---
title: "Adventurer case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops"
description: "Adventurer ($1.76) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.01% from 160 items with odds, observed 89.21% over 12K openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer
rendered: 2026-11-11T12:48Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Adventurer](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Adventurer

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=all)

Price · $1.76

Advertised RTP · 88.01% · EV $1.55 from 160 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 89.21% · 12K openings, odds method

Variance · 2.3× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 10.0% · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 83.5% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 96.50% ±13.76 445 openings

7 days · 89.77% ±2.88 10.9K openings

30 days · 89.21% ±2.74 12K openings

since tracking started · 89.21% ±2.74 12K openings

82.0% 96.5% 111.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=24h) | 445 | 96.50% ±13.8 | +1.6σ | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=7d) | 10.9K | 89.77% ±2.88 | +1.4σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer) | 12K | 89.21% ±2.74 | +1.1σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/adventurer?window=all) | 12K | 89.21% ±2.74 | +1.1σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 160 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 12.6K openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-factory-new) | 1 in 7,143 | $44.82 | 0.4% | 3 | 1.8 | 1.70× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $41.23 | 0.4% | 4 | 2.0 | 1.98× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $40.56 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.0 | 0.50× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 6,250 | $40.20 | 0.4% | 3 | 2.0 | 1.49× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-factory-new) | 1 in 5,263 | $32.75 | 0.4% | 2 | 2.4 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 4,762 | $30.97 | 0.4% | 0 | 2.6 | 0.00× |
| [P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-shallow-grave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 4,348 | $27.48 | 0.4% | 1 | 2.9 | 0.34× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $26.34 | 0.4% | 2 | 3.0 | 0.66× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $26.15 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.0 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,167 | $25.83 | 0.4% | 4 | 3.0 | 1.32× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 4,167 | $25.64 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.0 | 0.99× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $25.42 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.2 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-factory-new) | 1 in 4,000 | $25.42 | 0.4% | 2 | 3.2 | 0.63× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 3,333 | $21.67 | 0.4% | 8 | 3.8 | 2.12× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $20.74 | 0.4% | 3 | 3.9 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-factory-new) | 1 in 3,226 | $20.41 | 0.4% | 5 | 3.9 | 1.28× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-factory-new) | 1 in 2,941 | $18.60 | 0.4% | 6 | 4.3 | 1.40× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-factory-new) | 1 in 2,778 | $17.88 | 0.4% | 4 | 4.5 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,778 | $17.35 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.5 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,703 | $16.91 | 0.4% | 9 | 4.7 | 1.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 2,564 | $16.50 | 0.4% | 5 | 4.9 | 1.02× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-factory-new) | 1 in 2,564 | $16.43 | 0.4% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.42× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,564 | $16.43 | 0.4% | 6 | 4.9 | 1.22× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $15.95 | 0.4% | 8 | 5.0 | 1.59× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,500 | $15.58 | 0.4% | 5 | 5.0 | 0.99× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 2,174 | $14.04 | 0.4% | 5 | 5.8 | 0.86× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 2,128 | $13.55 | 0.4% | 6 | 5.9 | 1.01× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.50 | 0.4% | 3 | 6.0 | 0.50× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.28 | 0.4% | 9 | 6.0 | 1.49× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.27 | 0.4% | 6 | 6.0 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.26 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.0 | 1.16× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-field-tested) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.17 | 0.4% | 5 | 6.0 | 0.83× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-well-worn) | 1 in 2,083 | $13.10 | 0.4% | 1 | 6.0 | 0.17× |
| [AUG \| Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-fleet-flock-battle-scarred) | 1 in 2,041 | $12.86 | 0.4% | 3 | 6.2 | 0.49× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,961 | $12.49 | 0.4% | 9 | 6.4 | 1.40× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Factory New) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-factory-new) | 1 in 1,923 | $12.11 | 0.4% | 6 | 6.6 | 0.92× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-field-tested) | 1 in 1,852 | $11.84 | 0.4% | 7 | 6.8 | 1.03× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 1,852 | $11.73 | 0.4% | 8 | 6.8 | 1.18× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,786 | $11.38 | 0.4% | 5 | 7.1 | 0.71× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Fleet Flock (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-fleet-flock-well-worn) | 1 in 1,786 | $11.36 | 0.4% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Shallow Grave (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-shallow-grave-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,786 | $11.36 | 0.4% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Factory New) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-factory-new) | 1 in 1,786 | $11.35 | 0.4% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,786 | $11.26 | 0.4% | 7 | 7.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,695 | $10.84 | 0.4% | 10 | 7.4 | 1.34× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 1,613 | $10.38 | 0.4% | 4 | 7.8 | 0.51× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,613 | $10.22 | 0.4% | 12 | 7.8 | 1.54× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 1,562 | $10.04 | 0.4% | 6 | 8.1 | 0.74× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 1,538 | $9.89 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.2 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,538 | $9.88 | 0.4% | 5 | 8.2 | 0.61× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 1,515 | $9.63 | 0.4% | 9 | 8.3 | 1.08× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,449 | $9.15 | 0.4% | 5 | 8.7 | 0.57× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Factory New) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $9.09 | 0.4% | 14 | 8.8 | 1.59× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 1,429 | $9.07 | 0.4% | 10 | 8.8 | 1.13× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,408 | $8.91 | 0.4% | 4 | 8.9 | 0.45× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,389 | $8.89 | 0.4% | 5 | 9.1 | 0.55× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-factory-new) | 1 in 1,389 | $8.89 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.1 | 1.10× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,408 | $8.88 | 0.4% | 5 | 8.9 | 0.56× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-factory-new) | 1 in 1,370 | $8.75 | 0.4% | 6 | 9.2 | 0.65× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,370 | $8.69 | 0.4% | 10 | 9.2 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,351 | $8.58 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.3 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 1,299 | $8.28 | 0.4% | 9 | 9.7 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,299 | $8.27 | 0.4% | 11 | 9.7 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $7.97 | 0.4% | 10 | 10.1 | 0.99× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $7.89 | 0.4% | 14 | 10.2 | 1.37× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $7.87 | 0.4% | 12 | 10.1 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,235 | $7.83 | 0.4% | 4 | 10.2 | 0.39× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 1,235 | $7.81 | 0.4% | 16 | 10.2 | 1.57× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 1,190 | $7.52 | 0.4% | 10 | 10.6 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,163 | $7.38 | 0.4% | 13 | 10.8 | 1.20× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-field-tested) | 1 in 1,163 | $7.37 | 0.4% | 11 | 10.8 | 1.01× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 1,136 | $7.26 | 0.4% | 8 | 11.1 | 0.72× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $7.25 | 0.4% | 14 | 11.0 | 1.28× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,099 | $7.05 | 0.4% | 13 | 11.5 | 1.13× |
| [FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,099 | $7.02 | 0.4% | 7 | 11.5 | 0.61× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $7.02 | 0.4% | 10 | 11.3 | 0.88× |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 1,099 | $6.99 | 0.4% | 11 | 11.5 | 0.96× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $6.92 | 0.4% | 14 | 11.6 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-well-worn) | 1 in 1,087 | $6.90 | 0.4% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,087 | $6.89 | 0.4% | 11 | 11.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ FAMAS \| Rapid Eye Movement (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-famas-rapid-eye-movement-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,075 | $6.84 | 0.4% | 14 | 11.7 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 1,075 | $6.81 | 0.4% | 7 | 11.7 | 0.60× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 1,042 | $6.65 | 0.4% | 12 | 12.1 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Minimal Wear) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $6.46 | 0.4% | 7 | 12.5 | 0.56× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,010 | $6.45 | 0.4% | 13 | 12.5 | 1.04× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Minimal Wear) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,000 | $6.38 | 0.4% | 15 | 12.6 | 1.19× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 1,000 | $6.36 | 0.4% | 12 | 12.6 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 952 | $6.07 | 0.4% | 15 | 13.2 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 943 | $6.00 | 0.4% | 16 | 13.4 | 1.20× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) | 1 in 935 | $5.92 | 0.4% | 10 | 13.5 | 0.74× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-minimal-wear) | 1 in 917 | $5.82 | 0.4% | 12 | 13.7 | 0.87× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-field-tested) | 1 in 909 | $5.78 | 0.4% | 21 | 13.9 | 1.51× |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Duality (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-duality-battle-scarred) | 1 in 840 | $5.32 | 0.4% | 12 | 15.0 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 820 | $5.23 | 0.4% | 16 | 15.4 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 800 | $5.07 | 0.4% | 18 | 15.8 | 1.14× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 794 | $5.06 | 0.4% | 9 | 15.9 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 775 | $4.93 | 0.4% | 23 | 16.3 | 1.41× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-factory-new) | 1 in 775 | $4.91 | 0.4% | 18 | 16.3 | 1.11× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 769 | $4.91 | 0.4% | 10 | 16.4 | 0.61× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-well-worn) | 1 in 763 | $4.87 | 0.4% | 20 | 16.5 | 1.21× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 758 | $4.83 | 0.4% | 19 | 16.6 | 1.14× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-field-tested) | 1 in 752 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 21 | 16.8 | 1.25× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-minimal-wear) | 1 in 752 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 19 | 16.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 752 | $4.78 | 0.4% | 8 | 16.8 | 0.48× |
| [AK-47 \| Slate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-slate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 746 | $4.74 | 0.4% | 14 | 16.9 | 0.83× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-minimal-wear) | 1 in 746 | $4.74 | 0.4% | 10 | 16.9 | 0.59× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-field-tested) | 1 in 730 | $4.64 | 0.4% | 16 | 17.3 | 0.93× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 694 | $4.42 | 0.4% | 18 | 18.1 | 0.99× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-field-tested) | 1 in 680 | $4.33 | 0.4% | 24 | 18.5 | 1.30× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Field-Tested) weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-field-tested) | 1 in 671 | $4.28 | 0.4% | 14 | 18.8 | 0.75× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 676 | $4.27 | 0.4% | 19 | 18.7 | 1.02× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-well-worn) | 1 in 667 | $4.25 | 0.4% | 15 | 18.9 | 0.79× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 662 | $4.22 | 0.4% | 16 | 19.0 | 0.84× |
| [AWP \| Mortis (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-mortis-battle-scarred) | 1 in 658 | $4.17 | 0.4% | 20 | 19.2 | 1.04× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-well-worn) | 1 in 654 | $4.15 | 0.4% | 20 | 19.3 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 654 | $4.15 | 0.4% | 13 | 19.3 | 0.67× |
| [StatTrak™ AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 654 | $4.13 | 0.4% | 15 | 19.3 | 0.78× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Well-Worn) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-well-worn) | 1 in 645 | $4.11 | 0.4% | 26 | 19.5 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Cortex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cortex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 637 | $4.03 | 0.4% | 23 | 19.8 | 1.16× |
| [MP9 \| Food Chain (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/mp9-food-chain-battle-scarred) | 1 in 633 | $4.02 | 0.4% | 27 | 19.9 | 1.36× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Well-Worn) weapon · 4](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-well-worn) | 1 in 629 | $4.00 | 0.4% | 20 | 20.0 | 1.00× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-field-tested) | 1 in 625 | $3.98 | 0.4% | 20 | 20.2 | 0.99× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-minimal-wear) | 1 in 625 | $3.96 | 0.4% | 21 | 20.2 | 1.04× |
| [AUG \| Stymphalian (Battle-Scarred) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/aug-stymphalian-battle-scarred) | 1 in 606 | $3.85 | 0.4% | 24 | 20.8 | 1.15× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-field-tested) | 1 in 599 | $3.81 | 0.4% | 28 | 21.0 | 1.33× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-well-worn) | 1 in 595 | $3.78 | 0.4% | 25 | 21.2 | 1.18× |
| [AWP \| Duality (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-duality-well-worn) | 1 in 592 | $3.75 | 0.4% | 20 | 21.3 | 0.94× |
| [USP-S \| Cyrex (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/usp-s-cyrex-battle-scarred) | 1 in 585 | $3.71 | 0.4% | 24 | 21.6 | 1.11× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Minimal Wear) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-minimal-wear) | 1 in 526 | $3.34 | 0.4% | 22 | 23.9 | 0.92× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-field-tested) | 1 in 505 | $3.21 | 0.4% | 20 | 25.0 | 0.80× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-well-worn) | 1 in 469 | $2.98 | 0.4% | 29 | 26.8 | 1.08× |
| [AWP \| Worm God (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-worm-god-field-tested) | 1 in 459 | $2.92 | 0.4% | 30 | 27.5 | 1.09× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-field-tested) | 1 in 446 | $2.84 | 0.4% | 29 | 28.2 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-well-worn) | 1 in 405 | $2.57 | 0.4% | 39 | 31.1 | 1.25× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-battle-scarred) | 1 in 400 | $2.55 | 0.4% | 31 | 31.5 | 0.98× |
| [Tec-9 \| Remote Control (Well-Worn) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/tec-9-remote-control-well-worn) | 1 in 400 | $2.54 | 0.4% | 44 | 31.5 | 1.40× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) | 1 in 385 | $2.45 | 0.4% | 30 | 32.8 | 0.92× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Field-Tested) weapon · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-field-tested) | 1 in 386 | $2.45 | 0.4% | 29 | 32.6 | 0.89× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-field-tested) | 1 in 383 | $2.43 | 0.4% | 34 | 32.9 | 1.03× |
| [Glock-18 \| Grinder (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-minimal-wear) | 1 in 382 | $2.42 | 0.4% | 38 | 33.0 | 1.15× |
| [Glock-18 \| Royal Legion (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-royal-legion-battle-scarred) | 1 in 365 | $2.32 | 0.4% | 29 | 34.5 | 0.84× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 346 | $2.20 | 0.4% | 29 | 36.4 | 0.80× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Well-Worn) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-well-worn) | 1 in 334 | $2.13 | 0.4% | 40 | 37.7 | 1.06× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-well-worn) | 1 in 333 | $2.12 | 0.4% | 38 | 37.8 | 1.00× |
| [Desert Eagle \| Naga (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-naga-battle-scarred) | 1 in 327 | $2.08 | 0.4% | 36 | 38.6 | 0.93× |
| [AK-47 \| Elite Build (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-elite-build-battle-scarred) | 1 in 327 | $2.08 | 0.4% | 45 | 38.6 | 1.17× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Factory New) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-factory-new) | 1 in 299 | $1.90 | 0.4% | 56 | 42.1 | 1.33× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $1.85 | 0.4% | 49 | 43.2 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 287 | $1.82 | 0.4% | 48 | 44.0 | 1.09× |
| [StatTrak™ G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 266 | $1.69 | 0.4% | 145 | 47.4 | 3.06× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 21 | $1.13 | 3.5% | 657 | 610.2 | 1.08× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) | 1 in 21 | $1.13 | 3.5% | 611 | 610.0 | 1.00× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-well-worn) | 1 in 20 | $1.12 | 3.5% | 580 | 615.6 | 0.94× |
| [G3SG1 \| High Seas (Battle-Scarred) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-battle-scarred) | 1 in 20 | $1.12 | 3.5% | 584 | 615.5 | 0.95× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-battle-scarred) | 1 in 15 | $0.82 | 3.5% | 847 | 840.7 | 1.01× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) | 1 in 14 | $0.79 | 3.5% | 911 | 872.7 | 1.04× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-well-worn) | 1 in 13 | $0.70 | 3.5% | 987 | 984.9 | 1.00× |
| [StatTrak™ P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 1 in 12 | $0.64 | 3.5% | 1,003 | 1077.1 | 0.93× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-battle-scarred) | 10.9% | $0.50 | 3.5% | 1,374 | 1378.8 | 1.00× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-field-tested) | 11.4% | $0.48 | 3.5% | 1,347 | 1436.2 | 0.94× |
| [P90 \| Neoqueen (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-well-worn) | 11.4% | $0.48 | 3.5% | 1,440 | 1436.1 | 1.00× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/adventurer`, 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=adventurer)

[P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-well-worn) [Unre@L](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Unre%40L) $2.00 $0.48 0.24x 2026-11-11 12:27 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) [Franci na balanci](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Franci%20na%20balanci) $2.00 $2.36 1.18x 2026-11-11 10:38 UTC

[P90 | Neoqueen (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/p90-neoqueen-minimal-wear) [Megan Fox](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Megan%20Fox) $2.00 $0.79 0.40x 2026-11-11 10:19 UTC

[StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-grinder-factory-new) [ERTO PEEK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/ERTO%20PEEK) $2.00 $9.07 4.54x 2026-11-11 09:57 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-well-worn) [Praff](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Praff) $2.00 $0.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 09:05 UTC

[Glock-18 | Grinder (Field-Tested) weapon · #8847ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-grinder-field-tested) [BIGI](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/BIGI) $2.00 $2.45 1.23x 2026-11-11 08:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-well-worn) [Buza](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Buza) $2.00 $0.70 0.35x 2026-11-11 07:25 UTC

[G3SG1 | High Seas (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/g3sg1-high-seas-field-tested) [Buza](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Buza) $2.00 $1.13 0.57x 2026-11-11 07:25 UTC

[StatTrak™ P90 | Neoqueen (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p90-neoqueen-battle-scarred) [fuzo ❤L](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/fuzo%20%E2%9D%A4L) $2.00 $0.82 0.41x 2026-11-11 07:24 UTC

[StatTrak™ AUG | Stymphalian (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-aug-stymphalian-minimal-wear) [WORM](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/WORM) $2.00 $7.38 3.69x 2026-11-11 07:24 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $1.76 | 88.01% | 160 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $1.76 | 88.01% | 160 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $1.76 | 87.99% | 160 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $1.76 | 88.03% | 160 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $1.76 | 88.01% | 160 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $1.76 | 88.02% | 160 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $1.76 | 88.01% | 160 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $1.76 | 88.04% | 160 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed 4 0.2% restricted 31.5% classified 3.5% mil spec 0.5% pink 1.9% Classified 0.5% Legendary 0.5% #d32ee6 0.2% Restricted 0.3% Mythical 0.7% #d32ce6 0.2% violet 57.4% #8847ff 1.7% milspec 0.4% Rare 0.3% blue 0.3% best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.01 on average: an expected loss of $11.99 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt