-to-hell-minimal-wear) [Nonesy](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Nonesy) $2.51 $0.94 0.37x 2026-11-11 12:12 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $2.51 | 92.04% | 133 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $2.51 | 92.09% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $2.51 | 92.02% | 133 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $2.51 | 92.09% | 133 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $2.51 | 92.10% | 133 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $2.51 | 92.07% | 133 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $2.51 | 92.06% | 133 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $2.51 | 92.05% | 133 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $2.51 | 92.05% | 133 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $2.51 | 92.06% | 133 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $2.51 | 92.07% | 133 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $2.51 | 92.07% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $2.51 | 92.04% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $2.51 | 92.07% | 133 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $2.51 | 92.00% | 133 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 0.1% mil spec 26.6% classified 2.2% restricted 21.5% Rare 5.3% #d32ee6 0.0% Legendary 0.1% industrial 4.5% red 0.0% Restricted 1.6% milspec 9.8% Mythical 3.4% pink 0.1% Industrial Grade 0.0% #4b69ff 6.4% Mil Spec Grade 2.6% Classified 0.6% #8847ff 2.3% violet 4.4% blue 5.7% #87c7ff 2.7% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.04 on average: an expected loss of $7.96 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt