---
title: "Well Worn case on GGDROP: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Well Worn ($379.39) on GGDROP, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 83.08% from 101 items with odds, observed 72.98% over 94 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:33Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) / [Well Worn](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn)

# [GGDROP](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/ggdrop) · Well Worn

A case on GGDROP (premium), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is GGDROP's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=all)

Price · $379.39

Advertised RTP · 83.08% · EV $315.20 from 101 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 72.98% · 94 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.0× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 17.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 74.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 5 openings · below min

7 days · 71 openings · below min

30 days · 94 openings · below min

since tracking started · 94 openings · below min

-0.5% 96.3% 193.0%

**Small sample.** 94 openings and 20.0 expected rare hits: below the 100 openings and 5 hits the test needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=24h) | 5 | 40.72% ±151.5 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=7d) | 71 | 67.97% ±31.4 | — | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn) | 94 | 72.98% ±24.6 | — | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/ggdrop/well-worn?window=all) | 94 | 72.98% ±24.6 | — | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 101 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 94 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $13.2K | 9.0% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 42 | $1,070 | 8.1% | 0 | 2.2 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) | 1 in 43 | $1,060 | 7.9% | 1 | 2.2 | 0.45× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 44 | $1,022 | 7.4% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.93× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 45 | $643 | 4.5% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 68 | $613 | 2.9% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 54 | $581 | 3.4% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.16× |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) | 1 in 45 | $536 | 3.8% | 2 | 2.1 | 0.96× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Sunset Storm 壱 (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-sunset-storm-factory-new) | 1 in 99 | $501 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-minimal-wear) | 1 in 97 | $488 | 1.6% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Icarus Fell (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-icarus-fell-factory-new) | 1 in 100 | $488 | 1.5% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 130 | $480 | 1.2% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-factory-new) | 1 in 176 | $462 | 0.8% | 4 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-factory-new) | 1 in 186 | $452 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $445 | 0.9% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Emerald Jörmungandr (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-emerald-jormungandr-field-tested) | 1 in 119 | $412 | 1.1% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-factory-new) | 1 in 150 | $411 | 0.9% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-minimal-wear) | 1 in 148 | $410 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 156 | $401 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-factory-new) | 1 in 282 | $399 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-well-worn) | 1 in 232 | $393 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 188 | $387 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-minimal-wear) | 1 in 206 | $385 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) | 1 in 174 | $384 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $366 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 157 | $363 | 0.7% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-factory-new) | 1 in 132 | $348 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-factory-new) | 1 in 107 | $333 | 1.0% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 130 | $327 | 0.8% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AUG \| Akihabara Accept (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-battle-scarred) | 1 in 110 | $319 | 0.9% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Minimal Wear) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-minimal-wear) | 1 in 128 | $315 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 165 | $315 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 167 | $309 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 195 | $309 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-minimal-wear) | 1 in 153 | $300 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Printstream (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-battle-scarred) | 1 in 147 | $288 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-field-tested) | 1 in 169 | $277 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 117 | $277 | 0.8% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 124 | $276 | 0.7% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 156 | $270 | 0.5% | 3 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) | 1 in 220 | $265 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| The Traitor (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-the-traitor-factory-new) | 1 in 178 | $264 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 152 | $253 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 161 | $249 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-minimal-wear) | 1 in 166 | $246 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 143 | $245 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [USP-S \| Target Acquired (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-target-acquired-field-tested) | 1 in 209 | $242 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · #EB4B4B](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 218 | $237 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-minimal-wear) | 1 in 223 | $233 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-field-tested) | 1 in 247 | $232 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-minimal-wear) | 1 in 196 | $230 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) | 1 in 270 | $225 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 246 | $224 | 0.3% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 222 | $222 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 213 | $222 | 0.3% | 3 | 0.4 | — |
| [UMP-45 \| Fade (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ump-45-fade-factory-new) | 1 in 246 | $218 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| BOOM (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-field-tested) | 1 in 219 | $217 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Minimal Wear) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-minimal-wear) | 1 in 203 | $212 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-well-worn) | 1 in 142 | $208 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-battle-scarred) | 1 in 145 | $207 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [SSG 08 \| Death Strike (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-death-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 149 | $204 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [MAC-10 \| Hot Snakes (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-hot-snakes-well-worn) | 1 in 169 | $203 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-field-tested) | 1 in 175 | $196 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) | 1 in 180 | $193 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 146 | $193 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Flip Knife \| Autotronic (Battle-Scarred) knife · gold](https://gambatracker.com/items/flip-knife-autotronic-battle-scarred) | 1 in 130 | $192 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 192 | $191 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Printstream (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-printstream-well-worn) | 1 in 151 | $189 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 122 | $181 | 0.5% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 93 | $171 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.99× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-factory-new) | 1 in 84 | $169 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) | 1 in 74 | $165 | 0.7% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.79× |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 78 | $155 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.83× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-field-tested) | 1 in 96 | $154 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 86 | $148 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Hyper Beast (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) | 1 in 83 | $144 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.88× |
| [AWP \| Wildfire (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-wildfire-factory-new) | 1 in 112 | $142 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Hyper Beast (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-minimal-wear) | 1 in 86 | $133 | 0.5% | 0 | 1.1 | 0.00× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-well-worn) | 1 in 103 | $132 | 0.4% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-minimal-wear) | 1 in 110 | $131 | 0.4% | 2 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) | 1 in 97 | $129 | 0.4% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 157 | $124 | 0.2% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Field-Tested) gloves · Extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-field-tested) | 1 in 129 | $123 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 117 | $122 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) | 1 in 105 | $120 | 0.4% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-well-worn) | 1 in 125 | $117 | 0.3% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Well-Worn) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-well-worn) | 1 in 110 | $113 | 0.3% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| BOOM (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-boom-minimal-wear) | 1 in 90 | $108 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.0 | 0.96× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-factory-new) | 1 in 81 | $107 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.2 | 0.00× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-field-tested) | 1 in 72 | $103 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.3 | 1.53× |
| [★ Specialist Gloves \| Tiger Strike (Battle-Scarred) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/specialist-gloves-tiger-strike-battle-scarred) | 1 in 71 | $100 | 0.4% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [★ Driver Gloves \| Black Tie (Battle-Scarred) gloves · #eb4b4b](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-battle-scarred) | 1 in 80 | $98.21 | 0.4% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.85× |
| [★ Falchion Knife \| Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) | 1 in 66 | $96.42 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Wildfire (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-field-tested) | 1 in 64 | $94.13 | 0.5% | 3 | 1.5 | 2.03× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 57 | $87.20 | 0.5% | 1 | 1.6 | 0.61× |
| [★ Moto Gloves \| Blood Pressure (Battle-Scarred) gloves · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/moto-gloves-blood-pressure-battle-scarred) | 1 in 49 | $84.00 | 0.5% | 2 | 1.9 | 1.04× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 41 | $75.45 | 0.6% | 4 | 2.3 | 1.74× |
| [★ Gut Knife \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 35 | $75.30 | 0.7% | 4 | 2.7 | 1.49× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 34 | $75.03 | 0.7% | 1 | 2.8 | 0.36× |
| [AK-47 \| Nightwish (Minimal Wear) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-nightwish-minimal-wear) | 1 in 28 | $73.35 | 0.8% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.91× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Nightwish (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-nightwish-field-tested) | 1 in 28 | $65.33 | 0.7% | 1 | 3.4 | 0.29× |

Values are GGDROP's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `ggdrop:api/case/well-worn`, 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · epic](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-factory-new) [hhunter](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/hhunter) $379 $1,278 3.37x 2026-11-08 19:09 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $379 $1,044 2.75x 2026-11-03 22:26 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-factory-new) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $379 $1,027 2.71x 2026-11-09 14:23 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $379 $637 1.68x 2026-11-04 19:48 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Flip Knife | Autotronic (Factory New) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-flip-knife-autotronic-factory-new) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $379 $637 1.68x 2026-11-04 19:47 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $379 $580 1.53x 2026-11-09 14:22 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-minimal-wear) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $379 $580 1.53x 2026-11-09 14:22 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [kaLu.](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/kaLu.) $379 $556 1.47x 2026-11-03 13:41 UTC

[AUG | Akihabara Accept (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-akihabara-accept-field-tested) [✮benjitreskk̤̮✮](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/%E2%9C%AEbenjitreskk%CC%A4%CC%AE%E2%9C%AE) $379 $548 1.44x 2026-11-08 19:54 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=ggdrop&case=well-worn)

[★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Well-Worn) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-well-worn) [cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/cat) $379 $119 0.31x 2026-11-10 20:52 UTC

[★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie (Field-Tested) gloves · extraordinary](https://gambatracker.com/items/driver-gloves-black-tie-field-tested) [cat](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/cat) $379 $128 0.34x 2026-11-10 20:45 UTC

[★ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/gut-knife-crimson-web-field-tested) [Kilovi](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Kilovi) $379 $75.08 0.20x 2026-11-10 18:21 UTC

[★ StatTrak™ Gut Knife | Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-gut-knife-crimson-web-minimal-wear) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $379 $172 0.45x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Hyper Beast (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-hyper-beast-factory-new) [Lemo](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/Lemo) $379 $277 0.73x 2026-11-10 16:14 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | BOOM (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-boom-minimal-wear) [isfab.cs](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/isfab.cs) $379 $246 0.65x 2026-11-10 12:39 UTC

[★ Falchion Knife | Lore (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/falchion-knife-lore-battle-scarred) [suutei tsai](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/suutei%20tsai) $379 $96.50 0.25x 2026-11-10 11:28 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Printstream (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-printstream-field-tested) [syn](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/syn) $379 $368 0.97x 2026-11-09 20:44 UTC

[StatTrak™ AWP | Wildfire (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-wildfire-minimal-wear) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $379 $166 0.44x 2026-11-09 14:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Emerald Dragon (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-emerald-dragon-well-worn) [sercantall](https://gambatracker.com/players/ggdrop/sercantall) $379 $228 0.60x 2026-11-09 14:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 11 Nov, 08:38 UTC | $379 | 83.08% | 101 |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | $379 | 83.05% | 101 |
| 10 Nov, 20:30 UTC | $379 | 83.08% | 101 |
| 10 Nov, 14:27 UTC | $379 | 83.00% | 101 |
| 10 Nov, 08:23 UTC | $379 | 83.05% | 101 |
| 10 Nov, 02:19 UTC | $379 | 82.96% | 101 |
| 9 Nov, 20:15 UTC | $379 | 82.93% | 101 |
| 9 Nov, 14:12 UTC | $379 | 83.05% | 101 |
| 9 Nov, 08:08 UTC | $379 | 83.06% | 101 |
| 9 Nov, 01:55 UTC | $379 | 83.03% | 101 |
| 8 Nov, 23:36 UTC | $379 | 83.00% | 101 |
| 8 Nov, 17:32 UTC | $379 | 83.01% | 101 |
| 8 Nov, 11:28 UTC | $379 | 82.99% | 101 |
| 8 Nov, 05:24 UTC | $379 | 83.01% | 101 |
| 7 Nov, 23:21 UTC | $379 | 82.99% | 101 |
| 7 Nov, 17:17 UTC | $379 | 83.00% | 101 |
| 7 Nov, 11:13 UTC | $379 | 82.92% | 101 |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | $379 | 82.92% | 101 |
| 6 Nov, 23:05 UTC | $379 | 82.93% | 101 |
| 6 Nov, 17:01 UTC | $379 | 82.90% | 101 |
| 6 Nov, 10:58 UTC | $379 | 82.96% | 101 |
| 6 Nov, 04:54 UTC | $379 | 82.91% | 101 |
| 5 Nov, 22:50 UTC | $379 | 82.91% | 101 |
| 5 Nov, 16:46 UTC | $379 | 82.91% | 101 |
| 5 Nov, 10:42 UTC | $379 | 83.00% | 101 |
| 5 Nov, 04:39 UTC | $379 | 82.93% | 101 |
| 4 Nov, 22:35 UTC | $379 | 82.93% | 101 |
| 4 Nov, 16:31 UTC | $379 | 82.93% | 101 |
| 4 Nov, 14:14 UTC | $379 | 82.90% | 101 |
| 4 Nov, 07:06 UTC | $379 | 82.91% | 101 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed restricted 4.7% Classified 5.3% epic 2.3% covert 46.5% covert knife 9.4% classified 8.5% extraordinary 6.9% Legendary 1.2% #EB4B4B 0.5% Extraordinary 1.3% #d32ee6 0.7% gold 0.8% Ancient 1.4% sunny 3.0% #eb4b4b 1.2% Covert 3.0% red 3.5% best hit $1,278 (3.37x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 83.1% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $83.08 on average: an expected loss of $16.92 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt