---
title: "VAC-BAN case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "VAC-BAN ($74.07) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.10% from 100 items with odds, observed 95.55% over 344 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban
rendered: 2026-11-11T14:13Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [VAC-BAN](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · VAC-BAN

A case on GGDROP (multicases), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=all)

Price · $74.07

Advertised RTP · 92.10% · EV $68.22 from 100 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 95.55% · 344 openings, odds method

Variance · 0.9× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.5% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 72.4% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 17 openings · below min

7 days · 95.72% ±10.60 310 openings

30 days · 95.55% ±10.06 344 openings

since tracking started · 95.55% ±10.06 344 openings

52.5% 98.8% 145.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=24h) | 17 | 98.79% ±45.7 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=7d) | 310 | 95.72% ±10.6 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban) | 344 | 95.55% ±10.1 | +0.7σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vac-ban?window=all) | 344 | 95.55% ±10.1 | +0.7σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 100 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 344 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 1,471 | $558 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,695 | $552 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 1,695 | $536 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,556 | $507 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 1,471 | $477 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,316 | $453 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,163 | $445 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $435 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,299 | $429 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [★ Stiletto Knife \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stiletto-knife-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,639 | $429 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $427 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Emerald Web (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-emerald-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,266 | $394 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 1,099 | $393 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 909 | $387 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 763 | $385 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-well-worn) | 1 in 1,887 | $373 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 769 | $366 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 671 | $331 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $319 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-well-worn) | 1 in 488 | $313 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 408 | $300 | 1.1% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 524 | $288 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 490 | $277 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Sport Gloves \| Vice (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/sport-gloves-vice-battle-scarred) | 1 in 446 | $266 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 444 | $265 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 455 | $264 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 457 | $249 | 0.8% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 483 | $245 | 0.7% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 405 | $242 | 0.9% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 329 | $233 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 362 | $225 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-battle-scarred) | 1 in 324 | $217 | 1.0% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-battle-scarred) | 1 in 278 | $209 | 1.1% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.81× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 268 | $198 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 266 | $193 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.55× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 266 | $191 | 1.1% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 267 | $189 | 1.0% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.78× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 315 | $188 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.83× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) | 1 in 300 | $187 | 0.9% | 2 | 1.1 | 1.75× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 265 | $181 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.54× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 233 | $181 | 1.1% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 189 | $168 | 1.3% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.10× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 150 | $155 | 1.5% | 9 | 2.3 | 3.93× |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 137 | $149 | 1.6% | 2 | 2.5 | 0.80× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $144 | 1.9% | 0 | 3.1 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 115 | $139 | 1.8% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.67× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 132 | $128 | 1.4% | 5 | 2.6 | 1.92× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 125 | $127 | 1.5% | 3 | 2.7 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 123 | $125 | 1.5% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 116 | $124 | 1.6% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.68× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 150 | $110 | 1.1% | 2 | 2.3 | 0.87× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 124 | $109 | 1.3% | 0 | 2.8 | 0.00× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 108 | $104 | 1.4% | 7 | 3.2 | 2.20× |
| [P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 93 | $102 | 1.6% | 0 | 3.7 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 183 | $101 | 0.8% | 3 | 1.9 | 1.60× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $101 | 1.1% | 3 | 2.6 | 1.15× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 156 | $96.13 | 0.9% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 139 | $94.67 | 1.0% | 1 | 2.5 | 0.41× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 125 | $93.00 | 1.1% | 1 | 2.7 | 0.36× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 101 | $92.48 | 1.3% | 5 | 3.4 | 1.47× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 99 | $89.26 | 1.3% | 4 | 3.5 | 1.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 97 | $88.89 | 1.3% | 3 | 3.5 | 0.85× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 84 | $83.25 | 1.4% | 3 | 4.1 | 0.74× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 68 | $75.73 | 1.6% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $73.46 | 1.7% | 2 | 5.4 | 0.37× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 51 | $68.29 | 2.0% | 5 | 6.7 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $66.43 | 1.9% | 5 | 6.6 | 0.76× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 61 | $59.89 | 1.4% | 3 | 5.7 | 0.53× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 56 | $58.21 | 1.5% | 4 | 6.2 | 0.65× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $56.38 | 1.3% | 4 | 5.5 | 0.73× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 57 | $54.51 | 1.4% | 6 | 6.1 | 0.99× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) | 1 in 82 | $54.35 | 1.0% | 8 | 4.2 | 1.90× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 77 | $48.69 | 0.9% | 3 | 4.4 | 0.67× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 76 | $47.52 | 0.9% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.11× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $46.80 | 0.9% | 8 | 4.5 | 1.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-well-worn) | 1 in 63 | $45.93 | 1.1% | 5 | 5.5 | 0.91× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $45.90 | 0.6% | 4 | 3.1 | 1.29× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 113 | $45.75 | 0.6% | 7 | 3.1 | 2.29× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 104 | $44.27 | 0.6% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-well-worn) | 1 in 96 | $39.69 | 0.6% | 4 | 3.6 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-battle-scarred) | 1 in 77 | $39.67 | 0.8% | 7 | 4.5 | 1.57× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-field-tested) | 1 in 63 | $39.41 | 0.9% | 8 | 5.4 | 1.47× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Field-Tested) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-field-tested) | 1 in 60 | $38.63 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.7 | 0.88× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Field-Tested) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $37.45 | 0.5% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-well-worn) | 1 in 82 | $35.43 | 0.6% | 5 | 4.2 | 1.19× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $35.09 | 0.7% | 3 | 5.0 | 0.60× |
| [Glock-18 \| Neo-Noir (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-neo-noir-battle-scarred) | 1 in 62 | $34.04 | 0.8% | 4 | 5.6 | 0.72× |
| [USP-S \| The Traitor (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-battle-scarred) | 1 in 58 | $33.71 | 0.8% | 0 | 5.9 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 62 | $30.16 | 0.7% | 8 | 5.6 | 1.44× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-field-tested) | 1 in 51 | $28.25 | 0.8% | 9 | 6.7 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 47 | $27.81 | 0.9% | 8 | 7.3 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Decimator (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-decimator-battle-scarred) | 1 in 39 | $27.39 | 1.0% | 2 | 8.8 | 0.23× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 48 | $27.13 | 0.8% | 4 | 7.2 | 0.55× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 48 | $27.09 | 0.8% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 43 | $26.87 | 0.9% | 10 | 8.1 | 1.24× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $26.86 | 1.1% | 9 | 9.6 | 0.94× |
| [M4A1-S \| Decimator (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-decimator-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $20.48 | 1.1% | 18 | 12.4 | 1.45× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) | 1 in 22 | $20.22 | 1.3% | 12 | 15.5 | 0.77× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-well-worn) | 1 in 18 | $19.87 | 1.6% | 18 | 19.1 | 0.94× |
| [M4A4 \| Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $19.65 | 2.0% | 33 | 23.7 | 1.39× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/vac-ban`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Slaughter (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-stiletto-knife-slaughter-factory-new) [𝓍ℕⓄ𝓵1❻❻❼](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%F0%9D%93%8D%E2%84%95%E2%93%84%F0%9D%93%B51%E2%9D%BB%E2%9D%BB%E2%9D%BC) $74.07 $573 7.74x 2026-11-06 22:04 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [kuzzi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/kuzzi) $74.07 $554 7.48x 2026-11-04 22:41 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=vac-ban)

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $74.07 $89.97 1.21x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $74.07 $192 2.59x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $74.07 $26.57 0.36x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $74.07 $67.75 0.91x 2026-11-11 12:59 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) [L4he$T](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/L4he%24T) $74.07 $47.62 0.64x 2026-11-11 12:48 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-battle-scarred) [krelord.uuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/krelord.uuu) $74.07 $19.66 0.27x 2026-11-10 22:19 UTC

[M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) [Даня вареник](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%D0%94%D0%B0%D0%BD%D1%8F%20%D0%B2%D0%B0%D1%80%D0%B5%D0%BD%D0%B8%D0%BA) $74.07 $26.97 0.36x 2026-11-10 21:04 UTC

[StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Code Red (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-factory-new) [Gu1lty](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gu1lty) $74.07 $246 3.32x 2026-11-10 20:00 UTC

[USP-S | The Traitor (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-the-traitor-minimal-wear) [Mr. fart](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mr.%20fart) $74.07 $54.89 0.74x 2026-11-10 19:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Cyber Security (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-cyber-security-field-tested) [Mr. fart](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Mr.%20fart) $74.07 $20.14 0.27x 2026-11-10 19:21 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $74.07 | 92.10% | 100 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $74.07 | 92.08% | 100 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $74.07 | 92.08% | 100 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $74.07 | 92.08% | 100 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $74.07 | 92.05% | 100 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $74.07 | 92.03% | 100 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $74.07 | 92.09% | 100 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $74.07 | 92.07% | 100 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $74.07 | 92.09% | 100 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $74.07 | 92.06% | 100 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $74.07 | 92.06% | 100 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $74.07 | 92.08% | 100 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $74.07 | 92.08% | 100 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $74.07 | 92.00% | 100 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed classified 25.1% covert knife 1.5% covert 43.4% extraordinary 0.4% Classified 5.3% sunny 1.0% red 4.5% Covert 1.7% rare 0.7% gold 0.9% Ancient 2.4% #eb4b4b 0.8% pink 12.4% best hit $573 (7.74x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.10 on average: an expected loss of $7.90 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt