---
title: "Arsenal case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Arsenal ($0.30) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: no published odds, observed 93.98% over 160 openings in 30 days. Independent and free, no sign-up."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal
rendered: 2026-11-12T09:30Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Arsenal](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Arsenal

A case on Hellcase, first seen 2 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=all)

Price · $0.30

Advertised RTP · — · no catalog

Observed RTP, 30d · 93.98% · 160 openings, sample method

Variance · — · needs odds

Tail share · — · needs odds

Below price · — · needs odds

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band outside band small sample

24 hours · 11 openings · below min

7 days · 92 openings · below min

30 days · 160 openings · below min

since tracking started · 160 openings · below min

47.5% 84.5% 121.5%

**Small sample.** 160 openings: below the 1,000 the sample method needs, so no verdict.

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=24h) | 11 | 76.06% ±27.8 | — | sample |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=7d) | 92 | 66.41% ±8.22 | — | sample |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal) | 160 | 93.98% ±27.1 | — | sample |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/arsenal?window=all) | 160 | 93.98% ±27.1 | — | sample |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · none published

**No catalog** Hellcase publishes no catalog; the case is known from the drops that named it.

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

**No drops yet** No drop from this case seen yet.

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=arsenal)

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Well-Worn) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-well-worn) [★Teddy★](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E2%98%85Teddy%E2%98%85) $0.30 $0.18 0.60x 2026-11-12 07:45 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-battle-scarred) [ルーベン](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/%E3%83%AB%E3%83%BC%E3%83%99%E3%83%B3) $0.30 $0.12 0.40x 2026-11-12 03:30 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) [Cholo Kolero](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Cholo%20Kolero) $0.30 $0.15 0.50x 2026-11-12 03:00 UTC

[SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Field-Tested) weapon · #4b69ff](https://gambatracker.com/items/scar-20-poultrygeist-field-tested) [Blurryuu](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Blurryuu) $0.30 $0.12 0.40x 2026-11-12 02:15 UTC

[MAC-10 | Rangeen (Minimal Wear) weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/mac-10-rangeen-minimal-wear) [YPHES](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/YPHES) $0.30 $0.45 1.50x 2026-11-12 01:13 UTC

[Sawed-Off | Full Stop (Field-Tested) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/sawed-off-full-stop-field-tested) [User](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/User) $0.30 $0.15 0.50x 2026-11-11 20:51 UTC

[StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · milspec](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-scar-20-poultrygeist-well-worn) [Sm0Ky](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Sm0Ky) $0.30 $0.10 0.33x 2026-11-11 20:16 UTC

[R8 Revolver | Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/r8-revolver-crimson-web-battle-scarred) Hidden $0.30 $0.42 1.40x 2026-11-11 20:13 UTC

[Dual Berettas | Dualing Dragons (Field-Tested) weapon · mil spec](https://gambatracker.com/items/dual-berettas-dualing-dragons-field-tested) [GOULSTAVE MOHA](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/GOULSTAVE%20MOHA) $0.30 $0.46 1.53x 2026-11-11 19:59 UTC

[SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Well-Worn) weapon · blue](https://gambatracker.com/items/ssg-08-blush-pour-well-worn) [Walid.exe](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/Walid.exe) $0.30 $0.18 0.60x 2026-11-11 16:43 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed best hit —

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 94.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $93.98 on average: an expected loss of $6.02 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt
