---
title: "Red case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Red ($65.00) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 92.00% from 86 items with odds, observed 89.54% over 1,038 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red
rendered: 2026-11-11T16:50Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Red](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Red

A case on GGDROP (vip-color), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=all)

Price · $65.00

Advertised RTP · 92.00% · EV $59.80 from 86 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.54% · 1,038 openings, odds method

Variance · 2.5× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 18.8% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 73.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 72 openings · below min

7 days · 90.81% ±15.11 879 openings

30 days · 89.54% ±14.53 1,038 openings

since tracking started · 89.54% ±14.53 1,038 openings

44.0% 82.0% 120.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=24h) | 72 | 82.13% ±37.3 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=7d) | 879 | 90.81% ±15.1 | −0.2σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red) | 1,038 | 89.54% ±14.5 | −0.3σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/vip-red?window=all) | 1,038 | 89.54% ±14.5 | −0.3σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 86 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 1,038 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [M4A4 \| Howl (Field-Tested) weapon · contraband](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-howl-field-tested) | 1 in 7,692 | $5,240 | 1.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Negev \| Mjölnir (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-minimal-wear) | 1 in 10,000 | $2,907 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Negev \| Mjölnir (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-field-tested) | 1 in 5,556 | $2,801 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $1,669 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-well-worn) | 1 in 9,091 | $1,616 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 9,091 | $1,431 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Crimson Kimono (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-crimson-kimono-battle-scarred) | 1 in 9,091 | $1,249 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,000 | $1,095 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-battle-scarred) | 1 in 8,333 | $610 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 10,000 | $578 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn) | 1 in 10,000 | $547 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 弐 (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-field-tested) | 1 in 9,091 | $532 | 0.1% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-well-worn) | 1 in 422 | $530 | 2.1% | 0 | 2.5 | 0.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-well-worn-2) | 1 in 3,448 | $491 | 0.2% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 1,136 | $433 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| X-Ray (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-x-ray-battle-scarred) | 1 in 699 | $429 | 1.0% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.35× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-factory-new) | 1 in 210 | $341 | 2.7% | 3 | 4.9 | 0.61× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-well-worn) | 1 in 152 | $266 | 2.9% | 0 | 6.8 | 0.00× |
| [SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-dragonfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 578 | $255 | 0.7% | 5 | 1.8 | 2.78× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $253 | 2.9% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.70× |
| [MP9 \| Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-hot-rod-factory-new) | 1 in 119 | $224 | 3.1% | 6 | 8.7 | 0.69× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Crimson Weave (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-crimson-weave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 128 | $167 | 2.2% | 7 | 8.1 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $141 | 2.3% | 7 | 10.2 | 0.69× |
| [StatTrak™ SSG 08 \| Dragonfire (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ssg-08-dragonfire-well-worn) | 1 in 88 | $140 | 2.7% | 6 | 11.8 | 0.51× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 79 | $137 | 2.9% | 9 | 13.1 | 0.69× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 123 | $132 | 1.8% | 7 | 8.4 | 0.83× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $130 | 1.0% | 8 | 4.9 | 1.63× |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 529 | $128 | 0.4% | 6 | 2.0 | 3.06× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 193 | $123 | 1.1% | 3 | 5.4 | 0.56× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-factory-new) | 1 in 209 | $118 | 0.9% | 5 | 5.0 | 1.01× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-field-tested) | 1 in 709 | $117 | 0.3% | 2 | 1.5 | 1.37× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 135 | $110 | 1.4% | 3 | 7.7 | 0.39× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) | 1 in 163 | $110 | 1.1% | 9 | 6.4 | 1.41× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-field-tested) | 1 in 134 | $109 | 1.4% | 5 | 7.8 | 0.64× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 226 | $104 | 0.8% | 6 | 4.6 | 1.30× |
| [★ Shadow Daggers \| Slaughter (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/shadow-daggers-slaughter-minimal-wear) | 1 in 169 | $104 | 1.0% | 13 | 6.2 | 2.11× |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) | 1 in 260 | $98.93 | 0.6% | 13 | 4.0 | 3.26× |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 144 | $96.04 | 1.1% | 9 | 7.2 | 1.25× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 138 | $95.70 | 1.2% | 7 | 7.5 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $95.21 | 1.2% | 10 | 8.0 | 1.25× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 212 | $90.19 | 0.7% | 10 | 4.9 | 2.04× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Crimson Blossom (Field-Tested) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-field-tested) | 1 in 181 | $89.06 | 0.8% | 8 | 5.8 | 1.39× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 111 | $82.90 | 1.2% | 7 | 9.3 | 0.75× |
| [M4A4 \| Hellfire (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-hellfire-well-worn) | 1 in 113 | $80.31 | 1.2% | 11 | 9.2 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 103 | $80.12 | 1.3% | 9 | 10.0 | 0.90× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Factory New) weapon · Industrial Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-factory-new) | 1 in 169 | $78.86 | 0.8% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Field-Tested) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-field-tested) | 1 in 117 | $74.99 | 1.1% | 7 | 8.9 | 0.79× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-field-tested) | 1 in 142 | $73.85 | 0.9% | 8 | 7.3 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-well-worn) | 1 in 149 | $73.65 | 0.8% | 6 | 7.0 | 0.86× |
| [Five-SeveN \| Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) | 1 in 102 | $70.75 | 1.2% | 8 | 10.2 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-well-worn) | 1 in 118 | $68.33 | 1.0% | 16 | 8.8 | 1.82× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 108 | $68.03 | 1.1% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [USP-S \| Kill Confirmed (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-kill-confirmed-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $66.22 | 1.3% | 14 | 12.0 | 1.17× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) | 1 in 87 | $62.50 | 1.2% | 12 | 11.9 | 1.01× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $61.55 | 1.2% | 16 | 11.7 | 1.37× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $58.94 | 1.6% | 21 | 16.4 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Red Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-red-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $55.36 | 1.3% | 20 | 14.7 | 1.36× |
| [eSports 2013 Case container · base](https://gambatracker.com/items/esports-2013-case) | 1 in 71 | $52.51 | 1.2% | 18 | 14.7 | 1.23× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-well-worn) | 1 in 61 | $48.62 | 1.3% | 17 | 17.1 | 0.99× |
| [P90 \| Cold Blooded (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-factory-new) | 1 in 49 | $48.59 | 1.7% | 22 | 21.4 | 1.03× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $47.81 | 1.1% | 14 | 14.5 | 0.97× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $47.28 | 1.2% | 13 | 15.2 | 0.85× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Code Red (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-battle-scarred) | 1 in 101 | $45.30 | 0.7% | 10 | 10.2 | 0.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $41.84 | 0.9% | 16 | 13.0 | 1.24× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) | 1 in 56 | $41.55 | 1.2% | 19 | 18.6 | 1.02× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 63 | $37.11 | 1.0% | 12 | 16.4 | 0.73× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hemoglobin-factory-new) | 1 in 60 | $37.08 | 1.0% | 12 | 17.2 | 0.70× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-battle-scarred) | 1 in 64 | $36.47 | 1.0% | 5 | 16.3 | 0.31× |
| [StatTrak™ P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $36.30 | 0.9% | 15 | 15.8 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-field-tested) | 1 in 103 | $35.50 | 0.6% | 11 | 10.1 | 1.09× |
| [M4A4 \| Radiation Hazard (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-battle-scarred) | 1 in 96 | $35.11 | 0.6% | 10 | 10.8 | 0.92× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $35.00 | 0.6% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.95× |
| [M4A4 \| Red DDPAT (Field-Tested) weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-red-ddpat-field-tested) | 1 in 70 | $34.82 | 0.8% | 16 | 14.8 | 1.08× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-battle-scarred-2) | 1 in 71 | $33.83 | 0.8% | 8 | 14.7 | 0.55× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $30.17 | 0.7% | 21 | 15.3 | 1.37× |
| [Sticker \| Hobbit (Foil) \| Atlanta 2017 sticker](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-hobbit-foil-atlanta-2017) | 1 in 44 | $29.02 | 1.1% | 18 | 23.4 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hemoglobin-minimal-wear) | 1 in 37 | $28.68 | 1.3% | 34 | 27.9 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 36 | $28.51 | 1.3% | 36 | 28.8 | 1.25× |
| [StatTrak™ Dual Berettas \| Hemoglobin (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-dual-berettas-hemoglobin-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $27.48 | 1.0% | 22 | 22.8 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) | 1 in 39 | $27.15 | 1.2% | 27 | 26.6 | 1.02× |
| [AK-47 \| Redline (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-battle-scarred) | 1 in 36 | $26.68 | 1.2% | 35 | 28.6 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ XM1014 \| Tranquility (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-xm1014-tranquility-field-tested) | 1 in 26 | $26.61 | 1.7% | 49 | 40.5 | 1.21× |
| [Health Pin pin · remarkable](https://gambatracker.com/items/health-pin) | 1 in 23 | $24.15 | 1.7% | 37 | 44.7 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ MP7 \| Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) | 1 in 19 | $23.00 | 2.0% | 44 | 53.4 | 0.82× |
| [P250 \| Muertos (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-muertos-factory-new) | 1 in 16 | $22.62 | 2.3% | 76 | 63.8 | 1.19× |
| [XM1014 \| Tranquility (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/xm1014-tranquility-factory-new) | 1 in 13 | $21.42 | 2.8% | 65 | 81.2 | 0.80× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/vip-red`, 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[Negev | Mjölnir (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/negev-mjolnir-field-tested) [Gu1lty](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Gu1lty) $65.00 $2,331 35.86x 2026-11-08 07:54 UTC

[M4A1-S | Hot Rod (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hot-rod-factory-new) [nitro](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/nitro) $65.00 $1,457 22.42x 2026-11-05 19:28 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=vip-red)

[Five-SeveN | Crimson Blossom (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-crimson-blossom-factory-new) [Andrei Veres](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Andrei%20Veres) $65.00 $109 1.67x 2026-11-11 16:34 UTC

[Desert Eagle | Code Red (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-code-red-minimal-wear) [Andrei Veres](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Andrei%20Veres) $65.00 $58.95 0.91x 2026-11-11 16:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) [CRYSS](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CRYSS) $65.00 $22.93 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:29 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-battle-scarred) [Makarik\_y](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Makarik_y) $65.00 $22.93 0.35x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC

[M4A4 | Radiation Hazard (Minimal Wear) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-radiation-hazard-minimal-wear) [Makarik\_y](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Makarik_y) $65.00 $98.12 1.51x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC

[Five-SeveN | Candy Apple (Minimal Wear) weapon · industrial](https://gambatracker.com/items/five-seven-candy-apple-minimal-wear) [Makarik\_y](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Makarik_y) $65.00 $70.26 1.08x 2026-11-11 16:21 UTC

[P90 | Cold Blooded (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-cold-blooded-minimal-wear) [CRYSS](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/CRYSS) $65.00 $62.33 0.96x 2026-11-11 16:19 UTC

[AK-47 | Redline (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-redline-well-worn) [mfbenn7](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/mfbenn7) $65.00 $27.15 0.42x 2026-11-11 15:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ MP7 | Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp7-bloodsport-minimal-wear) [Makiaveli](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Makiaveli) $65.00 $37.11 0.57x 2026-11-11 14:48 UTC

[AWP | Wildfire (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-battle-scarred) [dipiensmain](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/dipiensmain) $65.00 $41.38 0.64x 2026-11-11 14:34 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 14:42 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $65.00 | 92.06% | 86 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $65.00 | 92.04% | 86 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $65.00 | 92.02% | 86 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $65.00 | 92.07% | 86 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $65.00 | 92.04% | 86 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $65.00 | 92.03% | 86 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $65.00 | 92.07% | 86 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $65.00 | 92.03% | 86 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $65.00 | 92.04% | 86 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $65.00 | 92.01% | 86 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $65.00 | 92.09% | 86 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $65.00 | 92.07% | 86 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $65.00 | 92.08% | 86 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $65.00 | 92.10% | 86 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $65.00 | 92.00% | 86 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $65.00 | 92.09% | 86 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $65.00 | 92.08% | 86 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $65.00 | 92.10% | 86 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed contraband 0.0% classified 31.3% extraordinary 1.5% mil spec 5.1% restricted 10.8% covert 27.6% covert knife 0.5% gold 0.4% sunny 0.7% Mil Spec Grade 0.6% Industrial Grade 0.6% industrial 1.8% base 1.4% Ancient 1.6% Restricted 1.4% other 3.7% Covert 2.8% Legendary 3.9% remarkable 4.3% best hit $2,331 (35.86x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 92.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $92.00 on average: an expected loss of $8.00 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt