--- title: "Ambush Capsule case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops" description: "Ambush Capsule ($1.00) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 75.48% over 504 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up." url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush rendered: 2026-11-12T01:23Z --- [Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Ambush Capsule](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush) # [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Ambush Capsule A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price. [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=all) Price · $1.00 Advertised RTP · — · no catalog Observed RTP, 30d · 75.48% · 504 openings, sample method Variance · — · needs odds Tail share · — · needs odds Below price · — · needs odds ## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker observed, 95% band outside band small sample 24 hours · 52 openings · below min 7 days · 403 openings · below min 30 days · 504 openings · below min since tracking started · 504 openings · below min 28.5% 67.0% 105.5% **Small sample.** 504 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict. ## Windows · the test per window | Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=24h) | 52 | 55.58% ±26.3 | — | sample | | [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=7d) | 403 | 84.18% ±20.5 | — | sample | | [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush) | 504 | 75.48% ±16.8 | — | sample | | [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/ambush?window=all) | 504 | 75.48% ±16.8 | — | sample | Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method). ## Items, odds and values · none published **No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it. Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. ## Biggest drops · from this case, by value **No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet. ## Latest drops · newest first [All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=ambush) [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) [twitch.tv/drkennex](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/twitch.tv%2Fdrkennex) $1.00 $0.03 0.03x 2026-11-12 01:05 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [fragh97](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/fragh97) $1.00 $0.06 0.06x 2026-11-12 00:44 UTC [Sticker | Try Hard (Holo) sticker · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-try-hard-holo) [Drg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Drg) $1.00 $0.20 0.20x 2026-11-12 00:17 UTC [Sticker | Retro Zeus sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-retro-zeus) [Drg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Drg) $1.00 $0.03 0.03x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) [Drg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Drg) $1.00 $1.64 1.64x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Sticker | Cedar Creek (Holo) sticker · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-cedar-creek-holo) [Drg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Drg) $1.00 $1.64 1.64x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Sticker | On An Eco (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-on-an-eco-foil) [Drg](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Drg) $1.00 $2.43 2.43x 2026-11-12 00:16 UTC [Sticker | On An Eco (Foil) sticker · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-on-an-eco-foil) [SMΔCK](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/SM%CE%94CK) $1.00 $2.43 2.43x 2026-11-11 22:36 UTC [Sticker | This Is Fine (Chicken) sticker · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-this-is-fine-chicken) [Pak0 Wal1 H3D4](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Pak0%20Wal1%20H3D4) $1.00 $0.06 0.06x 2026-11-11 22:26 UTC [Sticker | Peek-A-Boo sticker · Rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/sticker-peek-a-boo) [likafibraiy](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/likafibraiy) $1.00 $0.03 0.03x 2026-11-11 21:27 UTC ## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture | Captured | Price | Advertised | Items | | --- | --- | --- | --- | Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one. listed best hit — 18+ **Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 75.5% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $75.48 on average: an expected loss of $24.52 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one. [BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling) How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt