---
title: "Aurafuse case on Hellcase: odds, RTP & drops · gambatracker"
description: "Aurafuse ($48.40) on Hellcase, a CS2 case site: advertised RTP 88.02% from 161 items with odds, observed 97.71% over 316 openings in 30 days."
url: https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse
rendered: 2026-11-11T13:46Z
---

[Case sites](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites) / [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) / [Aurafuse](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse)

# [Hellcase](https://gambatracker.com/case-sites/hellcase) · Aurafuse

A case on Hellcase (discounts), first seen 3 Nov 2026. Every value is Hellcase's own item price.

[24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=24h) [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=7d) [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse) [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=all)

Price · $48.40

Advertised RTP · 88.02% · EV $42.60 from 161 items

Observed RTP, 30d · 97.71% · 316 openings, odds method

Variance · 3.1× · of price², per opening

Tail share · 1 in 10 · of openings carry half the EV

Below price · 76.3% · of openings return less than the price

## Advertised vs observed · per window, 95% band and the advertised marker

observed, 95% band advertised outside band small sample

24 hours · 13 openings · below min

7 days · 96.03% ±20.05 300 openings

30 days · 97.71% ±19.53 316 openings

since tracking started · 97.71% ±19.53 316 openings

7.5% 101.3% 195.0%

## Windows · the test per window

| Window | Openings | Observed | Dev. | Method |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [24h](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=24h) | 13 | 101.10% ±93.1 | — | odds |
| [7d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=7d) | 300 | 96.03% ±20.1 | +0.8σ | odds |
| [30d](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse) | 316 | 97.71% ±19.5 | +1.0σ | odds |
| [All](https://gambatracker.com/cases/hellcase/aurafuse?window=all) | 316 | 97.71% ±19.5 | +1.0σ | odds |

Enough sample: 100 openings and 5 expected rare hits (odds method) or 1,000 openings (sample method).

## Items, odds and values · 161 items · odds sum to 1 · observed counts over 324 openings, 30 days

Share of the expected value, most valuable first; colour is the item's rarity.

| Item | Odds | Value | EV share | Observed | Expected | Hot / cold |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Factory New) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-factory-new) | 1 in 20,000 | $4,891 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 7,692 | $1,964 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,882 | $1,403 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 5,263 | $1,265 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Minimal Wear) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-minimal-wear) | 1 in 4,545 | $1,116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 3,448 | $807 | 0.5% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 3,226 | $775 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,857 | $685 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-factory-new) | 1 in 2,703 | $644 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) | 1 in 2,222 | $527 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.1 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Well-Worn) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-well-worn) | 1 in 2,128 | $507 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $499 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 2,083 | $497 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-factory-new) | 1 in 1,961 | $464 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [★ M9 Bayonet \| Crimson Web (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,852 | $445 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,818 | $432 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $402 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 1,667 | $398 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,639 | $389 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-factory-new) | 1 in 1,587 | $375 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 1 in 1,562 | $375 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $367 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $366 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,515 | $366 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,515 | $365 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,493 | $355 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 1,471 | $352 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 1,429 | $341 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 1,408 | $337 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 1,351 | $324 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.2 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 1,266 | $303 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 1,250 | $302 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-factory-new) | 1 in 1,250 | $297 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-factory-new) | 1 in 1,190 | $285 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 1,176 | $284 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-factory-new) | 1 in 1,176 | $280 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 1,163 | $277 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,149 | $276 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $268 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-factory-new) | 1 in 1,111 | $267 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 1,111 | $267 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 1,010 | $243 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 1,010 | $241 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 990 | $238 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 980 | $235 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-well-worn) | 1 in 980 | $235 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · Legendary](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-factory-new) | 1 in 971 | $232 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-field-tested) | 1 in 952 | $228 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.3 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 926 | $221 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.3 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-field-tested) | 1 in 893 | $214 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 862 | $207 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-minimal-wear) | 1 in 813 | $196 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Factory New) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-factory-new) | 1 in 806 | $193 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 800 | $192 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [Desert Eagle \| Fennec Fox (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ee6](https://gambatracker.com/items/desert-eagle-fennec-fox-battle-scarred) | 1 in 763 | $183 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 758 | $181 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.4 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 735 | $176 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.4 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-field-tested) | 1 in 714 | $171 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-well-worn) | 1 in 694 | $167 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-minimal-wear) | 1 in 685 | $164 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 685 | $164 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-minimal-wear) | 1 in 680 | $163 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 667 | $160 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-factory-new) | 1 in 645 | $155 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Factory New) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 637 | $153 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-minimal-wear) | 1 in 633 | $151 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · rare](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 629 | $151 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $146 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-field-tested) | 1 in 606 | $146 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-factory-new) | 1 in 606 | $146 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 599 | $144 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.5 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 592 | $141 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.5 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 588 | $141 | 0.6% | 4 | 0.6 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Factory New) weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-factory-new) | 1 in 578 | $139 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 575 | $138 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Battle-Scarred) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-battle-scarred) | 1 in 571 | $137 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 552 | $133 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 549 | $132 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) | 1 in 541 | $130 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 535 | $129 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-minimal-wear) | 1 in 529 | $127 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · red](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 510 | $122 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-mecha-industries-well-worn) | 1 in 508 | $122 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 505 | $121 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-well-worn) | 1 in 505 | $121 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.6 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Vulcan (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-vulcan-battle-scarred) | 1 in 495 | $118 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 490 | $117 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-minimal-wear) | 1 in 485 | $116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Bloodsport (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-bloodsport-well-worn) | 1 in 483 | $116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Fuel Injector (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-fuel-injector-battle-scarred) | 1 in 481 | $116 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 476 | $114 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 474 | $114 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-minimal-wear) | 1 in 469 | $113 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 465 | $112 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.7 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Mecha Industries (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-mecha-industries-field-tested) | 1 in 450 | $108 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.7 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 427 | $103 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AWP \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 424 | $102 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [P2000 \| Ocean Foam (Factory New) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-factory-new) | 1 in 417 | $100 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) | 1 in 417 | $99.98 | 0.6% | 3 | 0.8 | — |
| [Glock-18 \| Dragon Tattoo (Factory New) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/glock-18-dragon-tattoo-factory-new) | 1 in 415 | $99.44 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-well-worn) | 1 in 413 | $99.23 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.8 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Wasteland Rebel (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-field-tested) | 1 in 407 | $97.34 | 0.6% | 2 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 403 | $96.66 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 389 | $93.36 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.8 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 375 | $89.72 | 0.6% | 3 | 0.9 | — |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Minimal Wear) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-minimal-wear) | 1 in 375 | $89.66 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Minimal Wear) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 370 | $88.67 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 368 | $88.29 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-minimal-wear) | 1 in 350 | $83.64 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Minimal Wear) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-minimal-wear) | 1 in 348 | $83.51 | 0.6% | 0 | 0.9 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Field-Tested) knife · sunny](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 341 | $81.83 | 0.6% | 1 | 0.9 | — |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-field-tested) | 1 in 338 | $81.07 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-field-tested) | 1 in 336 | $80.54 | 0.6% | 4 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-huntsman-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 336 | $80.51 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 334 | $80.21 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Well-Worn) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 328 | $78.74 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.0 | — |
| [★ Huntsman Knife \| Black Laminate (Battle-Scarred) knife · covert knife](https://gambatracker.com/items/huntsman-knife-black-laminate-battle-scarred) | 1 in 319 | $76.61 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.0 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Minimal Wear) weapon · Ancient](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-minimal-wear) | 1 in 305 | $73.16 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.94× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 292 | $69.76 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.1 | 0.90× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-well-worn) | 1 in 282 | $67.65 | 0.6% | 5 | 1.2 | 4.35× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-well-worn) | 1 in 260 | $62.37 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.2 | 0.80× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 258 | $61.71 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.39× |
| [M4A1-S \| Golden Coil (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-golden-coil-battle-scarred) | 1 in 256 | $61.33 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.3 | 0.00× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-field-tested) | 1 in 248 | $59.42 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.3 | 0.77× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) | 1 in 246 | $59.01 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.3 | 2.28× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 230 | $55.32 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.4 | 1.42× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Field-Tested) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-field-tested) | 1 in 229 | $55.05 | 0.6% | 4 | 1.4 | 2.83× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-well-worn) | 1 in 227 | $54.50 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.4 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Well-Worn) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-well-worn) | 1 in 225 | $54.05 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.4 | 0.70× |
| [AK-47 \| Neon Rider (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-neon-rider-battle-scarred) | 1 in 222 | $53.16 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.5 | 0.68× |
| [AK-47 \| Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-asiimov-battle-scarred) | 1 in 214 | $51.25 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.5 | 0.00× |
| [AWP \| Containment Breach (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/awp-containment-breach-battle-scarred) | 1 in 207 | $49.75 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · Classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 202 | $48.57 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-field-tested) | 1 in 200 | $47.87 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.6 | 0.00× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-minimal-wear) | 1 in 193 | $46.23 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.7 | 1.19× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Field-Tested) weapon · pink](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-field-tested) | 1 in 190 | $45.56 | 0.6% | 5 | 1.7 | 2.93× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-well-worn) | 1 in 187 | $44.93 | 0.6% | 0 | 1.7 | 0.00× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-well-worn) | 1 in 186 | $44.63 | 0.6% | 1 | 1.7 | 0.57× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 186 | $44.52 | 0.6% | 3 | 1.7 | 1.72× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 184 | $44.08 | 0.6% | 2 | 1.8 | 1.13× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 98 | $41.92 | 1.0% | 3 | 3.3 | 0.90× |
| [P250 \| Apep's Curse (Battle-Scarred) weapon · #d32ce6](https://gambatracker.com/items/p250-apeps-curse-battle-scarred) | 1 in 94 | $40.54 | 1.0% | 2 | 3.4 | 0.58× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-well-worn) | 1 in 89 | $38.21 | 1.0% | 6 | 3.6 | 1.65× |
| [StatTrak™ AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 88 | $37.89 | 1.0% | 4 | 3.7 | 1.09× |
| [FAMAS \| Waters of Nephthys (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/famas-waters-of-nephthys-battle-scarred) | 1 in 87 | $37.23 | 1.0% | 1 | 3.7 | 0.27× |
| [StatTrak™ M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 78 | $33.31 | 1.0% | 4 | 4.2 | 0.96× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-well-worn) | 1 in 69 | $29.49 | 1.0% | 4 | 4.7 | 0.85× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Field-Tested) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-field-tested) | 1 in 68 | $29.42 | 1.0% | 1 | 4.7 | 0.21× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) | 1 in 67 | $28.87 | 1.0% | 6 | 4.8 | 1.24× |
| [M4A1-S \| Atomic Alloy (Battle-Scarred) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-battle-scarred) | 1 in 67 | $28.77 | 1.0% | 5 | 4.8 | 1.03× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 66 | $28.32 | 1.0% | 7 | 4.9 | 1.43× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) | 1 in 62 | $26.44 | 1.0% | 2 | 5.3 | 0.38× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-well-worn) | 1 in 52 | $22.52 | 1.0% | 5 | 6.2 | 0.81× |
| [M4A4 \| Zirka (Field-Tested) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-field-tested) | 1 in 46 | $19.85 | 1.0% | 3 | 7.0 | 0.43× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 41 | $17.64 | 1.0% | 11 | 7.9 | 1.39× |
| [AK-47 \| Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) | 1 in 39 | $16.69 | 1.0% | 10 | 8.3 | 1.20× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-factory-new) | 1 in 37 | $15.78 | 1.0% | 8 | 8.8 | 0.91× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Minimal Wear) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-minimal-wear) | 1 in 20 | $8.77 | 1.0% | 14 | 15.9 | 0.88× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) | 12.3% | $3.49 | 1.0% | 38 | 39.9 | 0.95× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Well-Worn) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-well-worn) | 12.6% | $3.40 | 1.0% | 47 | 40.9 | 1.15× |
| [AK-47 \| Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) | 15.2% | $2.83 | 1.0% | 37 | 49.2 | 0.75× |

Values are Hellcase's own item prices; EV share = odds × value ÷ EV. Hot / cold compares observed drops of each item with odds × openings; small expected counts are left blank. Odds read from `hellcase:api/open/aurafuse`, 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC.

## Biggest drops · from this case, by value

[★ M9 Bayonet | Crimson Web (Field-Tested) knife · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/m9-bayonet-crimson-web-field-tested) [KW1AT](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/KW1AT) $48.40 $527 10.88x 2026-11-10 09:33 UTC

## Latest drops · newest first

[All Latest drops →](https://gambatracker.com/drops?casino=hellcase&case=aurafuse)

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Factory New) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-factory-new) [tap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tap) $55.00 $28.32 0.51x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Blue Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-blue-laminate-field-tested) [tap](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tap) $55.00 $16.69 0.30x 2026-11-11 13:38 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) [statiic](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/statiic) $55.00 $3.49 0.06x 2026-11-11 06:04 UTC

[M4A4 | Zirka (Minimal Wear) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/m4a4-zirka-minimal-wear) [tatarata](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tatarata) $48.40 $26.44 0.55x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Field-Tested) weapon · Mythical](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-field-tested) [tatarata](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tatarata) $48.40 $3.49 0.07x 2026-11-10 19:35 UTC

[AK-47 | Midnight Laminate (Battle-Scarred) weapon · violet](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-midnight-laminate-battle-scarred) [tatarata](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tatarata) $48.40 $2.83 0.06x 2026-11-10 19:34 UTC

[AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Battle-Scarred) weapon · covert](https://gambatracker.com/items/ak-47-wasteland-rebel-battle-scarred) [tatarata](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tatarata) $48.40 $99.98 2.07x 2026-11-10 19:34 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A4 | Zirka (Field-Tested) StatTrak · weapon · restricted](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a4-zirka-field-tested) [tatarata](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/tatarata) $48.40 $33.31 0.69x 2026-11-10 19:33 UTC

[StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy (Well-Worn) StatTrak · weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/stattrak-m4a1-s-atomic-alloy-well-worn) [amonchan100](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/amonchan100) $48.40 $44.08 0.91x 2026-11-10 18:08 UTC

[P2000 | Ocean Foam (Minimal Wear) weapon · classified](https://gambatracker.com/items/p2000-ocean-foam-minimal-wear) [amonchan100](https://gambatracker.com/players/hellcase/amonchan100) $48.40 $130 2.68x 2026-11-10 17:17 UTC

## Catalog changes · price, advertised RTP and contents, per capture

| Captured | Price | Advertised | Items |
| --- | --- | --- | --- |
| 10 Nov, 15:35 UTC | $48.40 | 88.02% | 161 |
| 10 Nov, 09:02 UTC | $48.40 | 88.03% | 161 |
| 9 Nov, 14:13 UTC | $48.40 | 88.00% | 161 |
| 8 Nov, 13:32 UTC | $48.40 | 88.00% | 161 |
| 7 Nov, 12:18 UTC | $48.40 | 88.01% | 161 |
| 6 Nov, 11:25 UTC | $48.40 | 88.02% | 161 |
| 5 Nov, 10:45 UTC | $48.40 | 87.94% | 161 |
| 4 Nov, 15:04 UTC | $48.40 | 88.02% | 161 |
| 3 Nov, 22:52 UTC | $48.40 | 87.94% | 161 |

Each opening is tested against the capture in force when it happened; a price or odds change starts a new one.

listed covert 14.9% covert knife 1.4% classified 10.0% Restricted 0.1% Ancient 0.6% restricted 14.9% Covert 0.3% Legendary 0.1% pink 1.4% #d32ee6 0.1% sunny 0.7% rare 0.2% Classified 0.7% red 0.6% #d32ce6 1.1% Mythical 21.4% violet 31.6% best hit $527 (10.88x)

18+

**Case opening is gambling with skins as the currency.** At 88.0% RTP, every $100 put into cases returns $88.02 on average: an expected loss of $11.98 per $100, before any one lucky or unlucky opening. A big drop here says nothing about the next one.

[BeGambleAware](https://www.begambleaware.org/) [Help & limits](https://gambatracker.com/responsible-gambling)

How these figures are produced and labelled: https://gambatracker.com/llms.txt