---
title: "Absolution case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Absolution ($0.60) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 90.19% over 123 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Absolution](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Absolution

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=all)

Price · $0.60

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 90.19% · 123 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 8 openings · below min

7 days · 76 openings · below min

30 days · 123 openings · below min

since tracking started · 123 openings · below min

2.5% 61.0% 119.5%

**Small sample.** 123 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=24h) | 8 | 60.21% ±57.3 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=7d) | 76 | 90.48% ±28.3 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution) | 123 | 90.19% ±27.2 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/absolution?window=all) | 123 | 90.19% ±27.2 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=absolution)

[StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-galil-ar-signal-well-worn) [Hingle McCringleberry](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Hingle%20McCringleberry) $0.60 $1.47 2.45x 2026-11-12 09:20 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-well-worn) [Ungoodly](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Ungoodly) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-12 06:44 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Well-Worn) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-well-worn) [demarestclement5](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/demarestclement5) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC

[P250 | Cassette (Battle-Scarred) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-cassette-battle-scarred) [11t](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/11t) $0.60 $0.15 0.25x 2026-11-11 18:15 UTC

[G3SG1 | Scavenger (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-scavenger-well-worn) [SaintePignouf](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SaintePignouf) $0.60 $0.72 1.20x 2026-11-11 17:46 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-battle-scarred) [NoRBeRT&apos;87](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/NoRBeRT%26apos%3B87) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-11 17:09 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Minimal Wear) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-minimal-wear) [007](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/007) $0.60 $0.15 0.25x 2026-11-11 15:52 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-field-tested) [rukim](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/rukim) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-11 10:20 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Fragments (Well-Worn) weapon · Mil Spec Grade](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-fragments-well-worn) [Camen56](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Camen56) $0.60 $0.10 0.17x 2026-11-11 03:01 UTC

[P250 | Supernova (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-supernova-factory-new) [Zeldalover52](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Zeldalover52) $0.60 $3.58 5.97x 2026-11-10 22:37 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 90.2% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $90.19 on average: an expected loss of $9.81 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
